New York Liberty vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction & Picks - WNBA

USA - WNBA

New York Liberty
6/27/25 22:00
Phoenix Mercury

Prediction:

 

Phoenix Mercury to cover +3.5 spread.

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 by Stephen Abiola in WNBA Picks

Phoenix Mercury (11-4) will look to continue their red-hot streak when they host New York Liberty (10-2) on Friday night at Footprint Center. The Mercury has been one of the strongest teams in the league this season, thanks to the acquisition of star names like Alyssa Thomas and Satou Sabally. They are second in the Western Conference, just 2.0 games behind Minnesota, and third in the WNBA standings. Phoenix Mercury is undoubtedly a threat to anyone, especially at home.

New York Liberty, on the other hand, is firmly on course to defend the WNBA title. The 2024 champions will come into this matchup looking to avenge their 8-point loss to the Mercury at home last Friday. They can bounce back when they start their four-game road trek with a matchup against the Storm on Sunday before facing the Valkyries, the Mercury, and the Dream. Coming out of this schedule unscathed could make them untouchable this season.

New York Liberty vs Phoenix Mercury Form

Table

Teams % P W L Series
1
New York Liberty
New York Liberty
0.786 14 11 3 1
2
Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix Mercury
0.733 15 11 4 5

New York Liberty and Phoenix Mercury Latest Matches

New York Liberty
New York Liberty Latest matches
W L W L L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Jun 25, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
81 :  78
Golden State Valkyries

Jun 22, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
79 :  89
Seattle Storm

Jun 19, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
89 :  81
New York Liberty

Jun 17, 2025 - WNBA

Atlanta Dream
81 :  86
New York Liberty

Jun 14, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
88 :  102
Indiana Fever

Jun 10, 2025 - WNBA

Chicago Sky
66 :  85
New York Liberty
W W W W W L
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Jun 19, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
89 :  81
New York Liberty

Jun 17, 2025 - WNBA

Atlanta Dream
81 :  86
New York Liberty

Jun 10, 2025 - WNBA

Chicago Sky
66 :  85
New York Liberty

Jun 1, 2025 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
52 :  100
New York Liberty

May 29, 2025 - WNBA

Golden State Valkyries
77 :  82
New York Liberty

May 27, 2025 - WNBA

Golden State Valkyries
67 :  95
New York Liberty
W W W L L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jun 25, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
81 :  78
Golden State Valkyries

Jun 22, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
79 :  89
Seattle Storm

Jun 14, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
88 :  102
Indiana Fever

Jun 5, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
86 :  78
Washington Mystics

May 30, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
85 :  63
Washington Mystics

May 24, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
90 :  88
Indiana Fever
Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix Mercury Latest matches
L W W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Jun 21, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
107 :  86
Chicago Sky

Jun 19, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
89 :  81
New York Liberty

Jun 18, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
83 :  75
Connecticut Sun

Jun 15, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
76 :  70
Las Vegas Aces

Jun 11, 2025 - WNBA

Dallas Wings
80 :  93
Phoenix Mercury

Jun 7, 2025 - WNBA

Seattle Storm
89 :  77
Phoenix Mercury
W W L W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jun 11, 2025 - WNBA

Dallas Wings
80 :  93
Phoenix Mercury

Jun 7, 2025 - WNBA

Seattle Storm
89 :  77
Phoenix Mercury

Jun 5, 2025 - WNBA

Golden State Valkyries
77 :  86
Phoenix Mercury

May 30, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
74 :  71
Phoenix Mercury

May 27, 2025 - WNBA

Chicago Sky
89 :  94
Phoenix Mercury

May 25, 2025 - WNBA

Washington Mystics
62 :  68
Phoenix Mercury
W L W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Jun 21, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
107 :  86
Chicago Sky

Jun 19, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
89 :  81
New York Liberty

Jun 18, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
83 :  75
Connecticut Sun

Jun 15, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
76 :  70
Las Vegas Aces

Jun 3, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
65 :  88
Minnesota Lynx

Jun 1, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
85 :  80
L.a. Sparks

New York Liberty against Phoenix Mercury : Head to Head (H2H)

New York Liberty

60 %

Phoenix Mercury

40 %

Jun 19, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
89 :  81
New York Liberty

Aug 26, 2024 - WNBA

New York Liberty
84 :  70
Phoenix Mercury

Jun 18, 2024 - WNBA

New York Liberty
93 :  99
Phoenix Mercury

May 29, 2024 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
78 :  81
New York Liberty

Jul 5, 2023 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
95 :  99
New York Liberty

New York Liberty - Phoenix Mercury Key Points

  1. The total points went over in six of the last seven Phoenix games.
  2. Phoenix Mercury won against the spread in four of the last five matches.
  3. The total points went over in four of the last five New York games.
  4. New York Liberty lost against the spread in four of the last five matches.

Our New York Liberty vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction

We expect a close matchup between these highly efficient sides. The Mercury are exceptional at home, winning six of their eight assignments. They are also riding on a five-game winning streak and have a week of rest before facing the defending champions. The Liberty, meanwhile, will carry the league's best attack into this game, averaging 89.1 PPG this season. They are also the better side in defense, averaging 76.3 PAPG, which is second in the league. 

Our prediction for Phoenix Mercury vs New York Liberty: Phoenix Mercury to cover +3.5 spread.

Prediction:

 

Phoenix Mercury to cover +3.5 spread.

-160
$150 offered for betting!

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New York Liberty vs Phoenix Mercury Picks