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by Stephen Abiola in WNBA Picks
Phoenix Mercury (11-4) will look to continue their red-hot streak when they host New York Liberty (10-2) on Friday night at Footprint Center. The Mercury has been one of the strongest teams in the league this season, thanks to the acquisition of star names like Alyssa Thomas and Satou Sabally. They are second in the Western Conference, just 2.0 games behind Minnesota, and third in the WNBA standings. Phoenix Mercury is undoubtedly a threat to anyone, especially at home.
New York Liberty, on the other hand, is firmly on course to defend the WNBA title. The 2024 champions will come into this matchup looking to avenge their 8-point loss to the Mercury at home last Friday. They can bounce back when they start their four-game road trek with a matchup against the Storm on Sunday before facing the Valkyries, the Mercury, and the Dream. Coming out of this schedule unscathed could make them untouchable this season.
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New York Liberty vs Phoenix Mercury Form
Table
Teams | % | P | W | L | Series |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1
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0.786 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 1 |
2
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0.733 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 5 |
New York Liberty and Phoenix Mercury Latest Matches

3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Jun 25, 2025 - WNBA
Jun 22, 2025 - WNBA
Jun 19, 2025 - WNBA
Jun 17, 2025 - WNBA
Jun 14, 2025 - WNBA
Jun 10, 2025 - WNBA
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Jun 19, 2025 - WNBA
Jun 17, 2025 - WNBA
Jun 10, 2025 - WNBA
Jun 1, 2025 - WNBA
May 29, 2025 - WNBA
May 27, 2025 - WNBA
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Jun 25, 2025 - WNBA
Jun 22, 2025 - WNBA
Jun 14, 2025 - WNBA
Jun 5, 2025 - WNBA
May 30, 2025 - WNBA
May 24, 2025 - WNBA

5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Jun 21, 2025 - WNBA
Jun 19, 2025 - WNBA
Jun 18, 2025 - WNBA
Jun 15, 2025 - WNBA
Jun 11, 2025 - WNBA
Jun 7, 2025 - WNBA
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Jun 11, 2025 - WNBA
Jun 7, 2025 - WNBA
Jun 5, 2025 - WNBA
May 30, 2025 - WNBA
May 27, 2025 - WNBA
May 25, 2025 - WNBA
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Jun 21, 2025 - WNBA
Jun 19, 2025 - WNBA
Jun 18, 2025 - WNBA
Jun 15, 2025 - WNBA
Jun 3, 2025 - WNBA
Jun 1, 2025 - WNBA
New York Liberty against Phoenix Mercury : Head to Head (H2H)
60 %
40 %
Jun 19, 2025 - WNBA
Aug 26, 2024 - WNBA
Jun 18, 2024 - WNBA
May 29, 2024 - WNBA
Jul 5, 2023 - WNBA
New York Liberty - Phoenix Mercury Key Points
- The total points went over in six of the last seven Phoenix games.
- Phoenix Mercury won against the spread in four of the last five matches.
- The total points went over in four of the last five New York games.
- New York Liberty lost against the spread in four of the last five matches.
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Our New York Liberty vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction
We expect a close matchup between these highly efficient sides. The Mercury are exceptional at home, winning six of their eight assignments. They are also riding on a five-game winning streak and have a week of rest before facing the defending champions. The Liberty, meanwhile, will carry the league's best attack into this game, averaging 89.1 PPG this season. They are also the better side in defense, averaging 76.3 PAPG, which is second in the league.
Our prediction for Phoenix Mercury vs New York Liberty: Phoenix Mercury to cover +3.5 spread.
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