Mariano Navone vs Luciano Darderi Prediction & Picks - ATP Santiago Open

ATP - ATP Santiago Open

ATP 38 Argentina
Mariano Navone
2/25/26 18:00
ATP 17 Italy
Luciano Darderi

Prediction:

 

Mariano Navone +1.5 Set Handicap

-137
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 by Bradley Gibbs | in Tennis Picks

One of Wednesday's final matches to take place at the ATP event in Santiago sees Mariano Navone and Luciano Darderi clash. This is match between Argentina and Italy, and at the time of writing, the Italian is heavily favored in the betting. As the higher-ranked player, Darderi deserves to be more fancied than this opponent, sure, but we shouldn't assume that he's going to make light work of this. After all, Darderi comes into this match off the back of consecutive straight-set defeats. 

Meanwhile, Mariano Navone got back to winning ways last time out, winning his first-round match in Santiago. OK, Vit Kopriva, but Navone was a break of set up in the third at that point, so we should credit him with the victory. Having already played on these courts, he may be better prepared than a player who is now playing his first match having been given a bye in the first round. 

Up to $200 to bet on Mariano Navone - Luciano Darderi! 

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Mariano Navone vs Luciano Darderi Form

Mariano Navone and Luciano Darderi Latest Matches

Mariano Navone Latest matches
L L L W L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Feb 17, 2026 - ATP Rio Open

Francisco Cerundolo
2 :  0
Mariano Navone

Feb 12, 2026 - ATP Buenos Aires

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
2 :  0
Mariano Navone

Feb 11, 2026 - ATP Buenos Aires

Mariano Navone
2 :  0
Emilio Nava

Jan 18, 2026 - ATP Australian Open

Mariano Navone
1 :  3
Hamad Medjedovic

Jan 12, 2026 - ASB Classic

Mariano Navone
1 :  2
Alex Michelsen

Jan 6, 2026 - Hong Kong Open

Coleman Wong
2 :  0
Mariano Navone
Luciano Darderi Latest matches
L W W W L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Feb 17, 2026 - ATP Rio Open

Juan Manuel Cerundolo
2 :  1
Luciano Darderi

Feb 15, 2026 - ATP Buenos Aires

Francisco Cerundolo
2 :  0
Luciano Darderi

Feb 14, 2026 - ATP Buenos Aires

Sebastian Baez
0 :  2
Luciano Darderi

Feb 13, 2026 - ATP Buenos Aires

Pedro Martinez
0 :  2
Luciano Darderi

Feb 12, 2026 - ATP Buenos Aires

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
0 :  2
Luciano Darderi

Jan 26, 2026 - ATP Australian Open

Luciano Darderi
0 :  3
Jannik Sinner

Mariano Navone against Luciano Darderi : Head to Head (H2H)

Mariano Navone

33 %

Luciano Darderi

67 %

Sep 24, 2024 - ATP Japan Open

Mariano Navone
2 :  0
Luciano Darderi

May 10, 2024 - ATP Italian Open

Luciano Darderi
2 :  0
Mariano Navone

Feb 13, 2024 - ATP Buenos Aires

Luciano Darderi
2 :  0
Mariano Navone

Mariano Navone - Luciano Darderi Key Points

  1. Mariano Navone has the benefit of having a match at this tournament under his belt already.
  2. Luciano Darderi will be playing his first match of the tournament here.
  3. Mariano Navone has won four of the previous seven renewals of this match.
  4. In only two of his previous seven matches against Navone has Darderi won in straight sets.
Up to $200 to bet on Mariano Navone - Luciano Darderi! 

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Our Mariano Navone vs Luciano Darderi Prediction

Should Luciano Darderi really be such a strong favorite here off the back of consecutive losses? As far as I'm concerned, the answer this is no. The Italian is the higher-ranked player, and sure, he's a very good clay-court player on his day, but his last two efforts haven't been great, plus he's up against a player who has had the benefit of playing a match on these courts already. 

Moreover, Darderi doesn't exactly have a perfect record against Navone, who has won four of the previous seven renewals of this match. On that basis, the Argentine looks a little generously priced to, at the very least, avoid a straight-set defeat. 

Our Mariano Navone vs Luciano Darderi Pick: Mariano Navone +1.5 Set Handicap. 

Prediction:

 

Mariano Navone +1.5 Set Handicap

-137
$200 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Mariano Navone vs Luciano Darderi Picks