North Texas Mean Green vs San Diego State Aztecs Prediction & Picks - NCAA Division I, FBS, Playoffs

USA - NCAA Division I, FBS, Playoffs

North Texas Mean Green
12/27/25 17:45
San Diego State Aztecs

Prediction:

 

North Texas Mean Green ML

-225
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 by Matt Lowrimore in Football Picks

One of the games on the Saturday College Football slate will see the 25th-ranked North Texas Mean Green take on the San Diego State Aztecs in the Isleta New Mexico Bowl. Let’s take a look at the match statistics and predictions for this game between the Mean Green and the Aztecs.

North Texas enters this game having finished with a record of 11-2. The Mean Green most recently lost to the Tulane Green Wave in the American Athletic Championship by a score of 34-21. North Texas’ offense had a total of 415 yards, while its defense allowed 344 yards. Quarterback Drew Mestemaker threw for 294 yards, two touchdowns, and three interceptions, while running back Ashton Gray led the team in rushing with 47 yards and one touchdown.

As for San Diego State, they enter this game having finished the season 9-3. The Aztecs most recently lost to the New Mexico Lobos in week 14 by a score of 23-17. San Diego State’s offense had a total of 355 yards, while its defense allowed 308 yards. Quarterback Jayden Denegal threw for 162 yards, one touchdown, and one interception, while running back Lucky Sutton led the team in rushing with 110 yards and one touchdown. 

North Texas Mean Green vs San Diego State Aztecs Form

Table

Teams % P W D L
14
San Diego State Aztecs
San Diego State Aztecs
0 0 0 0 0
14
North Texas Mean Green
North Texas Mean Green
0 0 0 0 0

North Texas Mean Green and San Diego State Aztecs Latest Matches

North Texas Mean Green
North Texas Mean Green Latest matches
W W W W W L
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Dec 5, 2025 - NCAA

North Texas Mean Green
21 :  34
Tulane Green Wave

Nov 28, 2025 - NCAA

Temple Owls
25 :  52
North Texas Mean Green

Nov 22, 2025 - NCAA

North Texas Mean Green
56 :  24
Rice Owls

Nov 15, 2025 - NCAA

North Texas Mean Green
53 :  24
UAB Blazers

Nov 1, 2025 - NCAA

Navy Midshipmen
17 :  31
North Texas Mean Green

Oct 24, 2025 - NCAA

North Texas Mean Green
54 :  20
Charlotte 49ers
W W L W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Nov 28, 2025 - NCAA

Temple Owls
25 :  52
North Texas Mean Green

Nov 1, 2025 - NCAA

Navy Midshipmen
17 :  31
North Texas Mean Green

Oct 18, 2025 - NCAA

UTSA Roadrunners
17 :  55
North Texas Mean Green

Oct 10, 2025 - NCAA

South Florida Bulls
63 :  36
North Texas Mean Green

Sep 27, 2025 - NCAA

South Alabama Jaguars
22 :  36
North Texas Mean Green

Sep 13, 2025 - NCAA

Washington State Cougars
10 :  59
North Texas Mean Green
W W W W W L
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Dec 5, 2025 - NCAA

North Texas Mean Green
21 :  34
Tulane Green Wave

Nov 22, 2025 - NCAA

North Texas Mean Green
56 :  24
Rice Owls

Nov 15, 2025 - NCAA

North Texas Mean Green
53 :  24
UAB Blazers

Oct 24, 2025 - NCAA

North Texas Mean Green
54 :  20
Charlotte 49ers

Sep 20, 2025 - NCAA

North Texas Mean Green
45 :  38
Army Black Knights

Sep 6, 2025 - NCAA

North Texas Mean Green
33 :  30
Western Michigan Broncos
San Diego State Aztecs
San Diego State Aztecs Latest matches
W W L W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Nov 28, 2025 - NCAA

San Diego State Aztecs
17 :  23
New Mexico Lobos

Nov 22, 2025 - NCAA

San Jose State Spartans
3 :  25
San Diego State Aztecs

Nov 15, 2025 - NCAA

Boise State Broncos
7 :  17
San Diego State Aztecs

Nov 8, 2025 - NCAA

San Diego State Aztecs
6 :  38
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors

Nov 1, 2025 - NCAA

Wyoming Cowboys
7 :  24
San Diego State Aztecs

Oct 25, 2025 - NCAA

San Diego State Aztecs
23 :  0
Fresno State Bulldogs
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Nov 22, 2025 - NCAA

San Jose State Spartans
3 :  25
San Diego State Aztecs

Nov 15, 2025 - NCAA

Boise State Broncos
7 :  17
San Diego State Aztecs

Nov 1, 2025 - NCAA

Wyoming Cowboys
7 :  24
San Diego State Aztecs

Oct 3, 2025 - NCAA

Colorado State Rams
24 :  45
San Diego State Aztecs

Sep 20, 2025 - NCAA

California Golden Bears
0 :  34
San Diego State Aztecs

Aug 28, 2025 - NCAA

Stony Brook Seawolves
0 :  42
San Diego State Aztecs
L W W W L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Nov 28, 2025 - NCAA

San Diego State Aztecs
17 :  23
New Mexico Lobos

Nov 8, 2025 - NCAA

San Diego State Aztecs
6 :  38
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors

Oct 25, 2025 - NCAA

San Diego State Aztecs
23 :  0
Fresno State Bulldogs

Oct 11, 2025 - NCAA

San Diego State Aztecs
44 :  10
Nevada Wolf Pack

Sep 27, 2025 - NCAA

San Diego State Aztecs
6 :  3
Northern Illinois Huskies

Sep 6, 2025 - NCAA

San Diego State Aztecs
13 :  36
Washington State Cougars

North Texas Mean Green - San Diego State Aztecs Key Points

  1. North Texas is averaging 46.2 points per game
  2. North Texas is allowing 24.9 points per game
  3. SDSU is averaging 24.8 points per game
  4. SDSU is averaging 12.6 points per game

Our North Texas Mean Green vs San Diego State Aztecs Prediction

North Texas is close to a touchdown favorite in this matchup, but still looks to be the best betting option. The Mean Green had one of the highest scoring offenses this season, averaging 46.2 points per game. This is compared to a San Diego State offense that averaged 24.8 points per game.

The Aztecs do have the advantage in defense, as they have allowed an average of only 12.6 points per game this season. That being said, the Aztecs’ offense is much too inconsistent to be able to keep up with the Mean Green’s offense. 

Therefore, given the ability of North Texas’s offense, our North Texas Mean Green vs San Diego State Aztecs prediction is: North Texas Mean Green ML.

Prediction:

 

North Texas Mean Green ML

-225
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North Texas Mean Green vs San Diego State Aztecs Picks