Alejandro Tabilo vs Rafael Jodar Prediction & Picks - Rolex Paris Masters
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by Lou Aguila | in Rolex Paris Masters Picks
Rafael Jodar has swept Alejandro Tabilo in their last two meetings. The Spaniard guns for another sweeper in Monday’s first-round matchup with the Chilean.
Jodar is -150 to win in straight sets and a more lucrative option +150 to cover -5.5 games.
Current Form:
Rafael Jodar will try to finish off his breakout season with a bang in Paris. After reaching his first final at a Masters 1000 event in Shanghai, Jodar crashed out in the round of 16 in Basel. He lost to the eventual champion, Valentin Vacherot, 6-7, 6-2, 6-7.
Alejandro Tabilo will try to snap a three-match losing slide as he takes on Jodar for the second time in two weeks. Tabilo suffered a straight-sets defeat against Jodar. 4-6, 2-6, in Basel. The Chilean is 4-2 in indoor matches in 2026.
The Matchup: Jodar is 3-1 vs. Tabilo head-to-head. The matchup superiority establishes Jodar as the clear-cut betting favorite at -495 on the moneyline.
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Alejandro Tabilo vs Rafael Jodar Form
Alejandro Tabilo and Rafael Jodar Latest Matches
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Oct 27, 2026 - Swiss Indoors ATP Basel
Oct 10, 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters
Oct 2, 2026 - ATP Japan Open
Sep 30, 2026 - ATP Japan Open
Sep 25, 2026 - ATP Chengdu Open
Sep 19, 2026 - Davis Cup
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Oct 29, 2026 - Swiss Indoors ATP Basel
Oct 27, 2026 - Swiss Indoors ATP Basel
Oct 18, 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters
Oct 17, 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters
Oct 16, 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters
Oct 14, 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters
Alejandro Tabilo against Rafael Jodar : Head to Head (H2H)
25 %
75 %
Oct 27, 2026 - Swiss Indoors ATP Basel
Aug 17, 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open
Aug 1, 2026 - ATP Washington Citi Open
Mar 5, 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
Alejandro Tabilo - Rafael Jodar Key Points
- Rafael Jódar is 19-5 in indoor matches.
- Rafael Jodar is 12-4 in first-round matches in 2026.
- Alejandro Tabilo is 12-13 in indoor matches.
- Alejandro Tabilo is 8-32 vs. top-20 players.
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Our Alejandro Tabilo vs Rafael Jodar Prediction
The Difference Maker: The early exit in Basel appears to be a blessing in disguise for Jodar, who arrived in Paris with fresher legs. Jodar heavily relies on his physicality, particularly his dominant service game, so getting him a few days of rest will significantly bolster his chances in any match.
Betting Analysis: Bet on Jodar to win in straight sets. Jodar has not only beaten Tabilo in their last three meetings, but he also dominated the Chilean in the last two encounters. Jodar posted a 6-2, 6-1 win over Tabilo in Cincinnati and again in Basel, 6-4, 6-2.
Alternative Option: Jodar covers -5.5 games (+150). The Spaniard won by at least 6 games in the past two meetings against Tabilo.
Fearless Forecast: Rafael Jodar wins 6-3, 6-3
Our betting prediction for Rafael Jodar vs. Alejandro Tabilo: Rafael Jodar 2-0 sets
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
