Marseille vs Toulouse Prediction & Picks - Ligue 1

France - Ligue 1

Marseille
11/29/25 15:05
Toulouse

Prediction:

 

Mason Greenwood 1+ Assist

+350
$200+ offered for betting!

New customers only | Commercial content | 21+ age limit | T&Cs apply

 by Bradley Gibbs in Ligue 1 Picks

Following their UCL triump over a very good Newcastle team on Wednesday night, Marseille will be back at it domestically on Saturday, when they'll take on Toulouse in Ligue 1. It's fair to say that this season, the men from Stade Vélodrome are very much in the Ligue 1 title race. They currently sit just two points behind PSG, and after a recent rocky patch, they've recovered well to win each of their last three league games, winning four of their last five in all competitions. Feeling confident, the hosts should make it four wins from their last four domestic assignments. 

For the visitors, the season isn't going terribly, but it's not going great either, with Saturday's visitors sitting in a modest 10th position. They've not exactly been easy to beat, but they have struggled to win games, winning none of their last five. Carles Martínez Novell's men have only won one of their last five on the road also, scoring more than one goal in four of their last five away games, which doesn't exactly bode well given how strong the hosts are. 

Up to $200+ to bet on Marseille - Toulouse! 

Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings

Marseille vs Toulouse Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
2
Marseille
Marseille
28 13 9 1 3 21
10
Toulouse
Toulouse
16 13 4 4 5 1

Marseille and Toulouse Latest Matches

Marseille
Marseille Latest matches
D W L W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Nov 25, 2025 - Champions League

Marseille
2 :  1
Newcastle

Nov 21, 2025 - Ligue 1

Nice
1 :  5
Marseille

Nov 8, 2025 - Ligue 1

Marseille
3 :  0
Brest

Nov 5, 2025 - Champions League

Marseille
0 :  1
Atalanta

Nov 1, 2025 - Ligue 1

Auxerre
0 :  1
Marseille

Oct 29, 2025 - Ligue 1

Marseille
2 :  2
Angers
W W D L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Nov 25, 2025 - Champions League

Marseille
2 :  1
Newcastle

Nov 8, 2025 - Ligue 1

Marseille
3 :  0
Brest

Nov 5, 2025 - Champions League

Marseille
0 :  1
Atalanta

Oct 29, 2025 - Ligue 1

Marseille
2 :  2
Angers

Oct 18, 2025 - Ligue 1

Marseille
6 :  2
Le Havre

Sep 30, 2025 - Champions League

Marseille
4 :  0
Ajax
W W L L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Nov 21, 2025 - Ligue 1

Nice
1 :  5
Marseille

Nov 1, 2025 - Ligue 1

Auxerre
0 :  1
Marseille

Oct 25, 2025 - Ligue 1

Lens
2 :  1
Marseille

Oct 22, 2025 - Champions League

Sporting Lisbon
2 :  1
Marseille

Oct 4, 2025 - Ligue 1

Metz
0 :  3
Marseille

Sep 26, 2025 - Ligue 1

Strasbourg
1 :  2
Marseille
Toulouse
Toulouse Latest matches
W L D D D L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Nov 23, 2025 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
0 :  1
Angers

Nov 9, 2025 - Ligue 1

Lorient
1 :  1
Toulouse

Nov 2, 2025 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
0 :  0
Le Havre

Oct 29, 2025 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
2 :  2
Rennes

Oct 25, 2025 - Ligue 1

Monaco
1 :  0
Toulouse

Oct 19, 2025 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
4 :  0
Metz
L D W D D L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Nov 23, 2025 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
0 :  1
Angers

Nov 2, 2025 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
0 :  0
Le Havre

Oct 29, 2025 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
2 :  2
Rennes

Oct 19, 2025 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
4 :  0
Metz

Sep 27, 2025 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
2 :  2
Nantes

Aug 30, 2025 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
3 :  6
PSG
W L L W L D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Nov 9, 2025 - Ligue 1

Lorient
1 :  1
Toulouse

Oct 25, 2025 - Ligue 1

Monaco
1 :  0
Toulouse

Oct 5, 2025 - Ligue 1

Lyon
1 :  2
Toulouse

Sep 21, 2025 - Ligue 1

Auxerre
1 :  0
Toulouse

Sep 14, 2025 - Ligue 1

Lille
2 :  1
Toulouse

Aug 16, 2025 - Ligue 1

Nice
0 :  1
Toulouse

Marseille against Toulouse : Head to Head (H2H)

