Mary Stoiana vs Alexandra Eala Prediction & Picks - WTA US Open

WTA - WTA US Open

WTA 122 USA
Mary Stoiana
9/1/26 20:40
WTA 18 Philippines
Alexandra Eala

Prediction:

 

Alex Eala -4.5 games

-140
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 by Lou Aguila | in Tennis Picks

Alex Eala will try to sustain her upward trajectory as she takes on Mary Stoiana in the first round of the 2026 US Open.

Eala is a red-hot pick at -140 to cover -4.5 games against Stoiana, who is set to play against a top-20 player for the first time.

Current Form:

Alexandra Eala opened her North American hard-court swing with a bang, winning her first WTA title at the Washington Mubadala Citi Open. The Filipino rising star followed it up with two decent runs in Toronto (fourth round) and Cincinnati (third round), finishing her US Open buildup with an 8-2 record.

Mary Stoiana qualified for the main draw of the 2026 US Open after rattling off three wins in the qualifiers. Stoiana defeated Harmony Tan 6-4, 6-3, Katie Swan 6-7, 6-3, 6-3, and Yue Yuan 6-4, 4-6, 6-4 to reach the main draw of this Grand Slam event.

The Matchup: Eala swept Stoiana 7-5, 6-2 in their first and only meeting so far in an ITF tournament in Charleston in 2024.

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Mary Stoiana vs Alexandra Eala Form

Mary Stoiana and Alexandra Eala Latest Matches

Mary Stoiana Latest matches
W W L W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Aug 28, 2026 - WTA US Open

Yue Yuan
1 :  2
Mary Stoiana

Aug 26, 2026 - WTA US Open

Katie Swan
1 :  2
Mary Stoiana

Aug 25, 2026 - WTA US Open

Harmony Tan
0 :  2
Mary Stoiana

Aug 14, 2026 - WTA Cincinnati Open

Mary Stoiana
0 :  2
Tereza Valentova

Aug 12, 2026 - WTA Cincinnati Open

Oksana Selekhmeteva
1 :  2
Mary Stoiana

Aug 11, 2026 - WTA Cincinnati Open

Mary Stoiana
2 :  0
Veronika Erjavec
Alexandra Eala Latest matches
W W W W L L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Aug 17, 2026 - WTA Cincinnati Open

Alexandra Eala
1 :  2
Amanda Anisimova

Aug 9, 2026 - WTA National Bank Open

Alexandra Eala
0 :  2
Belinda Bencic

Aug 7, 2026 - WTA National Bank Open

Caty McNally
1 :  2
Alexandra Eala

Aug 5, 2026 - WTA National Bank Open

Alycia Parks
1 :  2
Alexandra Eala

Aug 2, 2026 - WTA Washington Citi Open

Jessica Pegula
1 :  2
Alexandra Eala

Aug 1, 2026 - WTA Washington Citi Open

Naomi Osaka
0 :  2
Alexandra Eala
Mary Stoiana vs Alexandra Eala Picks

Mary Stoiana - Alexandra Eala Key Points

  1. Alexandra Eala is 22-10 on the hard court in 2026.
  2. Alexandra Eala is 12-6 in first-round matches in 2026.
  3. Mary Stoiana is 15-11 on the hard court in 2026.
  4. Mary Stoiana is 2-5 vs. top-100 players.
Up to $250 to bet on Mary Stoiana - Alexandra Eala! 

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Our Mary Stoiana vs Alexandra Eala Prediction

Key Stats: Alexandra Eala has one loss in 11 matches against players outside the top-100 this year.

What to Expect: Eala will blow by Stoiana, scoring a clinical sweep over the American. Eala defeated Stoiana in straight sets two years ago in an ITF event in Cincinnati. Eala’s profile on and off the court has exploded since then, making her a more prepared and well-rounded player despite the immense pressure she faces in every match.

Fearless Forecast: Alexandra Eala wins 6-4, 6-2

Our betting prediction for Alexandra Eala vs. Mary Stoiana: Alexandra Eala -4.5 games

Prediction:

 

Alex Eala -4.5 games

-140
$250 offered for betting!

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.