Tommy Paul vs Holger Rune Prediction & Picks - ATP French Open
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by Bradley Gibbs | in ATP French Open Picks
Having crashed out of the ATP event in Vienna with a straight-set defeat to Carlos Alcaraz, Tommy Paul will get down to business at the Paris Masters on Monday. He'll be up against a player who not long ago returned from a lengthy absence. Holger Rune, thanks to a long time off, is now ranked outside of the top 1000, but do not be fooled by that.
At anything above odds of -200, it's worth betting on Holger Rune to, at the very least, avoid a straight-set defeat. The Danish player is going to need more time to get back to where he was before what was nearly a full year away from the sport, but he's delivered some decent efforts since returning to the court in September, while he's returning to a venue where he's played very well before, so he deserves a little more respect, especially with Tommy Paul being far from consistent of late.
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Tommy Paul vs Holger Rune Form
Tommy Paul and Holger Rune Latest Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Oct 30, 2026 - ATP Vienna
Oct 29, 2026 - ATP Vienna
Oct 27, 2026 - ATP Vienna
Oct 24, 2026 - ATP Lyon Open
Oct 23, 2026 - ATP Lyon Open
Oct 21, 2026 - ATP Lyon Open
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Oct 30, 2026 - Swiss Indoors ATP Basel
Oct 28, 2026 - Swiss Indoors ATP Basel
Oct 26, 2026 - Swiss Indoors ATP Basel
Oct 7, 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters
Oct 1, 2026 - ATP Japan Open
Oct 17, 2025 - Stockholm Open
Tommy Paul - Holger Rune Key Points
- Tommy Paul has only won two of his last seven matches in straight sets.
- Holger Rune has not lost any of his last four matches in straight sets.
- Holger Rune won this event back in 2022.
- Tommy Paul does not have a good record at the Paris Masters, going beyond the second round just once before.
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Our Tommy Paul vs Holger Rune Prediction
Holger Rune can get seriously competitive here, it really is that simple. Tommy Paul has not made a habit of winning matches in straight sets of late, while he comes here having had his confidence shaken by that straight-set defeat to Carlos Alcaraz.
Additionally, the Danish player loves the Paris Masters, having won the event before, while in recent matches, the former world number four has been getting better and better, so much so that he's a little generously priced to win at least one set at odds of -175.
SportyTrader's Tommy Paul vs Holger Rune Pick: Holger Rune +1.5 Set Handicap.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
