Atlanta Dream vs New York Liberty Prediction & Picks - WNBA

USA - WNBA

Atlanta Dream
8/23/25 14:00
New York Liberty

Prediction:

 

Over 165.5

-110
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 by Erik Gibbs | in WNBA Picks

The Atlanta Dream enter today's match against the New York Liberty in strong form, carrying momentum from a series of impressive recent results. They have won eight of their last ten games, including a narrow victory in their most recent outing, a 75-73 win that tied a franchise record for total wins this season.

Atlanta’s defense has been tenacious, and they’ve shown they can compete with the league’s elite—just days ago pushing the top-ranked Minnesota Lynx to the brink in a close contest. The Dream currently sit at 23–13, slightly ahead in the Eastern Conference race, and their balanced team effort has been key to this surge. On the other side, the New York Liberty have had an up-and-down stretch.

The defending WNBA champions are 5–5 in their last ten games and are coming off a surprising 91-85 home loss to the struggling Chicago Sky. That defeat snapped some of New York’s momentum and dropped their record to 22–14. Consistency has eluded the Liberty lately, especially with their three-point shooting cooling off in second halves of games. With just a one-game difference between these teams in the standings, New York will be eager to bounce back and regain its championship-caliber form in this important road contest.

Atlanta Dream vs New York Liberty Form

Table

Teams % P W L Series
2
Atlanta Dream
Atlanta Dream
0.682 44 30 14 6
4
New York Liberty
New York Liberty
0.614 44 27 17 3

Atlanta Dream and New York Liberty Latest Matches

Atlanta Dream
Atlanta Dream Latest matches
W W L W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Aug 21, 2025 - WNBA

Atlanta Dream
75 :  73
Minnesota Lynx

Aug 19, 2025 - WNBA

Las Vegas Aces
74 :  72
Atlanta Dream

Aug 17, 2025 - WNBA

Golden State Valkyries
63 :  79
Atlanta Dream

Aug 15, 2025 - WNBA

Atlanta Dream
78 :  80
Seattle Storm

Aug 13, 2025 - WNBA

Seattle Storm
75 :  85
Atlanta Dream

Aug 10, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
66 :  74
Atlanta Dream
W L W W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Aug 21, 2025 - WNBA

Atlanta Dream
75 :  73
Minnesota Lynx

Aug 15, 2025 - WNBA

Atlanta Dream
78 :  80
Seattle Storm

Aug 3, 2025 - WNBA

Atlanta Dream
99 :  83
Washington Mystics

Aug 1, 2025 - WNBA

Atlanta Dream
95 :  72
Phoenix Mercury

Jul 29, 2025 - WNBA

Atlanta Dream
75 :  77
Golden State Valkyries

Jul 7, 2025 - WNBA

Atlanta Dream
90 :  81
Golden State Valkyries
W W W W W L
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Aug 19, 2025 - WNBA

Las Vegas Aces
74 :  72
Atlanta Dream

Aug 17, 2025 - WNBA

Golden State Valkyries
63 :  79
Atlanta Dream

Aug 13, 2025 - WNBA

Seattle Storm
75 :  85
Atlanta Dream

Aug 10, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
66 :  74
Atlanta Dream

Aug 7, 2025 - WNBA

Chicago Sky
65 :  86
Atlanta Dream

Jul 30, 2025 - WNBA

Dallas Wings
85 :  88
Atlanta Dream
New York Liberty
New York Liberty Latest matches
L W L L W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Aug 21, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
85 :  91
Chicago Sky

Aug 19, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
85 :  75
Minnesota Lynx

Aug 16, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
86 :  80
New York Liberty

Aug 13, 2025 - WNBA

Las Vegas Aces
83 :  77
New York Liberty

Aug 12, 2025 - WNBA

L.a. Sparks
97 :  105
New York Liberty

Aug 10, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
71 :  83
Minnesota Lynx
W L W L W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Aug 21, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
85 :  91
Chicago Sky

Aug 19, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
85 :  75
Minnesota Lynx

Aug 10, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
71 :  83
Minnesota Lynx

Aug 5, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
85 :  76
Dallas Wings

Jul 26, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
99 :  101
L.a. Sparks

Jul 25, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
89 :  76
Phoenix Mercury
L W W W L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Aug 16, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
86 :  80
New York Liberty

Aug 13, 2025 - WNBA

Las Vegas Aces
83 :  77
New York Liberty

Aug 12, 2025 - WNBA

L.a. Sparks
97 :  105
New York Liberty

Aug 8, 2025 - WNBA

Dallas Wings
77 :  88
New York Liberty

Aug 3, 2025 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
78 :  87
New York Liberty

Aug 1, 2025 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
78 :  62
New York Liberty

Atlanta Dream against New York Liberty : Head to Head (H2H)

Atlanta Dream

33 %

New York Liberty

67 %

Jul 13, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
79 :  72
Atlanta Dream

Jun 29, 2025 - WNBA

Atlanta Dream
90 :  81
New York Liberty

Jun 17, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
86 :  81
Atlanta Dream

Sep 24, 2024 - WNBA

New York Liberty
91 :  82
Atlanta Dream

Sep 22, 2024 - WNBA

New York Liberty
83 :  69
Atlanta Dream

Sep 19, 2024 - WNBA

New York Liberty
67 :  78
Atlanta Dream

Players list

Atlanta Dream
Atlanta Dream
B. Jones Goalkeeper

T. Paopao

R. Howard

A. Gray

Forward

N. Hillmon

New York Liberty
New York Liberty
J. Jones Goalkeeper

M. Johannes

N. Cloud

Forward

L. Fiebich

E. Meesseman

Substitutes

Atlanta Dream
Atlanta Dream
B. Griner Goalkeeper

M. Caldwell

S. Walker-Kimbrough

Forward

N. Coffey

S. Kone

New York Liberty
New York Liberty
Goalkeeper

K. Burke

R. Gardner

Forward

S. Talbot

Atlanta Dream - New York Liberty Key Points

  1. The Liberty are 2-3 ATS in their last 5 games
  2. The Dream are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games
  3. The Over is 2-2 with 1 push in the Liberty's last 5 games
  4. The Over is 0-5 in the Dream's last 5 games

Our Atlanta Dream vs New York Liberty Prediction

Star power could be the deciding factor in this game’s second half. For Atlanta, guard Allisha Gray has been on fire – she poured in 27 points in the Dream’s last game and has routinely been the team’s top scorer of late. Her scoring bursts, combined with the all-around play of Rhyne Howard, give Atlanta a potent offensive punch.

Howard, the Dream’s young wing, has been consistently contributing around 15–20 points and providing tough perimeter defense in recent outings. On the Liberty side, All-Star guard Sabrina Ionescu remains a focal point, averaging about 19 points per game and coming off a 16-point effort in the recent loss. She is joined by former MVP Jonquel Jones, who had a standout 25-point performance in that defeat and has elevated her play with Breanna Stewart sidelined due to injury. Jones’s inside-out skillset makes her a matchup problem for any opponent.

This matchup is extremely close on paper, but Atlanta may hold a slight edge given their current form and home-court advantage. If Gray and Howard continue their high-level play and Atlanta’s defense stays sharp, the Dream look poised to win a tight game. New York’s chances likely hinge on Ionescu and Jones delivering big performances; otherwise, the Liberty could find it tough to outlast the surging Dream in Atlanta. Our prediction for Atlanta Dream vs New York Liberty: Over 165.5 points.

Prediction:

 

Over 165.5

-110
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Atlanta Dream vs New York Liberty Picks