Matteo Berrettini vs Francisco Comesana Prediction & Picks - ATP French Open
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by Lou Aguila | in ATP French Open Picks
Both winning over 70 percent of their first serves, Francisco Comesana and Matteo Berrettini could easily blow past 38.5 games in what is shaping up to be another five-set thriller in the third round of the 2026 French Open.
Momentum: Francisco Comesana hacked out a five-set win over one of the darkhorse contenders in this year’s Roland Garros, outlasting Luciano Darderi 7-6, 4-6, 6-4, 2-6, 6-4. The win propelled Comesana to the third round of this Grand Slam clay-court tournament for the first time.
Matteo Berrettini posted a straight-set victory over Arthur Rinderknech 6-4, 6-4, 6-4. A former French Open quarterfinalist, Berrettini improved to 10-9 on clay in 2026.
The Matchup: Comesana and Berrettini will play against each other for the first time on tour.
Comesana boasts a career 64 percent win rate on clay, while Berrettini holds a 67 percent win rate.
Comesana is winning 73.7 percent of his first balls at Roland Garros, while saving 54.5 percent of 11 breakpoints.
Berrettini is winning 81.6 percent of his first serves and has saved 8 of 10 breakpoints. He has also converted 10 of 20 breakpoints in two matches.
Hot on the Board: Berrettini opened as a clear-cut favorite against Comesana mainly because of his previous success at a Grand Slam level.
has made it at least the quarterfinal of a Grand Slam tournament five times, while Comesana hasn’t broken through the third-round wall after two attempts.
Still, this match has the potential to go the limit with both competitors winning over 70 percent of their first serves.
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Matteo Berrettini vs Francisco Comesana Form
Matteo Berrettini and Francisco Comesana Latest Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
May 28, 2026 - ATP French Open
May 25, 2026 - ATP French Open
May 7, 2026 - ATP Italian Open
Apr 22, 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 9, 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
Apr 8, 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
May 28, 2026 - ATP French Open
May 26, 2026 - ATP French Open
May 20, 2026 - ATP Geneva Open
May 18, 2026 - ATP Geneva Open
May 17, 2026 - ATP Geneva Open
May 16, 2026 - ATP Geneva Open
Matteo Berrettini - Francisco Comesana Key Points
- Matteo Berrettini has saved 8 of 10 breakpoints at the 2026 Roland Garros
- Matteo Berrettini is winning 81.6 percent of his first serves at the 2026 Roland Garros.
- Francisco Comesana is winning 73.7 percent of his first serves at the 2026 Roland Garros.
- Francisco Comesana has saved 6 of 11 breakpoints at the 2026 Roland Garros.
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Our Matteo Berrettini vs Francisco Comesana Prediction
Get your popcorn and soda ready because this is going to be a long match.
If both Comesana and Berrettini can sustain their terrific form on the serve, they can easily smash through the total (38.5 games) set by Caesars Sportsbook for this match.
Comesana already proved his mettle in his five-set win over Darderi in the second round. Berrettini has also played a handful of memorable five-set thrillers in his career.
The match being slotted in the day session of Saturday's schedule also increases the likelihood that this will go the distance, as serves tend to be livelier when matches are played under the scorching sun, making big servers nearly unbreakable.
Our betting prediction for Matteo Berrettini vs. Francisco Comesana: Over 38.5 Games
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.