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by Erik Gibbs in WNBA Picks
The Atlanta Dream enter today's match against the New York Liberty in strong form, carrying momentum from a series of impressive recent results. They have won eight of their last ten games, including a narrow victory in their most recent outing, a 75-73 win that tied a franchise record for total wins this season.
Atlanta’s defense has been tenacious, and they’ve shown they can compete with the league’s elite—just days ago pushing the top-ranked Minnesota Lynx to the brink in a close contest. The Dream currently sit at 23–13, slightly ahead in the Eastern Conference race, and their balanced team effort has been key to this surge. On the other side, the New York Liberty have had an up-and-down stretch.
The defending WNBA champions are 5–5 in their last ten games and are coming off a surprising 91-85 home loss to the struggling Chicago Sky. That defeat snapped some of New York’s momentum and dropped their record to 22–14. Consistency has eluded the Liberty lately, especially with their three-point shooting cooling off in second halves of games. With just a one-game difference between these teams in the standings, New York will be eager to bounce back and regain its championship-caliber form in this important road contest.
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New York Liberty vs Atlanta Dream Form
Table
Teams | % | P | W | L | Series |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1
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0.639 | 36 | 23 | 13 | 1 |
2
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0.611 | 36 | 22 | 14 | -1 |
New York Liberty and Atlanta Dream Latest Matches

2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Aug 21, 2025 - WNBA
Aug 19, 2025 - WNBA
Aug 16, 2025 - WNBA
Aug 13, 2025 - WNBA
Aug 12, 2025 - WNBA
Aug 10, 2025 - WNBA
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Aug 21, 2025 - WNBA
Aug 19, 2025 - WNBA
Aug 10, 2025 - WNBA
Aug 5, 2025 - WNBA
Jul 26, 2025 - WNBA
Jul 25, 2025 - WNBA
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Aug 16, 2025 - WNBA
Aug 13, 2025 - WNBA
Aug 12, 2025 - WNBA
Aug 8, 2025 - WNBA
Aug 3, 2025 - WNBA
Aug 1, 2025 - WNBA

4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Aug 21, 2025 - WNBA
Aug 19, 2025 - WNBA
Aug 17, 2025 - WNBA
Aug 15, 2025 - WNBA
Aug 13, 2025 - WNBA
Aug 10, 2025 - WNBA
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Aug 21, 2025 - WNBA
Aug 15, 2025 - WNBA
Aug 3, 2025 - WNBA
Aug 1, 2025 - WNBA
Jul 29, 2025 - WNBA
Jul 7, 2025 - WNBA
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Aug 19, 2025 - WNBA
Aug 17, 2025 - WNBA
Aug 13, 2025 - WNBA
Aug 10, 2025 - WNBA
Aug 7, 2025 - WNBA
Jul 30, 2025 - WNBA
New York Liberty against Atlanta Dream : Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
Jul 13, 2025 - WNBA
Jun 29, 2025 - WNBA
Jun 17, 2025 - WNBA
Sep 24, 2024 - WNBA
Sep 22, 2024 - WNBA
Sep 19, 2024 - WNBA
New York Liberty - Atlanta Dream Key Points
- The Liberty are 2-3 ATS in their last 5 games
- The Dream are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games
- The Over is 2-2 with 1 push in the Liberty's last 5 games
- The Over is 0-5 in the Dream's last 5 games
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Our New York Liberty vs Atlanta Dream Prediction
Star power could be the deciding factor in this game’s second half. For Atlanta, guard Allisha Gray has been on fire – she poured in 27 points in the Dream’s last game and has routinely been the team’s top scorer of late. Her scoring bursts, combined with the all-around play of Rhyne Howard, give Atlanta a potent offensive punch.
Howard, the Dream’s young wing, has been consistently contributing around 15–20 points and providing tough perimeter defense in recent outings. On the Liberty side, All-Star guard Sabrina Ionescu remains a focal point, averaging about 19 points per game and coming off a 16-point effort in the recent loss. She is joined by former MVP Jonquel Jones, who had a standout 25-point performance in that defeat and has elevated her play with Breanna Stewart sidelined due to injury. Jones’s inside-out skillset makes her a matchup problem for any opponent.
This matchup is extremely close on paper, but Atlanta may hold a slight edge given their current form and home-court advantage. If Gray and Howard continue their high-level play and Atlanta’s defense stays sharp, the Dream look poised to win a tight game. New York’s chances likely hinge on Ionescu and Jones delivering big performances; otherwise, the Liberty could find it tough to outlast the surging Dream in Atlanta. Our prediction for Atlanta Dream vs New York Liberty: Over 165.5 points.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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