Patrick Kypson vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Prediction & Picks - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
ATP - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
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by Lou Aguila | in ATP Mutua Madrid Open Picks
Stefanos Tsitsipas faces a manageable 3.5-game handicap against Patrick Kypson in the first round of the 2026 Madrid Open.
Stefanos Tsitsipas will attempt to arrest his slide in the world ranking by staging a strong campaign at the 2026 ATP Madrid Open. Tsitsipas opened the clay-court season with back-to-back first-round exits, losing to Francisco Cerundolo in straight sets 7-5, 6-4 and Fabian Maroszan 3-6, 7-6, 6-4.
Ranked 90th in the world, Patrick Kypson has gone 2-3 since the start of the clay-court swing. Kypson is 10-13 overall and 1-7 against the top-100 players in 2026.
The Matchup: Tsitsipas and Kypson will be playing each other for the first time. Tsitsipas has won 202 matches on clay and a 74.8 percent win rate on the surface. Kypson’s win percentage on the dirt is not shabby, either, at 67 percent.
Hot on the Board: Tsitsipas is a -300 moneyline favorite and a +100 to cover -3.5 games. Kypson, who stunned Alex De Minaur in Acapulco in February, carries a +210 value on the moneyline as the underdog and -140 to cover the spread with a +3.5-game cushion.
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Patrick Kypson vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Form
Patrick Kypson and Stefanos Tsitsipas Latest Matches
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Apr 21, 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 20, 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 12, 2026 - ATP Barcelona
Apr 11, 2026 - ATP Barcelona
Mar 31, 2026 - ATP Houston
Mar 16, 2026 - ATP Miami
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Apr 14, 2026 - ATP Munich Open
Apr 6, 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
Mar 22, 2026 - ATP Miami
Mar 20, 2026 - ATP Miami
Mar 19, 2026 - ATP Miami
Mar 4, 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
Patrick Kypson - Stefanos Tsitsipas Key Points
- Stefanos Tsitsipas owns a 74 percent win rate on clay.
- Stefanos Tsitsipas is 4-7 vs. top-100 players in 2026
- Patrick Kypson is 1-7 vs. top-100 players in 2026
- Patrick Kypson owns a 67 percent win rate on clay
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Our Patrick Kypson vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Prediction
Fearless Forecast: Stefanos Tsitsipas downs Patrick Kypson 6-3, 6-4
Despite his regressing form, Stefanos Tsitsipas remains a strong bet to win and cover a manageable 3.5-game handicap against Kypson, who is a career 8-17 against the top-100 players. Tsitsipas is off to a disappointing 2-0 start in his clay-court campaign, but these losses came at the hands of two solid clay-court players in Cerundolo and Maroszan. I understand that Tsitsipas, given his reputation as a former top-3 player and Grand Slam finalist, should have beaten these players. However, if there was a moral victory to be taken from these setbacks, then it would be that this lesser version of Tsitsipas still competed well in these two losses.
Kypson has a solid win percentage on clay (67 percent), but I am not buying his stock against Tsitsipas. Kypson is a dangerous player on the hard court, especially if that serve is on, but on clay, I just don’t see him touching Tsitsipas, even in this watered-down state. After all, he is 1-7 against top-100 players in 2026.
Our betting prediction for Patrick Kypson vs. Stefanos Tsitsipas: Stefanos Tsitsipas -3.5 Games
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