Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction & Picks - NBA
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by Paul Tamayo | in NBA Picks
The Miami Heat (37-29) host the Milwaukee Bucks (27-37) in an NBA 2025-26 matchup on Thursday, March 12, at Kaseya Center.
Miami and Milwaukee have split their two head-to-head encounters this season. The Heat secured a narrow 106-103 victory in November, while the Bucks answered with a 128-117 win in February.
However, the Bucks have continued struggling lately, dropping their last two games. They're coming off a 129-114 defeat to the Phoenix Suns, where they allowed their opponents to shoot 53.9% from the field, including 47.1% from the three-point line.
Kyle Kuzma had a team-high 33 markers in the loss, while Myles Turner and Giannis Antetokounmpo chipped in 22 points apiece.
The loss to the Suns was also the Bucks' sixth defeat in the last seven games.
On the flip side, the Heat are rolling after a commanding 150-129 victory over the Washington Wizards. Bam Adebayo exploded for 83 points, the second-highest scoring output in a single game in NBA history. Bam also had nine rebounds, three assists, two steals, and two blocks.
The Heat head into Thursday with a five-game winning streak. However, Norman Powell, Nikola Jovic, and Andrew Wiggins are listed as out against the Bucks.
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Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks Form
Table
| Teams | % | P | W | L | Series |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
17
|
0.524 | 82 | 43 | 39 | 2 |
|
21
|
0.39 | 82 | 32 | 50 |
Miami Heat and Milwaukee Bucks Latest Matches
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
Mar 10, 2026 - NBA
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6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
Mar 10, 2026 - NBA
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
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1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Mar 10, 2026 - NBA
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Mar 1, 2026 - NBA
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Mar 10, 2026 - NBA
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Feb 27, 2026 - NBA
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Mar 1, 2026 - NBA
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Feb 9, 2026 - NBA
Feb 1, 2026 - NBA
Miami Heat against Milwaukee Bucks : Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
67 %
Feb 24, 2026 - NBA
Nov 26, 2025 - NBA
Jul 18, 2025 - NBA Summer League
Apr 5, 2025 - NBA
Feb 23, 2025 - NBA
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Players list
P. Larsson
D. Mitchell
K. Jakucionis
O. Dieng
G. Antetokounmpo
K. Kuzma
Substitutes
T. Keels
N. Powell
D. Smith
T. Herro
K. Johnson
J. Jaquez Jr.
M. Gardner
N. Jovic
S. Fontecchio
G. Harris
A. Green
R. Rollins
C. Thomas
P. Nance
T. Antetokounmpo
B. Portis
T. Prince
Miami Heat - Milwaukee Bucks Key Points
- The Heat are coming off a 150-129 win against the Washington Wizards.
- The Bucks are coming off a 129-114 loss to the Phoenix Suns.
- The Heat have won their last five games.
- Heat star Bam Adebayo is coming off an 83-point performance.
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Our Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction
The Heat has been on a tear recently, winning their last five contests and climbing out of the play-in picture. Plus, Bam Adebayo is coming off a dominant 83-point outing, and he might still be torching hot heading into Thursday.
Meanwhile, the Bucks have lost six of their last seven games, even with the return of Giannis Antetokounmpo. Miami's elite defense and Milwaukee's recent struggling form make the Heat the favorites. Our prediction for the Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks match is: Heat (-6.5) cover the spread.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
