Washington Wizards vs Miami Heat Prediction & Picks - NBA

USA - NBA

Washington Wizards
3/31/25 19:00
Miami Heat

Prediction:

 

Under 221.5

-110
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 by Paul Tamayo in NBA Picks

The Miami Heat (33-41) visit the Washington Wizards (16-58) on Monday, March 31, 2025, at the Capital One Arena.

That lowly 10-game losing streak is now a thing of the past for the Heat. They've won their last four games, including one against Jimmy Butler III and the Golden State Warriors. Tyler Herro has been superb on offense, but it is on defense that Miami is doing damage.

During their current four-game winning streak, the Heat has improved their defensive rating to 108.4. They allowed opponents an average scoring output of 99.5 points, which is excellent defense in today's NBA. Already a Top 12 defense, the Heat has turned it up a notch on that end of the floor.

It's safe to say that the Wizards, who are 30th in the league in offensive rating, have their hands full against the Heat's defense. The Wizards have lost seven of their last eight games. During that span, they only managed to put up 107.6 points per game.

With the Heat's tight defense and the Wizards' faltering offense, this is shaping up to be a low-scoring contest. That has been the case in their first two matchups this season, both of which the Heat won.

Washington Wizards vs Miami Heat Form

Table

Teams % P W L Series
20 Miami Heat
0.451 82 37 45
29 Washington Wizards
0.22 82 18 64 1

Washington Wizards and Miami Heat Latest Matches

Washington Wizards
Washington Wizards Latest matches
L L L W L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Mar 29, 2025 - NBA

Washington Wizards
112 :  115
Brooklyn Nets

Mar 27, 2025 - NBA

Washington Wizards
109 :  162
Indiana Pacers

Mar 26, 2025 - NBA

Philadelphia 76ers
114 :  119
Washington Wizards

Mar 24, 2025 - NBA

Washington Wizards
104 :  112
Toronto Raptors

Mar 22, 2025 - NBA

New York Knicks
122 :  103
Washington Wizards

Mar 21, 2025 - NBA

Washington Wizards
105 :  120
Orlando Magic
L W L L L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Mar 29, 2025 - NBA

Washington Wizards
112 :  115
Brooklyn Nets

Mar 27, 2025 - NBA

Washington Wizards
109 :  162
Indiana Pacers

Mar 24, 2025 - NBA

Washington Wizards
104 :  112
Toronto Raptors

Mar 21, 2025 - NBA

Washington Wizards
105 :  120
Orlando Magic

Mar 5, 2025 - NBA

Washington Wizards
125 :  122
Utah Jazz

Feb 26, 2025 - NBA

Washington Wizards
121 :  129
Portland Trail Blazers
W W L L L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Mar 26, 2025 - NBA

Philadelphia 76ers
114 :  119
Washington Wizards

Mar 22, 2025 - NBA

New York Knicks
122 :  103
Washington Wizards

Mar 19, 2025 - NBA

Utah Jazz
128 :  112
Washington Wizards

Mar 17, 2025 - NBA

Portland Trail Blazers
112 :  97
Washington Wizards

Mar 15, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
123 :  126
Washington Wizards

Mar 13, 2025 - NBA

Detroit Pistons
125 :  129
Washington Wizards
Miami Heat
Miami Heat Latest matches
L L W W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Mar 29, 2025 - NBA

Philadelphia 76ers
95 :  118
Miami Heat

Mar 27, 2025 - NBA

Miami Heat
122 :  112
Atlanta Hawks

Mar 25, 2025 - NBA

Miami Heat
112 :  86
Golden State Warriors

Mar 23, 2025 - NBA

Miami Heat
122 :  105
Charlotte Hornets

Mar 21, 2025 - NBA

Miami Heat
98 :  102
Houston Rockets

Mar 19, 2025 - NBA

Miami Heat
113 :  116
Detroit Pistons
L L L W W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Mar 27, 2025 - NBA

Miami Heat
122 :  112
Atlanta Hawks

Mar 25, 2025 - NBA

Miami Heat
112 :  86
Golden State Warriors

Mar 23, 2025 - NBA

Miami Heat
122 :  105
Charlotte Hornets

Mar 21, 2025 - NBA

Miami Heat
98 :  102
Houston Rockets

Mar 19, 2025 - NBA

Miami Heat
113 :  116
Detroit Pistons

Mar 14, 2025 - NBA

Miami Heat
91 :  103
Boston Celtics
L L L L L W
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Mar 29, 2025 - NBA

Philadelphia 76ers
95 :  118
Miami Heat

Mar 17, 2025 - NBA

New York Knicks
116 :  95
Miami Heat

Mar 15, 2025 - NBA

Memphis Grizzlies
125 :  91
Miami Heat

Mar 5, 2025 - NBA

Cleveland Cavaliers
112 :  107
Miami Heat

Feb 24, 2025 - NBA

Atlanta Hawks
98 :  86
Miami Heat

Feb 23, 2025 - NBA

Milwaukee Bucks
120 :  113
Miami Heat

Washington Wizards against Miami Heat : Head to Head (H2H)

Washington Wizards

17 %

Miami Heat

83 %

Mar 3, 2025 - NBA

Miami Heat
106 :  90
Washington Wizards

Nov 2, 2024 - NBA

Washington Wizards
98 :  118
Miami Heat

Mar 31, 2024 - NBA

Washington Wizards
107 :  119
Miami Heat

Mar 10, 2024 - NBA

Miami Heat
108 :  110
Washington Wizards

Feb 2, 2024 - NBA

Washington Wizards
102 :  110
Miami Heat

Nov 3, 2023 - NBA

Miami Heat
121 :  114
Washington Wizards

Players list

Washington Wizards
Washington Wizards

C. Carrington

A. Johnson

J. Poole

J. Champagnie

A. Sarr

Miami Heat
Miami Heat
K. Ware B. Adebayo

P. Larsson

A. Burks

T. Herro

Substitutes

Washington Wizards
Washington Wizards
T. Vukcevic

M. Smart

J. Martin

M. Brogdon

K. George

R. Holmes

A. Gill

Miami Heat
Miami Heat

J. Christopher

I. Stevens

T. Rozier

D. Mitchell

K. Johnson

J. Jaquez Jr.

H. Highsmith

K. Anderson

Washington Wizards - Miami Heat Key Points

  1. In their first two matchups this season, the Heat and Wizards combined for an average of 206 points.
  2. The Heat held their opponents to an average of 99.5 points in the last four games.
  3. The Wizards put up an average of 107.6 points in the last eight games.
  4. The Wizards are 30th in the league in offensive rating.

Our Washington Wizards vs Miami Heat Prediction

In the last four games, the Heat held their opponents to only 99.5 points. Their defense will surely hold against a Wizards team that's been struggling to put up buckets. In fact, the Wizards only scored 107.6 points in the last eight games.

Moreover, these two teams averaged a combined 206 points in their first two matchups this season. This could be another low-scoring affair between the two Eastern Conference squads. Our prediction for the Washington Wizards vs Miami Heat match is: under 221.5.

Prediction:

 

Under 221.5

-110
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Washington Wizards vs Miami Heat Picks