Novak Djokovic vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Prediction & Picks - ATP Indian Wells
ATP - ATP Indian Wells
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by Lou Aguila | in ATP Indian Wells Picks
Unlock a +135 price on the alternative game spread at FanDuel when Novajk Djokovic shoots for an emphatic win over Aleksandar Kovacevic in the third round of the 2026 Indian Wells Open.
Current Form:
Novak Djokovic shook off some rust to take down Kamil Majchrzak in three sets, 4-6, 6-1, 6-2, in the second round of the 2026 Indian Wells Open. The 24-time Grand Slam winner is competing in his first tournament since losing to Carlos Alcaraz in the final of the 2026 Australian Open. Djokovic decided to skip the Middle Eastern swing of the ATP Tour to keep his body in shape for the big tournament such as the Indian Wells. This decision was starting to look like a mistake as Djokovic committed two double faults and got broken twice in a sluggish first half. However, the former world’s No.1 eventually found his rhythm in the second and third sets to put the Pole away for good.
Earning the opportunity to play the best tennis player of all time is Aleksandar Kovacevic, who posted impressive straight-sets wins over Corentin Moutet 6-1, 6-4 and Hubert Hurkacz 7-6, 7-6 to reach the round of 32 of the Indian Wells Open. Holding a 9-8 record this season, Kovacevic has been an efficient server this season, winning 81 percent of his first serves and saving almost 70 percent of breakpoints. On the bad note, he has only converted 30 percent of 62 BP chances and 8-8 in tiebreakers.
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Novak Djokovic vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Form
Novak Djokovic and Aleksandar Kovacevic Latest Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Mar 7, 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
Feb 1, 2026 - ATP Australian Open
Jan 30, 2026 - ATP Australian Open
Jan 24, 2026 - ATP Australian Open
Jan 21, 2026 - ATP Australian Open
Jan 19, 2026 - ATP Australian Open
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Mar 7, 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
Mar 5, 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
Feb 25, 2026 - ATP Acapulco Open
Feb 23, 2026 - ATP Acapulco Open
Feb 17, 2026 - ATP Delray Beach Open
Feb 12, 2026 - Dallas Open
Novak Djokovic against Aleksandar Kovacevic : Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
May 29, 2023 - ATP French Open
Novak Djokovic - Aleksandar Kovacevic Key Points
- Aleksandar Kovacevic has a career 0-3 record vs. the top-5 players.
- Aleksandar Kovacevic is winning 81 percent of his first serves in 2026.
- Novak Djokovic is 6-1 on the ATP Tour this season.
- Novak Djokovic swept Aleksandar Kovacevic in their first meeting at the 2023 French Open.
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Our Novak Djokovic vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Prediction
Fearless Forecast: Novak Djokovic sweeps Aleksandar Kovacevic 6-3, 6-3
Djokovic, who opened as a -1250 favorite on the moneyline market, will put on a much better performance against Kovacevic on Monday. After getting a good workout in his shaky second-round win over Majchrzak, Djokovic will be coming into the third round sharper and more battle-ready for everything Kovacevic could throw at him in their match.
Kovacevic is 0-3 in his three previous matches against top-5 opponents. The American also bowed to Djokovic in straight sets in the first round of the 2023 French Open. The Serb may not be as good as he was during his heyday, but his recent run at the Australian Open proved that he’s still better than 99 percent of players on the tour.
Kovacevic is a terrific server with an 81% first serve win percentage. However, he’s facing the best returner in the history of tennis in Djokovic. Kovacevic has conceded only one service game in two matches at Indian Wells this year. Against Djokovic, the chances of Kovacevic getting broken more than once shoot up dramatically. This is the reason I feel Djokovic at -5.5 games (+135 on FanDuel) on the alternative game spread is a tantalizing pick because the Serb is still one of the best in the game at breaking his opponent’s serves.
Our betting prediction for Novak Djokovic vs. Aleksandar Kovacevic: Novak Djokovic -5.5 Games
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
