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Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Prediction & Picks - NBA

USA - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
5/11/25 14:30
Denver Nuggets

Prediction:

 

Aaron Gordon Over 1.5 Threes Made

+120
$200 offered for betting!

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 by Matt Lowrimore in NBA Picks

Game 4 of this Western Conference series between the top-seeded Oklahoma City Thunder and fourth-seeded Denver Nuggets will continue on Sunday in Denver. Let’s take a look at the match statistics and predictions to determine if the Thunder can even up the series or if the Nuggets will take a commanding lead.

Denver enters this game having bounced back in a huge way from their Game 2 loss by winning Game 3 in overtime by a score of 113-104. The Nuggets had four starters score at least 20 points, led by Jamal Murray, who scored a team-high 27 points. As a team, Denver was also efficient, shooting 39 of 85 from the field (45.9%) and 16 of 40 from three-point range (40%).

As for Oklahoma City, they are once again in a must-win situation after losing Game 3, as they cannot afford to go down 3-1 in this series. The Thunder had four starters score at least 10 points or more and were led by Jalen Williams, who scored a game-high 32 points. However, Oklahoma City struggled from the field, shooting 40 of 104 (38.5%) from the field and 9 of 35 (25.7%) from the three-point line as a team.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Form

Oklahoma City Thunder and Denver Nuggets Latest Matches

Oklahoma City Thunder
Oklahoma City Thunder Latest matches
W W W L W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

May 9, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
104 :  113
Denver Nuggets

May 7, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
106 :  149
Oklahoma City Thunder

May 5, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
121 :  119
Oklahoma City Thunder

Apr 26, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
117 :  115
Memphis Grizzlies

Apr 24, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
114 :  108
Memphis Grizzlies

Apr 22, 2025 - NBA

Memphis Grizzlies
99 :  118
Oklahoma City Thunder
L W W W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

May 7, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
106 :  149
Oklahoma City Thunder

May 5, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
121 :  119
Oklahoma City Thunder

Apr 22, 2025 - NBA

Memphis Grizzlies
99 :  118
Oklahoma City Thunder

Apr 20, 2025 - NBA

Memphis Grizzlies
80 :  131
Oklahoma City Thunder

Apr 8, 2025 - NBA

Los Angeles Lakers
120 :  136
Oklahoma City Thunder

Apr 6, 2025 - NBA

Los Angeles Lakers
126 :  99
Oklahoma City Thunder
W W W W W L
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

May 9, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
104 :  113
Denver Nuggets

Apr 26, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
117 :  115
Memphis Grizzlies

Apr 24, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
114 :  108
Memphis Grizzlies

Apr 13, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
115 :  100
New Orleans Pelicans

Apr 11, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
145 :  111
Utah Jazz

Apr 9, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
125 :  112
Phoenix Suns
Denver Nuggets
Denver Nuggets Latest matches
W L W W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

May 9, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
104 :  113
Denver Nuggets

May 7, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
106 :  149
Oklahoma City Thunder

May 5, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
121 :  119
Oklahoma City Thunder

May 3, 2025 - NBA

LA Clippers
101 :  120
Denver Nuggets

May 1, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
105 :  111
LA Clippers

Apr 29, 2025 - NBA

LA Clippers
115 :  131
Denver Nuggets
W W L W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

May 9, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
104 :  113
Denver Nuggets

May 3, 2025 - NBA

LA Clippers
101 :  120
Denver Nuggets

Apr 29, 2025 - NBA

LA Clippers
115 :  131
Denver Nuggets

Apr 21, 2025 - NBA

LA Clippers
105 :  102
Denver Nuggets

Apr 19, 2025 - NBA

LA Clippers
110 :  112
Denver Nuggets

Apr 11, 2025 - NBA

Memphis Grizzlies
109 :  117
Denver Nuggets
W L W L W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

May 7, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
106 :  149
Oklahoma City Thunder

May 5, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
121 :  119
Oklahoma City Thunder

May 1, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
105 :  111
LA Clippers

Apr 26, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
101 :  99
LA Clippers

Apr 24, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
83 :  117
LA Clippers

Apr 13, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
126 :  111
Houston Rockets

Oklahoma City Thunder against Denver Nuggets : Head to Head (H2H)

Oklahoma City Thunder

33 %

Denver Nuggets

67 %

May 9, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
104 :  113
Denver Nuggets

May 7, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
106 :  149
Oklahoma City Thunder

May 5, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
121 :  119
Oklahoma City Thunder

Mar 10, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
140 :  127
Oklahoma City Thunder

Mar 9, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
103 :  127
Oklahoma City Thunder

Nov 6, 2024 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
122 :  124
Denver Nuggets

Oklahoma City Thunder - Denver Nuggets Key Points

  1. Denver is 5-5 ATS in the playoffs
  2. Six Denver players are averaging more than 10 points per game in the playoffs
  3. Denver is shooting 38.5% from three-point range in the playoffs
  4. Aaron Gordon is shooting 60% from three-point range in this series

Our Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Prediction

Given how this series has gone so far, the point spread looks a bit risky with the Thunder as the clear favorite. Therefore, instead of backing either team, we are going to target a player prop. More specifically, Aaron Gordon from the Nuggets to go over his made three-pointer total of 1.5. 

Gordon has low-key been one of the Nuggets' best players throughout this series. He may not put up the numbers like Jokic and Murray, but he has been clutch, and this starts with his three-point shooting. In Game 1, Gordon made a game-winning three-pointer with just seconds left, and in Game 3, Gordon made a game-tying three-pointer with seconds left to force overtime, which led to a Denver win.

Gordon is shooting 9 of 15 (60%) from three-point range in this series and has made at least two three-pointers in all three games. Because Gordon has found his range from the three-point line in this series, our Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder prediction is Aaron Gordon Over 1.5 Made Threes.

Prediction:

 

Aaron Gordon Over 1.5 Threes Made

+120
$200 offered for betting!

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Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Picks