Peyton Stearns vs Lois Boisson Prediction & Picks - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
WTA - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
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by Lou Aguila | in Tennis Picks
Armed with a 71 percent win rate on clay, 2025 French Open semifinalist Lois Boisson aims for no less than a win over Peyton Stearns in her first match of the year at the 2026 Madrid Open.
Momentum: Lois Boisson is set to make her 2026 debut on the WTA Tour on her favorite surface at the 2026 Madrid Open. The French Open semifinalist sustained a left adductor muscle injury in Montreal in 2025 and then suffered multiple setbacks that sidelined him through the first three and half months of the 2026 WTA season.
Peyton Stearns will compete in her second clay-court tournament this year after a second-round finish in Charleston. Stearns is 12-9 on the season and already has a title this year after ruling a WTA 250 tournament in Austin in February.
Matchup: This will be the first meeting between Boisson and Sterns on the WTA Tour. Boisson is a quintessential clay-court player with a 71 percent win rate on the dirt. Stearns also owns a decent 62.4 percent win rate on clay.
Hot on the Board: Peyton Stearns, who has received 86 percent of the first wave of moneyline bets on DraftKings, is a -236 favorite to win the match. Boisson is the underdog here at +189 underdog, and that’s because bookmakers are not sure if they are getting a healthy version of Lois Boisson
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Peyton Stearns vs Lois Boisson Form
Peyton Stearns and Lois Boisson Latest Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
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Peyton Stearns - Lois Boisson Key Points
- Lois Boisson owns a 71 percent win rate on clay
- Lois Boisson is 5-3 vs. top-50 players
- Peyton Stearns owns a 62 percent win rate on clay.
- Peyton Stearns never reached beyond the fourth round of a Grand Slam event
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Our Peyton Stearns vs Lois Boisson Prediction
Fearless Forecast: Lois Boisson stuns Peyton Stearns 6-4, 3-6, 7-6
Boisson is a total wild card in this tournament. Everybody knows how dangerous Boisson can be on the clay if she’s 100 percent healthy. Last year’s semifinal run at Roland Garros wasn’t a fluke. It was supposed to be the start of bigger things to come for Boisson before injuries threw her momentum off the rails.
The Edge: Boisson owns a 72 percent win rate on clay, mirroring her caliber as an elite clay-court player. The Frenchwoman is also 5-3 vs. top-50 players in her career and 44-24 in first-round matches. Again, Stearns is also a competitive clay-court player, but Boisson has the higher ceiling because of the elite tools she has at her disposal.
The Play: Back Boisson to win. Stearns might be the more active player, but a healthy Boisson is a significantly better player than the American. Her ability to hit shots with depth and heavy spins and cover the court with exceptional footwork will create a myriad of problems for Stearns, who lives and dies with her high-risk, high-reward play style.
Our betting prediction for Lois Boisson vs. Peyton Stearns: Lois Boisson win.
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