Philadelphia Eagles vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Prediction & Picks - NFL

USA - NFL

Philadelphia Eagles
9/28/25 13:00
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Prediction:

 

Under 41.5

+121
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 by Erik Gibbs | in NFL Picks

The Philadelphia Eagles and Tampa Bay Buccaneers will meet in Tampa on Sunday in what shapes up as one of the best early-season showdowns, with both clubs entering at 3-0. Each squad comes off a nail-biting win in Week 3, with Philadelphia edging the Rams 33-26 at home and Tampa Bay slipping past the Jets 29-27 on the road.

The Eagles have leaned on balance, ranking 29th in passing offense but 14th in rushing, while Tampa Bay has found success on the ground, sitting 7th in rushing offense but just 22nd in passing. Statistically, Philadelphia has the higher-ranked scoring offense, but both defenses have allowed more than 20 points per game, making this a potential shootout.

This game sets up as a test of Philadelphia’s ability to slow down an explosive Tampa Bay passing attack while keeping their own ground game in rhythm. The Eagles defense, middle-of-the-pack in scoring allowed, will need to step up to avoid getting carved apart by Mayfield and company. On the flip side, the Buccaneers defense has struggled to close out games, and against a team that thrives in late-game situations, that could be costly.

Philadelphia Eagles vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Form

Table

Teams % P W D L
1
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
0.833 6 5 0 1
4
Philadelphia Eagles
Philadelphia Eagles
0.667 6 4 0 2

Philadelphia Eagles and Tampa Bay Buccaneers Latest Matches

Philadelphia Eagles
Philadelphia Eagles Latest matches
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Sep 21, 2025 - NFL

Los Angeles Rams
26 :  33
Philadelphia Eagles

Sep 14, 2025 - NFL

Philadelphia Eagles
20 :  17
Kansas City Chiefs

Sep 4, 2025 - NFL

Dallas Cowboys
20 :  24
Philadelphia Eagles

Feb 9, 2025 - NFL

Kansas City Chiefs
22 :  40
Philadelphia Eagles

Jan 26, 2025 - NFL

Washington Commanders
23 :  55
Philadelphia Eagles

Jan 19, 2025 - NFL

Los Angeles Rams
22 :  28
Philadelphia Eagles
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Sep 21, 2025 - NFL

Los Angeles Rams
26 :  33
Philadelphia Eagles

Sep 4, 2025 - NFL

Dallas Cowboys
20 :  24
Philadelphia Eagles

Feb 9, 2025 - NFL

Kansas City Chiefs
22 :  40
Philadelphia Eagles

Jan 26, 2025 - NFL

Washington Commanders
23 :  55
Philadelphia Eagles

Jan 19, 2025 - NFL

Los Angeles Rams
22 :  28
Philadelphia Eagles

Jan 12, 2025 - NFL

Green Bay Packers
10 :  22
Philadelphia Eagles
W W W W L W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Sep 14, 2025 - NFL

Philadelphia Eagles
20 :  17
Kansas City Chiefs

Dec 22, 2024 - NFL

Philadelphia Eagles
33 :  36
Washington Commanders

Dec 1, 2024 - NFL

Philadelphia Eagles
24 :  19
Baltimore Ravens

Nov 24, 2024 - NFL

Philadelphia Eagles
37 :  20
Los Angeles Rams

Nov 10, 2024 - NFL

Philadelphia Eagles
34 :  6
Dallas Cowboys

Oct 27, 2024 - NFL

Philadelphia Eagles
37 :  17
Cincinnati Bengals
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Latest matches
W W L W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Sep 21, 2025 - NFL

New York Jets
27 :  29
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Sep 15, 2025 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
20 :  19
Houston Texans

Sep 7, 2025 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
23 :  20
Atlanta Falcons

Jan 12, 2025 - NFL

Washington Commanders
23 :  20
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Jan 5, 2025 - NFL

New Orleans Saints
19 :  27
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Dec 29, 2024 - NFL

Carolina Panthers
14 :  48
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
L W W W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Sep 21, 2025 - NFL

New York Jets
27 :  29
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Jan 12, 2025 - NFL

Washington Commanders
23 :  20
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Jan 5, 2025 - NFL

New Orleans Saints
19 :  27
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Dec 29, 2024 - NFL

Carolina Panthers
14 :  48
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Dec 8, 2024 - NFL

Las Vegas Raiders
13 :  28
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Nov 10, 2024 - NFL

San Francisco 49ers
23 :  20
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
W W W L W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Sep 15, 2025 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
20 :  19
Houston Texans

Sep 7, 2025 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
23 :  20
Atlanta Falcons

Dec 22, 2024 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
24 :  26
Dallas Cowboys

Dec 15, 2024 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
40 :  17
Los Angeles Chargers

Dec 1, 2024 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
26 :  23
Carolina Panthers

Nov 24, 2024 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
30 :  7
New York Giants

Philadelphia Eagles against Tampa Bay Buccaneers : Head to Head (H2H)

Philadelphia Eagles

25 %

Draw

0 %

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

75 %

Sep 29, 2024 - NFL

Philadelphia Eagles
16 :  33
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Jan 15, 2024 - NFL

Philadelphia Eagles
9 :  32
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Sep 25, 2023 - NFL

Philadelphia Eagles
25 :  11
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Jan 16, 2022 - NFL

Philadelphia Eagles
15 :  31
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Philadelphia Eagles - Tampa Bay Buccaneers Key Points

  1. The Under is 9-1 in the Eagles’ last 10 road games vs. NFC South teams
  2. The Under is 4-0 in the Bucs’ last 4 games vs. the Eagles after a win
  3. The Eagles are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 Sunday games
  4. The Bucs are 1-9 in their last 10 games vs. teams on a winning streak

Our Philadelphia Eagles vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Prediction

Philadelphia continues to grind out close victories behind Jalen Hurts, who has thrown for 479 yards and three touchdowns while completing over 70 percent of his attempts. The addition of Saquon Barkley has boosted their run game, as he has tallied 194 yards and two touchdowns while giving the offense a reliable tempo-setter.

A.J. Brown remains the primary target through the air, already racking up 144 receiving yards and a touchdown. Injuries on the offensive line are a concern, but the unit has held firm through three weeks, keeping Hurts comfortable enough to make plays when needed.

Tampa Bay, meanwhile, is thriving under Baker Mayfield’s hot start. Mayfield has thrown for 615 yards and six touchdowns with only two turnovers, showing improved decision-making while spreading the ball effectively.

His top connection has been with Emeka Egbuka, who has 181 receiving yards and three touchdowns, while rookie back Bucky Irving has added balance on the ground with 174 rushing yards. The Buccaneers have played with fire in all three games so far, but their offensive efficiency in key spots has allowed them to remain undefeated.

Both teams are comfortable in tight contests, and turnovers will likely swing the outcome. While Tampa Bay’s passing attack is more explosive right now, the Eagles’ balance and experience in finishing close games give them a slight edge. Expect another hard-fought battle, but Philadelphia looks a touch more complete and could escape Tampa with a 4-0 record. Our prediction for Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Philadelphia Eagles: Under 41.5

Prediction:

 

Under 41.5

+121
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Philadelphia Eagles vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Picks