Peyton Stearns vs Lois Boisson Prediction & Picks - WTA Mutua Madrid Open

WTA - WTA Mutua Madrid Open

WTA 62 USA
Peyton Stearns
4/21/26 13:20
WTA 155 France
Lois Boisson

Prediction:

 

Lois Boisson will win

+189
$250 offered for betting!

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 by Lou Aguila | in Tennis Picks

Armed with a 71 percent win rate on clay, 2025 French Open semifinalist Lois Boisson aims for no less than a win over Peyton Stearns in her first match of the year at the 2026 Madrid Open.

Momentum: Lois Boisson is set to make her 2026 debut on the WTA Tour on her favorite surface at the 2026 Madrid Open. The French Open semifinalist sustained a left adductor muscle injury in Montreal in 2025 and then suffered multiple setbacks that sidelined him through the first three and half months of the 2026 WTA season.

Peyton Stearns will compete in her second clay-court tournament this year after a second-round finish in Charleston. Stearns is 12-9 on the season and already has a title this year after ruling a WTA 250 tournament in Austin in February.

Matchup: This will be the first meeting between Boisson and Sterns on the WTA Tour. Boisson is a quintessential clay-court player with a 71 percent win rate on the dirt. Stearns also owns a decent 62.4 percent win rate on clay.

Hot on the Board: Peyton Stearns, who has received 86 percent of the first wave of moneyline bets on DraftKings, is a -236 favorite to win the match. Boisson is the underdog here at +189 underdog, and that’s because bookmakers are not sure if they are getting a healthy version of Lois Boisson

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Peyton Stearns vs Lois Boisson Form

Peyton Stearns and Lois Boisson Latest Matches

Peyton Stearns Latest matches
W L W L W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Apr 2, 2026 - WTA Charleston Open

Peyton Stearns
1 :  2
McCartney Kessler

Apr 1, 2026 - WTA Charleston Open

Peyton Stearns
2 :  0
Ashlyn Krueger

Mar 20, 2026 - WTA Miami

Peyton Stearns
0 :  2
Jaqueline Cristian

Mar 19, 2026 - WTA Miami

Viktorija Golubic
0 :  2
Peyton Stearns

Mar 5, 2026 - WTA Indian Wells

Peyton Stearns
0 :  2
Solana Sierra

Mar 1, 2026 - ATX Open

Taylor Townsend
0 :  2
Peyton Stearns
Lois Boisson Latest matches
L L W L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Sep 27, 2025 - WTA China Open

Liudmila Samsonova
0 :  2
Lois Boisson

Sep 25, 2025 - WTA China Open

Lois Boisson
2 :  1
Dalma Galfi

Sep 18, 2025 - WTA Korea Open

Lois Boisson
1 :  2
Ekaterina Alexandrova

Sep 15, 2025 - WTA Korea Open

Lois Boisson
2 :  0
Yeon Woo Ku

Aug 26, 2025 - WTA US Open

Lois Boisson
1 :  2
Viktorija Golubic

Aug 18, 2025 - WTA Cleveland Open

Jil Teichmann
2 :  1
Lois Boisson

Peyton Stearns - Lois Boisson Key Points

  1. Lois Boisson owns a 71 percent win rate on clay
  2. Lois Boisson is 5-3 vs. top-50 players
  3. Peyton Stearns owns a 62 percent win rate on clay.
  4. Peyton Stearns never reached beyond the fourth round of a Grand Slam event
Up to $250 to bet on Peyton Stearns - Lois Boisson! 

Limited Offer. Currently at Caesars Sportsbook

Our Peyton Stearns vs Lois Boisson Prediction

Fearless Forecast: Lois Boisson stuns Peyton Stearns 6-4, 3-6, 7-6

Boisson is a total wild card in this tournament. Everybody knows how dangerous Boisson can be on the clay if she’s 100 percent healthy. Last year’s semifinal run at Roland Garros wasn’t a fluke. It was supposed to be the start of bigger things to come for Boisson before injuries threw her momentum off the rails.

The Edge: Boisson owns a 72 percent win rate on clay, mirroring her caliber as an elite clay-court player. The Frenchwoman is also 5-3 vs. top-50 players in her career and 44-24 in first-round matches. Again, Stearns is also a competitive clay-court player, but Boisson has the higher ceiling because of the elite tools she has at her disposal.

The Play: Back Boisson to win. Stearns might be the more active player, but a healthy Boisson is a significantly better player than the American. Her ability to hit shots with depth and heavy spins and cover the court with exceptional footwork will create a myriad of problems for Stearns, who lives and dies with her high-risk, high-reward play style.

Our betting prediction for Lois Boisson vs. Peyton Stearns: Lois Boisson win.

Prediction:

 

Lois Boisson will win

+189
$250 offered for betting!

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Peyton Stearns vs Lois Boisson Picks