Maria Sakkari vs Elena Rybakina Prediction & Picks - WTA Rome
WTA - WTA Rome
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by Lou Aguila | in Tennis Picks
Sporting a 6-1 record on clay this year, Elena Rybakina guns for a clinical win over Maria Sakkari in the second round of the 2026 Italian Open.
Momentum: Elena Rybakina begins another hunt for a big title in Rome after going 6-1 in her first 7 matches on clay this year. After ruling Stuttgart, Rybakina crashed out in the round of 16 at Madrid as she bowed to Anastasia Potapova in straight sets 6-7, 4-6.
Sakkari salvaged her first victory on clay this year, grinding out a 5-7, 6-3, 6-0 win over Lilli Tagger of Austria in the second round. The Greek reached the semifinal of the Italian Open in 2019 and only the second round in 2025.
The Matchup: Rybakina commands a 5-1 head-to-head record against Sakkari. She has won the last four meetings with the Greek, though this will be the first time they will play each other on the dirt.
Hot on the Board: Rybakina emerges as the overwhelming favorite at -900 moneyline and -140 to cover -5.5 games. Sakkari comes out as an attractive pick at +100 on the spread after catching a +5.5-game cushion in this match.
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Maria Sakkari vs Elena Rybakina Form
Maria Sakkari and Elena Rybakina Latest Matches
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
May 6, 2026 - WTA Rome
Apr 24, 2026 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 1, 2026 - WTA Charleston Open
Mar 20, 2026 - WTA Miami
Mar 9, 2026 - WTA Indian Wells
Mar 7, 2026 - WTA Indian Wells
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Apr 27, 2026 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 26, 2026 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 24, 2026 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 19, 2026 - WTA Stuttgart Open
Apr 18, 2026 - WTA Stuttgart Open
Apr 17, 2026 - WTA Stuttgart Open
Maria Sakkari against Elena Rybakina : Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
100 %
Jul 3, 2025 - WTA Wimbledon Championships
Dec 29, 2024 - United Cup
Mar 26, 2024 - WTA Miami
Oct 31, 2023 - WTA Doha
Maria Sakkari - Elena Rybakina Key Points
- Elena Rybakina is 5-1 vs. Maria Sakkari
- Elena Rybakina is 5-1 vs. Maria Sakkari
- Maria Sakkari is 1-4 in his last five matches.
- Maria Sakkari is 2-4 in second-round matches.
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Our Maria Sakkari vs Elena Rybakina Prediction
4-0 in her last four sets against Maria Sakkari, Elena Rybakina appears to be worth the gamble at -140 on a 5.5-game handicap.
Rybakina has dominated Sakkari in their last two meetings, scoring straight-set wins over the Greek at the 2024 United Cup 6-4, 6-3 and at the Wimbledon Open 6-3, 6-1. Moreover, the Kazakh owns an impeccable 18-4 record against the top-50 players on the WTA Tour, underscoring her prowess in matches against the upper half of the top-100 players.
As for Sakkari, the clay has been brutal for the former French Open semifinalist, who is 1-3 on clay this year and 7-5 on clay in 2025. The Greek salvaged two top-10 wins this year (Paolini and Swiatek at the Qatar Open), but she has gone 2-5 since that tournament. Clearly, Sakkari doesn’t have the form that would make her a significant threat to Rybakina in their upcoming match.
Our betting prediction for Maria Sakkari vs. Elena Rybakina: Elena Rybakina -5.5 Games
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
