Minnesota Lynx vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction & Picks - WNBA

USA - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
9/28/25 20:00
Phoenix Mercury

Prediction:

 

Phoenix Mercury ML

-185
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 by Matt Lowrimore in WNBA Picks

The second round of the WNBA playoffs will continue on Sunday, and one of the games will feature a game between the Phoenix Mercury and the Minnesota Lynx. Let's take a look at the match statistics and predictions for this game between the Mercury and Lynx.

Minnesota enters this game trailing in this series 2-1. The Lynx most recently lost this past Friday night to the Mercury by a score of 84-76. Minnesota had four players score in double figures, including Natisha Hiedeman, who came off the bench to score a team-high 19 points.

As for Phoenix, they are in a great spot, taking a crucial 2-1 lead in the series with their 84-76 win over the Lynx this past Friday night. The Mercury can now win the series on Sunday and will get the chance to do so on their home floor. In Friday's game, Phoenix had three players score in double figures, including Satou Sabally, who scored a game-high 23 points.

Minnesota Lynx vs Phoenix Mercury Form

Minnesota Lynx and Phoenix Mercury Latest Matches

Minnesota Lynx
Minnesota Lynx Latest matches
W W W W L L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Sep 26, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
76 :  84
Phoenix Mercury

Sep 23, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
89 :  83
Minnesota Lynx

Sep 21, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
69 :  82
Minnesota Lynx

Sep 17, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
75 :  74
Golden State Valkyries

Sep 14, 2025 - WNBA

Golden State Valkyries
72 :  101
Minnesota Lynx

Sep 11, 2025 - WNBA

Golden State Valkyries
53 :  72
Minnesota Lynx
L W W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Sep 23, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
89 :  83
Minnesota Lynx

Sep 21, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
69 :  82
Minnesota Lynx

Sep 14, 2025 - WNBA

Golden State Valkyries
72 :  101
Minnesota Lynx

Sep 11, 2025 - WNBA

Golden State Valkyries
53 :  72
Minnesota Lynx

Sep 1, 2025 - WNBA

Dallas Wings
71 :  96
Minnesota Lynx

Aug 28, 2025 - WNBA

Seattle Storm
93 :  79
Minnesota Lynx
W L W L W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Sep 26, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
76 :  84
Phoenix Mercury

Sep 17, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
75 :  74
Golden State Valkyries

Sep 9, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
72 :  83
Indiana Fever

Sep 6, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
78 :  72
Golden State Valkyries

Sep 4, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
87 :  97
Las Vegas Aces

Aug 30, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
94 :  70
Connecticut Sun
Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix Mercury Latest matches
L W W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Sep 26, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
76 :  84
Phoenix Mercury

Sep 23, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
89 :  83
Minnesota Lynx

Sep 21, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
69 :  82
Minnesota Lynx

Sep 19, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
73 :  79
Phoenix Mercury

Sep 17, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
86 :  60
New York Liberty

Sep 14, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
76 :  69
Phoenix Mercury
W W L L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Sep 26, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
76 :  84
Phoenix Mercury

Sep 19, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
73 :  79
Phoenix Mercury

Sep 14, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
76 :  69
Phoenix Mercury

Sep 9, 2025 - WNBA

L.a. Sparks
88 :  83
Phoenix Mercury

Sep 2, 2025 - WNBA

Indiana Fever
79 :  85
Phoenix Mercury

Aug 30, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
63 :  80
Phoenix Mercury
W L L W L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Sep 23, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
89 :  83
Minnesota Lynx

Sep 21, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
69 :  82
Minnesota Lynx

Sep 17, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
86 :  60
New York Liberty

Sep 11, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
76 :  97
Dallas Wings

Sep 6, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
84 :  87
Connecticut Sun

Sep 4, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
75 :  69
Washington Mystics

Minnesota Lynx against Phoenix Mercury : Head to Head (H2H)

Minnesota Lynx

50 %

Phoenix Mercury

50 %

Sep 26, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
76 :  84
Phoenix Mercury

Sep 23, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
89 :  83
Minnesota Lynx

Sep 21, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
69 :  82
Minnesota Lynx

Jul 16, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
66 :  79
Minnesota Lynx

Jul 9, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
71 :  79
Phoenix Mercury

Jun 3, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
65 :  88
Minnesota Lynx

Minnesota Lynx - Phoenix Mercury Key Points

  1. Minnesota is 3-2 SU in the playoffs
  2. Phoenix is 4-2 SU in the playoffs
  3. Minnesota’s Napheesa Collier is a game-time decision
  4. Phoenix has no injury concerns

Our Minnesota Lynx vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction

Phoenix is ​​on the brink of advancing to the WNBA Finals, while, in the same sense, Minnesota, which has been the best team all season, is about to be eliminated.

The Lynx suffered a huge blow in Game 3, as their star player, Napheesa Collier, was injured and forced to exit the game. Collier is now a game-time decision for Game 4, but without her, the Lynx are not nearly as dominant.

Even if Collier does play, there is a chance she will not be 100%. Further, Phoenix has simply looked like the more complete team the past couple of games; therefore, our Phoenix Mercury vs Minnesota Lynx prediction is: Phoenix Mercury ML.

Prediction:

 

Phoenix Mercury ML

-185
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Minnesota Lynx vs Phoenix Mercury Picks