Jacksonville Jaguars vs Buffalo Bills Prediction & Picks - NFL

USA - NFL

Jacksonville Jaguars
1/11/26 13:00
Buffalo Bills

Prediction:

 

Over 51.5

-110
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 by Bill Christy | in NFL Picks

The 1st game of Sunday’s set of Wild Card games will take place in Jacksonville. The 3-seeded Jacksonville Jaguars (13-4) will host the 6-seeded Buffalo Bills (12-5) as a short home dog.

Jacksonville secured the 3 seed by becoming the AFC South division champions. It has been a magical season for the Jaguars and the best of Trevor Lawrence’s career. They finished the regular season by winning 8 straight games. During that stretch, Lawrence has had the offense clicking on all cylinders. During the 8-game winning streak, the Jaguars have been scoring an average of 33.6 points per game. On the season, the defense finished 8th in points allowed, holding opponents to under 20 points per game. That will surely be tested in this matchup with Josh Allen and the Bills.

Buffalo finished the regular season on a bit of a letdown. Their chances of hopping New England for the division were derailed with a 13-12 loss to the Philadelphia Eagles in the 2nd to last week of the season. That said, this is still a team that finished with 12 wins and ranked 1st in the entire league in rushing offense. James Cook surpassed 1600 yards on the ground this season. That, combined with Josh Allen’s ability to scramble have been the recipe for such a successful ground attack. With Kansas City out of the playoff picture, this could be Josh Allen’s best shot at reaching the Super Bowl.

Jacksonville’s staunch defense will be tested in this Wild Card matchup by the strong rushing attack of the Bills. This game could come down to which team controls the time of possession and makes the most of their red zone opportunities.

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Buffalo Bills Form

Jacksonville Jaguars and Buffalo Bills Latest Matches

Jacksonville Jaguars
Jacksonville Jaguars Latest matches
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Jan 4, 2026 - NFL

Jacksonville Jaguars
41 :  7
Tennessee Titans

Dec 28, 2025 - NFL

Indianapolis Colts
17 :  23
Jacksonville Jaguars

Dec 21, 2025 - NFL

Denver Broncos
20 :  34
Jacksonville Jaguars

Dec 14, 2025 - NFL

Jacksonville Jaguars
48 :  20
New York Jets

Dec 7, 2025 - NFL

Jacksonville Jaguars
36 :  19
Indianapolis Colts

Nov 30, 2025 - NFL

Tennessee Titans
3 :  25
Jacksonville Jaguars
L L W W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jan 4, 2026 - NFL

Jacksonville Jaguars
41 :  7
Tennessee Titans

Dec 14, 2025 - NFL

Jacksonville Jaguars
48 :  20
New York Jets

Dec 7, 2025 - NFL

Jacksonville Jaguars
36 :  19
Indianapolis Colts

Nov 16, 2025 - NFL

Jacksonville Jaguars
35 :  6
Los Angeles Chargers

Oct 19, 2025 - NFL

Jacksonville Jaguars
7 :  35
Los Angeles Rams

Oct 12, 2025 - NFL

Jacksonville Jaguars
12 :  20
Seattle Seahawks
W L W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Dec 28, 2025 - NFL

Indianapolis Colts
17 :  23
Jacksonville Jaguars

Dec 21, 2025 - NFL

Denver Broncos
20 :  34
Jacksonville Jaguars

Nov 30, 2025 - NFL

Tennessee Titans
3 :  25
Jacksonville Jaguars

Nov 23, 2025 - NFL

Arizona Cardinals
24 :  27
Jacksonville Jaguars

Nov 9, 2025 - NFL

Houston Texans
36 :  29
Jacksonville Jaguars

Nov 2, 2025 - NFL

Las Vegas Raiders
29 :  30
Jacksonville Jaguars
Buffalo Bills
Buffalo Bills Latest matches
W W W W L W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Jan 4, 2026 - NFL

Buffalo Bills
35 :  8
New York Jets

Dec 28, 2025 - NFL

Buffalo Bills
12 :  13
Philadelphia Eagles

Dec 21, 2025 - NFL

Cleveland Browns
20 :  23
Buffalo Bills

Dec 14, 2025 - NFL

New England Patriots
31 :  35
Buffalo Bills

Dec 7, 2025 - NFL

Buffalo Bills
39 :  34
Cincinnati Bengals

Nov 30, 2025 - NFL

Pittsburgh Steelers
7 :  26
Buffalo Bills
L W W W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jan 4, 2026 - NFL

Buffalo Bills
35 :  8
New York Jets

Dec 28, 2025 - NFL

Buffalo Bills
12 :  13
Philadelphia Eagles

Dec 7, 2025 - NFL

Buffalo Bills
39 :  34
Cincinnati Bengals

Nov 16, 2025 - NFL

Buffalo Bills
44 :  32
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Nov 2, 2025 - NFL

Buffalo Bills
28 :  21
Kansas City Chiefs

Oct 5, 2025 - NFL

Buffalo Bills
20 :  23
New England Patriots
W L L W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Dec 21, 2025 - NFL

Cleveland Browns
20 :  23
Buffalo Bills

Dec 14, 2025 - NFL

New England Patriots
31 :  35
Buffalo Bills

Nov 30, 2025 - NFL

Pittsburgh Steelers
7 :  26
Buffalo Bills

Nov 20, 2025 - NFL

Houston Texans
23 :  19
Buffalo Bills

Nov 9, 2025 - NFL

Miami Dolphins
30 :  13
Buffalo Bills

Oct 26, 2025 - NFL

Carolina Panthers
9 :  40
Buffalo Bills

Jacksonville Jaguars against Buffalo Bills : Head to Head (H2H)

Jacksonville Jaguars

50 %

Buffalo Bills

50 %

Sep 23, 2024 - NFL

Buffalo Bills
47 :  10
Jacksonville Jaguars

Oct 8, 2023 - NFL

Buffalo Bills
20 :  25
Jacksonville Jaguars
Jacksonville Jaguars vs Buffalo Bills Picks

Jacksonville Jaguars - Buffalo Bills Key Points

  1. The total has gone OVER in 8 of Buffalo’s last 11 games played on a Sunday when on the road.
  2. The total has gone OVER in 4 of Buffalo’s last 5 games when playing as the favorite.
  3. The total has gone OVER in 4 of Jacksonville’s last 5 games.
  4. The total has gone OVER in 7 of Jacksonville’s last 10 games against Buffalo.

Our Jacksonville Jaguars vs Buffalo Bills Prediction

In previous matchups between these franchises, we have seen some fireworks and big numbers on the scoreboard. Now, each team ranks inside the top 10 in scoring and have explosive playmakers in their backfields. The weather forecast looks promising with likely no rain and temps in the mid-60s. We expect both offenses to move the ball at will in this one and with the spread being near a pick, the team with the ball last is likely to be the winner. The over is the play for us in this one.

Our prediction for Jacksonville Jaguars vs Buffalo Bills: Over 51.5

Prediction:

 

Over 51.5

-110
$150 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.