New York Liberty vs Atlanta Dream Prediction & Picks - WNBA

USA - WNBA

New York Liberty
8/23/25 14:00
Atlanta Dream

Prediction:

 

Over 165.5

-110
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 by Erik Gibbs in WNBA Picks

The Atlanta Dream enter today's match against the New York Liberty in strong form, carrying momentum from a series of impressive recent results. They have won eight of their last ten games, including a narrow victory in their most recent outing, a 75-73 win that tied a franchise record for total wins this season.

Atlanta’s defense has been tenacious, and they’ve shown they can compete with the league’s elite—just days ago pushing the top-ranked Minnesota Lynx to the brink in a close contest. The Dream currently sit at 23–13, slightly ahead in the Eastern Conference race, and their balanced team effort has been key to this surge. On the other side, the New York Liberty have had an up-and-down stretch.

The defending WNBA champions are 5–5 in their last ten games and are coming off a surprising 91-85 home loss to the struggling Chicago Sky. That defeat snapped some of New York’s momentum and dropped their record to 22–14. Consistency has eluded the Liberty lately, especially with their three-point shooting cooling off in second halves of games. With just a one-game difference between these teams in the standings, New York will be eager to bounce back and regain its championship-caliber form in this important road contest.

New York Liberty vs Atlanta Dream Form

Table

Teams % P W L Series
1
Atlanta Dream
Atlanta Dream
0.639 36 23 13 1
2
New York Liberty
New York Liberty
0.611 36 22 14 -1

New York Liberty and Atlanta Dream Latest Matches

New York Liberty
New York Liberty Latest matches
L W L L W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Aug 21, 2025 - WNBA

Chicago Sky
91 :  85
New York Liberty

Aug 19, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
75 :  85
New York Liberty

Aug 16, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
80 :  86
Minnesota Lynx

Aug 13, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
77 :  83
Las Vegas Aces

Aug 12, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
105 :  97
L.a. Sparks

Aug 10, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
83 :  71
New York Liberty
W L W L W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Aug 21, 2025 - WNBA

Chicago Sky
91 :  85
New York Liberty

Aug 19, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
75 :  85
New York Liberty

Aug 10, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
83 :  71
New York Liberty

Aug 5, 2025 - WNBA

Dallas Wings
76 :  85
New York Liberty

Jul 26, 2025 - WNBA

L.a. Sparks
101 :  99
New York Liberty

Jul 25, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
76 :  89
New York Liberty
L W W W L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Aug 16, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
80 :  86
Minnesota Lynx

Aug 13, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
77 :  83
Las Vegas Aces

Aug 12, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
105 :  97
L.a. Sparks

Aug 8, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
88 :  77
Dallas Wings

Aug 3, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
87 :  78
Connecticut Sun

Aug 1, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
62 :  78
Connecticut Sun
Atlanta Dream
Atlanta Dream Latest matches
W W L W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Aug 21, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
73 :  75
Atlanta Dream

Aug 19, 2025 - WNBA

Atlanta Dream
72 :  74
Las Vegas Aces

Aug 17, 2025 - WNBA

Atlanta Dream
79 :  63
Golden State Valkyries

Aug 15, 2025 - WNBA

Seattle Storm
80 :  78
Atlanta Dream

Aug 13, 2025 - WNBA

Atlanta Dream
85 :  75
Seattle Storm

Aug 10, 2025 - WNBA

Atlanta Dream
74 :  66
Phoenix Mercury
W L W W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Aug 21, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
73 :  75
Atlanta Dream

Aug 15, 2025 - WNBA

Seattle Storm
80 :  78
Atlanta Dream

Aug 3, 2025 - WNBA

Washington Mystics
83 :  99
Atlanta Dream

Aug 1, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
72 :  95
Atlanta Dream

Jul 29, 2025 - WNBA

Golden State Valkyries
77 :  75
Atlanta Dream

Jul 7, 2025 - WNBA

Golden State Valkyries
81 :  90
Atlanta Dream
W W W W W L
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Aug 19, 2025 - WNBA

Atlanta Dream
72 :  74
Las Vegas Aces

Aug 17, 2025 - WNBA

Atlanta Dream
79 :  63
Golden State Valkyries

Aug 13, 2025 - WNBA

Atlanta Dream
85 :  75
Seattle Storm

Aug 10, 2025 - WNBA

Atlanta Dream
74 :  66
Phoenix Mercury

Aug 7, 2025 - WNBA

Atlanta Dream
86 :  65
Chicago Sky

Jul 30, 2025 - WNBA

Atlanta Dream
88 :  85
Dallas Wings

New York Liberty against Atlanta Dream : Head to Head (H2H)

New York Liberty

67 %

Atlanta Dream

33 %

Jul 13, 2025 - WNBA

Atlanta Dream
72 :  79
New York Liberty

Jun 29, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
81 :  90
Atlanta Dream

Jun 17, 2025 - WNBA

Atlanta Dream
81 :  86
New York Liberty

Sep 24, 2024 - WNBA

Atlanta Dream
82 :  91
New York Liberty

Sep 22, 2024 - WNBA

Atlanta Dream
69 :  83
New York Liberty

Sep 19, 2024 - WNBA

Atlanta Dream
78 :  67
New York Liberty

New York Liberty - Atlanta Dream Key Points

  1. The Liberty are 2-3 ATS in their last 5 games
  2. The Dream are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games
  3. The Over is 2-2 with 1 push in the Liberty's last 5 games
  4. The Over is 0-5 in the Dream's last 5 games

Our New York Liberty vs Atlanta Dream Prediction

Star power could be the deciding factor in this game’s second half. For Atlanta, guard Allisha Gray has been on fire – she poured in 27 points in the Dream’s last game and has routinely been the team’s top scorer of late. Her scoring bursts, combined with the all-around play of Rhyne Howard, give Atlanta a potent offensive punch.

Howard, the Dream’s young wing, has been consistently contributing around 15–20 points and providing tough perimeter defense in recent outings. On the Liberty side, All-Star guard Sabrina Ionescu remains a focal point, averaging about 19 points per game and coming off a 16-point effort in the recent loss. She is joined by former MVP Jonquel Jones, who had a standout 25-point performance in that defeat and has elevated her play with Breanna Stewart sidelined due to injury. Jones’s inside-out skillset makes her a matchup problem for any opponent.

This matchup is extremely close on paper, but Atlanta may hold a slight edge given their current form and home-court advantage. If Gray and Howard continue their high-level play and Atlanta’s defense stays sharp, the Dream look poised to win a tight game. New York’s chances likely hinge on Ionescu and Jones delivering big performances; otherwise, the Liberty could find it tough to outlast the surging Dream in Atlanta. Our prediction for Atlanta Dream vs New York Liberty: Over 165.5 points.

Prediction:

 

Over 165.5

-110
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New York Liberty vs Atlanta Dream Picks