Mattia Bellucci vs Lorenzo Sonego Prediction & Picks - Rolex Paris Masters
ATP - Rolex Paris Masters
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by Lou Aguila | in Rolex Paris Masters Picks
Lorenzo Sonego comes out of the gates as a compelling underdog play at +123 against Mattia Bellucci in the first round of the 2026 Paris Masters.
Current Form:
Mattia Bellucci qualified for the main draw of the 2026 Paris Masters after coming through the qualies. The Italian swept Pablo Carreno Busta 6-1, 7-6 and Thiago Tirante 6-4, 6-4 to secure his spot in the final Masters 1000 tournament of the year.
Lorenzo Sonego gutted out two gritty wins over Jaume Munar 6-7, 6-3, 6-4 and Adolfo Daniel Vallejo 6-3, 4-6, 7-6 to reach the main draw in Paris. Sonego is 3-2 in indoor matches in 2026.
The Matchup: Bellucci edged Sonego 6-4, 1-6, 7-5 in a clay-court meeting at a Challenger Event in Cagliari this year.
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Mattia Bellucci vs Lorenzo Sonego Form
Mattia Bellucci and Lorenzo Sonego Latest Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Nov 1, 2026 - Rolex Paris Masters
Oct 31, 2026 - Rolex Paris Masters
Oct 22, 2026 - Almaty Open
Oct 21, 2026 - Almaty Open
Oct 7, 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters
Oct 6, 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Nov 1, 2026 - Rolex Paris Masters
Oct 31, 2026 - Rolex Paris Masters
Oct 25, 2026 - ATP Vienna
Oct 24, 2026 - ATP Vienna
Oct 19, 2026 - ATP Lyon Open
Oct 5, 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters
Mattia Bellucci - Lorenzo Sonego Key Points
- Mattia Bellucci is 3-2 in indoor matches.
- Mattia Bellucci is 15-13 in first-round matches in 2026.
- Lorenzo Sonego boasts a 56 percent win rate on hard courts in 2026.
- Lorenzo Sonego is 10-9 in first-round matches.
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Our Mattia Bellucci vs Lorenzo Sonego Prediction
The Difference Maker: After a 1-7 stretch, Lorenzo Sonego has come alive in the qualifying rounds of the Paris Masters, showing the form that made him a dangerous player last year. Sonego has always been gifted with world-class skills, but lacks the focus to make him a consistent top-tier player on the tour.
Betting Analysis: Bellucci is a challenging first-round opponent, but Sonego is a worthy gamble at +123. The Italian is winning 80 percent of his first-serve points and has dropped only one service game so far. If he can replicate a strong form on serve and manage to capitalize on Bellucci’s service errors, Sonego has a real shot at an upset.
Fearless Forecast: Lorenzo Sonego wins 4-6, 6-4, 7-5
Our betting prediction for Lorenzo Sonego vs. Mattia Bellucci: Lorenzo Sonego wins
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