Paula Badosa vs Varvara Lepchenko Prediction & Picks - WTA Bastad
WTA 125K - WTA Bastad
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by Lou Aguila | in Tennis Picks
Paula Badosa will try to get off to a hot start in her quarterfinal match against Varvara Lepchenko on Thursday.
Current Form:
Paula Badosa made it to the quarterfinals at Bastad after defeating Emiliana Arango in the second round, 6-3, 6-2. Badosa conceded one service game and broke Arango four times off the back of 29 return points. Badosa, who lost to Emma Navarro in three sets in the first round of the 2026 Wimbledon Open, is searching to regain her old form after injuries and poor results sent her crashing out of the top 100 in the world rankings.
Varvara Lepchenko also advanced to the quarterfinals with a 6-1, 6-2 win over Tamara Korpatsch. Lepchenko secured six breakpoint conversions to demolish the German in one hour and 18 minutes. The American improved to 4-4 on clay this year.
The Matchup: Lepchenko defeated Badosa 6-2, 6-3 in Seoul almost 11 years ago. Lepchenko carries a 205-149 record on clay, while Badosa holds 174-95 record on the dirt.
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Paula Badosa vs Varvara Lepchenko Form
Paula Badosa and Varvara Lepchenko Latest Matches
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Jun 30, 2026 - WTA Wimbledon Championships
Jun 19, 2026 - WTA Berlin Open
Jun 17, 2026 - WTA Berlin Open
Jun 16, 2026 - WTA Berlin Open
Jun 8, 2026 - WTA Libema Open
Apr 21, 2026 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Jun 23, 2026 - WTA Wimbledon Championships
May 19, 2026 - WTA French Open
Apr 3, 2026 - WTA Bogota
Apr 2, 2026 - WTA Bogota
Mar 31, 2026 - WTA Bogota
Mar 17, 2026 - WTA Miami
Paula Badosa - Varvara Lepchenko Key Points
- Paula Badosa owns a 64 percent win rate on clay.
- Paula Badosa is a former world’s No.2
- Varvara Lepchenko owns a 57.9 percent win rate on clay.
- Varvara Lepchenko is 12-14 in the season.
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Our Paula Badosa vs Varvara Lepchenko Prediction
Fearless Forecast: Paula Badosa cruises through to a 6-2, 6-4 win over Varvara Lepchenko
The Difference Maker: Badosa is starting to show signs of her old self despite tough losses in the previous tournament. Badosa reached the quarterfinals of the 2026 Berlin Open and then pushed Emma Navarro to three sets at Wimbledon. It might not be eye-popping results, but it’s good to see the former world’s No.2 steadily building her momentum ahead of the North American hard-court season.
What to Expect: Badosa will be all over Lepchenko in this match. Lepchenko is a decent clay-court player, but her Spanish foe can produce top-notch tennis if she’s on a streak. Converting 52 percent of break chances in this tournament, Badosa should hold her serves, break twice and register a dominant first set en route to a sweep.
Our betting prediction for Paula Badosa vs. Varvara Lepchenko: Paula Badosa (6-0, 6-1, or 6-2 - Correct Score Groups – First Set)
DraftKings - France vs Morocco 30% SGP Boost

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