Minnesota Lynx vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction & Picks - WNBA

USA - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
9/26/25 21:30
Phoenix Mercury

Prediction:

 

Minnesota Lynx ML

-162
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 by Matt Lowrimore in WNBA Picks

The second round of the WNBA playoffs will continue on Friday night with two games, one of which will feature the Phoenix Mercury and the Minnesota Lynx. Let’s take a look at the match statistics and predictions for Game 3 between the Mercury and the Lynx that will be played in Phoenix.

Minnesota enters this game having most recently lost to the Mercury this past Tuesday night in overtime by a score of 89-83 in Minnesota. The Lynx had four players score in double figures, including Napheesa Collier, who scored a team-high 24 points.

As for Phoenix, they enter this game with new life in this second round series, having beaten the Lynx this past Tuesday night in Minnesota by a score of 89-83 in overtime, and have tied the series at one game apiece. Phoenix had three players score in double figures, including Satou Sabally, who scored a team-high 24 points.

Minnesota Lynx vs Phoenix Mercury Form

Minnesota Lynx and Phoenix Mercury Latest Matches

Minnesota Lynx
Minnesota Lynx Latest matches
L W W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Sep 23, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
89 :  83
Minnesota Lynx

Sep 21, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
69 :  82
Minnesota Lynx

Sep 17, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
75 :  74
Golden State Valkyries

Sep 14, 2025 - WNBA

Golden State Valkyries
72 :  101
Minnesota Lynx

Sep 11, 2025 - WNBA

Golden State Valkyries
53 :  72
Minnesota Lynx

Sep 9, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
72 :  83
Indiana Fever
L W W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Sep 23, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
89 :  83
Minnesota Lynx

Sep 21, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
69 :  82
Minnesota Lynx

Sep 14, 2025 - WNBA

Golden State Valkyries
72 :  101
Minnesota Lynx

Sep 11, 2025 - WNBA

Golden State Valkyries
53 :  72
Minnesota Lynx

Sep 1, 2025 - WNBA

Dallas Wings
71 :  96
Minnesota Lynx

Aug 28, 2025 - WNBA

Seattle Storm
93 :  79
Minnesota Lynx
W W L W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Sep 17, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
75 :  74
Golden State Valkyries

Sep 9, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
72 :  83
Indiana Fever

Sep 6, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
78 :  72
Golden State Valkyries

Sep 4, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
87 :  97
Las Vegas Aces

Aug 30, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
94 :  70
Connecticut Sun

Aug 22, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
95 :  90
Indiana Fever
Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix Mercury Latest matches
L L W W L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Sep 23, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
89 :  83
Minnesota Lynx

Sep 21, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
69 :  82
Minnesota Lynx

Sep 19, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
73 :  79
Phoenix Mercury

Sep 17, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
86 :  60
New York Liberty

Sep 14, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
76 :  69
Phoenix Mercury

Sep 11, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
76 :  97
Dallas Wings
W W W L L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Sep 19, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
73 :  79
Phoenix Mercury

Sep 14, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
76 :  69
Phoenix Mercury

Sep 9, 2025 - WNBA

L.a. Sparks
88 :  83
Phoenix Mercury

Sep 2, 2025 - WNBA

Indiana Fever
79 :  85
Phoenix Mercury

Aug 30, 2025 - WNBA

New York Liberty
63 :  80
Phoenix Mercury

Aug 28, 2025 - WNBA

Chicago Sky
79 :  83
Phoenix Mercury
W L L W L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Sep 23, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
89 :  83
Minnesota Lynx

Sep 21, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
69 :  82
Minnesota Lynx

Sep 17, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
86 :  60
New York Liberty

Sep 11, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
76 :  97
Dallas Wings

Sep 6, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
84 :  87
Connecticut Sun

Sep 4, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
75 :  69
Washington Mystics

Minnesota Lynx against Phoenix Mercury : Head to Head (H2H)

Minnesota Lynx

67 %

Phoenix Mercury

33 %

Sep 23, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
89 :  83
Minnesota Lynx

Sep 21, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
69 :  82
Minnesota Lynx

Jul 16, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
66 :  79
Minnesota Lynx

Jul 9, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
71 :  79
Phoenix Mercury

Jun 3, 2025 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
65 :  88
Minnesota Lynx

May 30, 2025 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
74 :  71
Phoenix Mercury

Minnesota Lynx - Phoenix Mercury Key Points

  1. Minnesota is 3-1 SU in the playoffs
  2. Phoenix is 3-2 SU in the playoffs
  3. Minnesota is averaging 85.3 points per game in the playoffs
  4. Phoenix is averaging 78.4 points per game in the playoffs

Our Minnesota Lynx vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction

The win by Phoenix in Game 2 was a bit of a surprise, considering the Mercury were down by 20 at one point. With the win, the Mercury will now get the chance to take a commanding lead in the series, and they will get to play at home.

That said, Minnesota has still been the best team all season, and looks to be a good option for a bounce-back win. The Lynx have been the best offense in the playoffs, averaging 85.3 points per game. Given the importance of this game, our Phoenix Mercury vs Minnesota Lynx prediction is: Minnesota Lynx ML.

Prediction:

 

Minnesota Lynx ML

-162
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Minnesota Lynx vs Phoenix Mercury Picks