Pablo Carreño-Busta vs Marton Fucsovics Prediction & Picks - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Prediction published on 4/23/26, 1:13 AM  by Bradley Gibbs | Modified on 4/28/26 at 6:31 AM in ATP Mutua Madrid Open Picks

One of Thursday's more interesting matches at the Mutua Madrid Open, on the ATP side of things, is the one between Pablo Carreno-Busta and Marton Fucsovics. The Spaniard may be ranked below his Hungarian opponent, but we should not discount him on that basis alone. Having played 11 clay-court matches in 2026, Carreno-Busta is the man with much more relevant recent experience under his belt. 

In contrast, Fucsovics has played just one clay-court match since May of last year, losing in straight sets. In time, we can expect Fucsovics to improve on this surface, but clearly, he's not yet at his best, which gives his lower-ranked opponent a much greater chance. To be honest, with the home crowd behind him, Carreno-Busta should fancu himself to get the job done. After all, he has a match against a player who does not have a habit of going beyond the first round at the Madrid Open.