Marta Kostyuk vs Madison Keys Prediction & Picks - WTA National Bank Open
WTA - WTA National Bank Open
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by Bradley Gibbs | in Tennis Picks
There's an all-top-25 clash due to take place in Toronto on Thursday, when world number 11 Marta Kostyuk takes on world number 23 Madison Keys. The pair will face off for the third time as pros. Keys has won each of the previous two renewals of this match, and after she defeated Antonia Ruzic in straight sets during the first round, she'll fancy herself to get the job done.
The early betting market favors the Ukrainian, who made a pleasing return to hard-court action with that win over Katherine Sebov last time out, but let's not pretend that this isn't a much tougher assignment. Madison Keys defeated much better opponent in straight sets during the first round, while the American has a pleasing record against Kostyuk, so much so that we can conclude that she's a little generously priced here. After all, she has previously reached the final of this event.
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Marta Kostyuk vs Madison Keys Form
Marta Kostyuk and Madison Keys Latest Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Aug 4, 2026 - WTA National Bank Open
Jul 9, 2026 - WTA Wimbledon Championships
Jul 8, 2026 - WTA Wimbledon Championships
Jul 6, 2026 - WTA Wimbledon Championships
Jul 4, 2026 - WTA Wimbledon Championships
Jul 2, 2026 - WTA Wimbledon Championships
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Aug 4, 2026 - WTA National Bank Open
Jul 27, 2026 - WTA Washington Citi Open
Jul 6, 2026 - WTA Wimbledon Championships
Jul 4, 2026 - WTA Wimbledon Championships
Jul 2, 2026 - WTA Wimbledon Championships
Jun 30, 2026 - WTA Wimbledon Championships
Marta Kostyuk against Madison Keys : Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
100 %
Jul 5, 2024 - WTA Wimbledon Championships
Jul 8, 2023 - WTA Wimbledon Championships
Marta Kostyuk - Madison Keys Key Points
- Madison Keys has reached the final of the Canadian Open before, doing so back in 2016.
- Madison Keys defeated a better player than Marta Kostyuk did in the first round and may be better prepared as a result.
- When the pair last met, Madison Keys won in straight sets.
- Madison Keys has won each of her previous two matches against Marta Kostyuk in straight sets.
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Our Marta Kostyuk vs Madison Keys Prediction
Plainly, Madison Keys is worthy of stronger support than the time-of-writing odds would suggest. Sure, Marta Kostyuk is narrowly ranked above Keys, but don't focus too much on that. As touched on above, Keys achieved more than her opponent during the first round, while the Ukrainian does not have a positive record against the American, who has not only won each of the previous two renewals of this fixture but has done so without dropping a set. On that basis, she should be priced a little shorter than +110.
Our Marta Kostyuk vs Madison Keys Pick: Madison Keys to Win.
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