Mattia Bellucci vs Gabriel Diallo Prediction & Picks - ATP Indian Wells
ATP - ATP Indian Wells
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by Lou Aguila | in ATP Indian Wells Picks
Mattia Bellucci has won the last two meetings with Gabriela Diallo in straight sets.
On Wednesday, bettors can win over 2x their wager if Bellucci sweeps Diallo again in the first round of the 2026 Indian Wells Open.
Current Form:
Mattia Bellucci is hot off a quarterfinal run in Acapulco, where he scored solid wins over Rinky Hijikata 7-6, 6-3 and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 6-3, 6-3 before falling to Frances Tiafoe 3-6, 4-6 in the final eight. Bellucci is 6-7 on the season. He continues to be an effective server, winning 74.6 percent of his first serves and saving 61 percent of breakpoints. However, he has only converted 37 percent of the 54 breakpoint chances in 2026.
It has been an underwhelming first two months for Gabriel Diallo, who finished the 2025 season with a promising 37-29 record. Diallo is 1-5 on the ATP Tour in 2026, with his lone win coming in his first match of the year against Jesper De Jong 6-4, 7-6 in Hong Kong. Diallo has now lost his last five matches on the ATP Tour.
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Mattia Bellucci vs Gabriel Diallo Form
Mattia Bellucci and Gabriel Diallo Latest Matches
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Feb 26, 2026 - ATP Acapulco Open
Feb 25, 2026 - ATP Acapulco Open
Feb 24, 2026 - ATP Acapulco Open
Feb 17, 2026 - ATP Delray Beach Open
Feb 9, 2026 - Dallas Open
Jan 19, 2026 - ATP Australian Open
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Feb 17, 2026 - ATP Delray Beach Open
Feb 10, 2026 - Dallas Open
Feb 7, 2026 - Davis Cup
Feb 6, 2026 - Davis Cup
Jan 17, 2026 - ATP Australian Open
Jan 12, 2026 - Adelaide International
Mattia Bellucci against Gabriel Diallo : Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
100 %
Feb 23, 2025 - ATP Acapulco Open
Mattia Bellucci - Gabriel Diallo Key Points
- Gabriel Diallo is 1-6 on the 2026 ATP season.
- Gabriel Diallo has converted 7 of 30 breakpoints in 2026.
- Mattia Bellucci reached the quarterfinals of the 2026 Acapulco Open.
- Mattia Bellucci is 6-7 on the 2026 ATP season.
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Our Mattia Bellucci vs Gabriel Diallo Prediction
Fearless Forecast: Mattia Bellucci pummels hapless Gabriel Diallo 6-4, 6-4.
Gabriel Diallo will more likely step onto the court as the favorite after he opened at -133 moneyline on DraftKings. This makes Bellucci an intriguing underdog choice on the moneyline market at +109 and even more tantalizing pick on the set market if he wins by straight sets (2-0) at +205.
Key Stats: Mattia Bellucci is 3-1 vs. Gabriel Diallo in their head-to-head series. Bellucci also swept Diallo in their last two meetings. Furthermore, Diallo is 0-4 in his last four sets on the ATP Tour.
What to Expect: Bellucci will overpower Diallo with his big service game and secure a few breaks to beat the Canadian, who is 1-3 against the top-100 players in 2026.
Our betting prediction for Mattia Bellucci vs. Gabriel Diallo: Mattia Bellucci 2-0 Sets
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
