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by Erik Gibbs in WNBA Picks
The New York Liberty will begin a challenging week-long road trip today with a matchup against the Los Angeles Sparks at Crypto.com Arena. This contest marks the third and final regular-season meeting between the two sides, with the series currently tied 1-1. The Sparks remain in ninth place in the WNBA standings but are just half a game out of the final playoff spot, while the Liberty are clinging to the league’s second position despite recent struggles.
Los Angeles enters the game on a high note following a thrilling 94-91 victory over the Seattle Storm. Offensively, the team has been on a tear, scoring 90 or more points in nine of its last 11 games, and currently ranking third in the league in scoring at 84.9 points per game. However, defense remains a major concern for Los Angeles, which sits last in the WNBA in points allowed at 87.8 per contest.
The Liberty, defending their 2024 WNBA championship, are coming off a disappointing 83-71 defeat against the Minnesota Lynx. Star guard Sabrina Ionescu struggled mightily, shooting just 4-of-15 from the floor, while New York’s defense faltered by allowing Minnesota to hit over 48% of their shots.
Offensively, the Liberty managed just under 43% shooting themselves. While their defense has been a bright spot for much of the season—holding four of their last five opponents under 80 points—road performance has been a weak point.
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New York Liberty vs L.a. Sparks Form
Table
| Teams | % | P | W | L | Series |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
0.645 | 31 | 20 | 11 | -1 |
|
6
|
0.484 | 31 | 15 | 16 | 1 |
New York Liberty and L.a. Sparks Latest Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Aug 10, 2025 - WNBA
Aug 8, 2025 - WNBA
Aug 5, 2025 - WNBA
Aug 3, 2025 - WNBA
Aug 1, 2025 - WNBA
Jul 30, 2025 - WNBA
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Aug 10, 2025 - WNBA
Aug 5, 2025 - WNBA
Jul 26, 2025 - WNBA
Jul 25, 2025 - WNBA
Jul 22, 2025 - WNBA
Jul 16, 2025 - WNBA
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Aug 8, 2025 - WNBA
Aug 3, 2025 - WNBA
Aug 1, 2025 - WNBA
Jul 30, 2025 - WNBA
Jul 28, 2025 - WNBA
Jun 29, 2025 - WNBA
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Aug 10, 2025 - WNBA
Aug 9, 2025 - WNBA
Aug 7, 2025 - WNBA
Aug 5, 2025 - WNBA
Aug 1, 2025 - WNBA
Jul 29, 2025 - WNBA
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Aug 10, 2025 - WNBA
Aug 7, 2025 - WNBA
Aug 5, 2025 - WNBA
Jul 29, 2025 - WNBA
Jul 15, 2025 - WNBA
Jul 13, 2025 - WNBA
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Aug 9, 2025 - WNBA
Aug 1, 2025 - WNBA
Jul 26, 2025 - WNBA
Jul 24, 2025 - WNBA
Jul 22, 2025 - WNBA
Jul 5, 2025 - WNBA
New York Liberty against L.a. Sparks : Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
Jul 26, 2025 - WNBA
Jul 3, 2025 - WNBA
Aug 28, 2024 - WNBA
Aug 15, 2024 - WNBA
Jun 22, 2024 - WNBA
Jun 20, 2024 - WNBA
New York Liberty - L.a. Sparks Key Points
- The Sparks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games
- The Liberty are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games
- The Over is 0-5 in the Liberty's last 5 games
- The Over is 2-11 in the Sparks' last 13 games
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Our New York Liberty vs L.a. Sparks Prediction
New York is without a key contributor in Breanna Stewart, who remains sidelined with a knee injury. Averaging 18.3 points and 6.5 rebounds per game, Stewart’s absence has been felt on both ends of the floor. Although she is expected back at some point in August, she will not be available for this matchup.
The Sparks’ offensive firepower, bolstered by efficient three-point shooting (ranking sixth in the league at 9.0 makes per game), has fueled a recent surge in form. They have won four of their last five games and are finding better balance between their primary scorers.
However, their defensive vulnerability leaves the door open for the Liberty, who typically score in the 85-88 point range and have the defensive chops to limit high-scoring opponents.
Given Los Angeles’ momentum and recent home form, they appear well-positioned to edge out the Liberty in this crucial late-season showdown. A win would not only give them the regular-season series but also strengthen their playoff hopes. Our prediction for LA Sparks vs. New York Liberty: Under 176.5 points.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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