Marseille

67 %

Draw

33 %

Toulouse

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

4.17
Total goals
83%
BTTS
2.83
Goals scored (Team 1)
1.33
Goals scored (Team 2)
83%
Over 2.5
17%
Under 2.5

Apr 6, 2025 - Ligue 1

Marseille
3 :  2
Toulouse

Aug 31, 2024 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
1 :  3
Marseille

Apr 21, 2024 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
2 :  2
Marseille

Sep 17, 2023 - Ligue 1

Marseille
0 :  0
Toulouse

Feb 19, 2023 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
2 :  3
Marseille

Dec 29, 2022 - Ligue 1

Marseille
6 :  1
Toulouse
Improve your sports betting with our football team comparison tool (100+ statistics)

Toulouse v Marseille last Lineups

Marseille

Formation : 3 - 5 - 2

1
G. Rulli
28
B. Pavard
5
L. Balerdi
33
Emerson
22
T. Weah
18
A. Vermeeren
23
P. Hojbjerg
50
D. Bakola
14
I. Paixao
97
P. Aubameyang
10
M. Greenwood
20
E. Da Silva
10
Y. Gboho
9
F. Magri
24
D. Methalie
45
A. Vossah
23
C. Casseres Jr
15
A. Donnum
2
R. Nicolaisen
4
C. Cresswell
3
M. McKenzie
1
G. Restes

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

Toulouse

Missing players

Marseille
Marseille
Defender

F. Medina

N. Aguerd

A. Murillo

Midfielder

H. Traore

Forward

A. Gouiri

Toulouse
Toulouse
Midfielder

N. Schmidt

M. Sauer

A. Francis

Forward

I. Azizi

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Marseille
CD Huachipato Toulouse
Top Goalscorer
England M. Greenwood (11 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Cameroon F. Magri (4 Goals)
Best assists
Gabon P. Aubameyang (7 Assists)
Best assists
Argentina S. Hidalgo (2 Assists)

Marseille and Toulouse Stats in Ligue 1

Marseille
Marseille
Toulouse
Toulouse
69%
Victories
31%
8%
Draw
31%
23%
Defeats
38%
3.46
Total goals per match
2.69
2.54
Goals scored per match
1.38
0.92
Goals conceded per match
1.31
69%
Over 2.5
46%
31%
Under 2.5
54%
46%
BTTS
46%
38%
No goals conceded
31%

Marseille - Toulouse Key Points

  1. No Marseille player has made more key passes (= passes leading directly to a shot) than Mason Greenwood this season.
  2. Mason Greenwood is also Marseille's best player this season in terms of passes into the penalty area.
  3. Per 90 minutes in Ligue 1, Mason Greenwood is averaging 0.30 expected assisted goals per 90 minutes.
  4. In Ligue 1 this season, Mason Greenwood averages 6.60 progressive passes per 90 minutes.
Up to $200+ to bet on Marseille - Toulouse! 

Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings

Our Marseille vs Toulouse Prediction

Mason Greenwood has primarily scored goals for Marseille this season, but we should not overlook the fact that the English winger/forward is also one of Marseile's most creative players. He's registered three Ligue 1 assists this season, while he created lots of chances against Newcastle in the week, suggesting that his next set-up may be just around the corner. 

Ranking as Marseille's best player in terms of expected assisted goals, key passes and passes into the penalty area, at odds of +350, Greenwood looks worth siding with to register an assist a Toulouse team that the hosts should have little issue hurting. 

Our Marseille vs Toulouse Pick: Mason Greenwood 1+ Assist. 

Prediction:

 

Mason Greenwood 1+ Assist

+350
$200+ offered for betting!

Claim $200+ for your Marseille vs Toulouse wager!

DK Welcome Bonus

Would you like to bet on Marseille vs Toulouse? For this Ligue 1 match, DK treats you to an exclusive offer: a bonus of $200+, no promo code needed! Take advantage while you still can!

Not registered yet? You can create your account now with our link below. A bonus of $200+ awaits you on the Marseille vs Toulouse match!

$200+ available for Marseille vs Toulouse

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Marseille vs Toulouse Picks