Manchester City vs Chelsea Prediction & Picks - Premier League

England - Premier League

Manchester City
1/4/26 12:30
Chelsea

Prediction:

 

Pedro Neto 1+ Shots on Target

+110
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 by Bradley Gibbs in Premier League Picks

The last game to kick off in the EPL on Sunday is a big one. It’s Man City vs Chelsea. Fresh from dismissing Enzo Maresca, the Blues have the less-than-simple task of traveling to Etihad Stadium, where they’ll be up against a City team that has now gone nine games without tasting defeat. Despite failing to beat Sunderland in the week, Pep Guardiola’s men come into this game in strong form and should thus be confident. 

Under the temporary stewardship of Calum McFarlane, the Blues will be hoping to pick up a positive result, which would set them up nicely for what appears to be the soon-to-begin Liam Rosenior era. The English coach, who is generally thought of as one of the brightest managerial prospects, has been in charge of Ligue 1 Strasbourg since 2024. Will he soon trade the French top flight for the cut and thrust of the Premier League? Let’s find out after this game.

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Manchester City vs Chelsea Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
2
Manchester City
Manchester City
42 20 13 3 4 26
5
Chelsea
Chelsea
31 20 8 7 5 11

Manchester City and Chelsea Latest Matches

Manchester City
Manchester City Latest matches
W W W W W D
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
2 Goals scored
0.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Jan 1, 2026 - Premier League

Sunderland
0 :  0
Manchester City

Dec 27, 2025 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
1 :  2
Manchester City

Dec 20, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
3 :  0
West Ham

Dec 17, 2025 - Carabao Cup

Manchester City
2 :  0
Brentford

Dec 14, 2025 - Premier League

Crystal Palace
0 :  3
Manchester City

Dec 10, 2025 - Champions League

Real Madrid
1 :  2
Manchester City
W L W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
17% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Dec 20, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
3 :  0
West Ham

Dec 17, 2025 - Carabao Cup

Manchester City
2 :  0
Brentford

Dec 6, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
3 :  0
Sunderland

Nov 29, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
3 :  2
Leeds

Nov 25, 2025 - Champions League

Manchester City
0 :  2
Bayer Leverkusen

Nov 9, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
3 :  0
Liverpool
L W W W W D
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Jan 1, 2026 - Premier League

Sunderland
0 :  0
Manchester City

Dec 27, 2025 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
1 :  2
Manchester City

Dec 14, 2025 - Premier League

Crystal Palace
0 :  3
Manchester City

Dec 10, 2025 - Champions League

Real Madrid
1 :  2
Manchester City

Dec 2, 2025 - Premier League

Fulham
4 :  5
Manchester City

Nov 22, 2025 - Premier League

Newcastle
2 :  1
Manchester City
Chelsea
Chelsea Latest matches
L W W D L D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Dec 30, 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
2 :  2
Bournemouth

Dec 27, 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
1 :  2
Aston Villa

Dec 20, 2025 - Premier League

Newcastle
2 :  2
Chelsea

Dec 16, 2025 - Carabao Cup

Cardiff
1 :  3
Chelsea

Dec 13, 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
2 :  0
Everton

Dec 9, 2025 - Champions League

Atalanta
2 :  1
Chelsea
W W D W L D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
2 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Dec 30, 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
2 :  2
Bournemouth

Dec 27, 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
1 :  2
Aston Villa

Dec 13, 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
2 :  0
Everton

Nov 30, 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
1 :  1
Arsenal

Nov 25, 2025 - Champions League

Chelsea
3 :  0
Barcelona

Nov 8, 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
3 :  0
Wolves
W L D L W D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Dec 20, 2025 - Premier League

Newcastle
2 :  2
Chelsea

Dec 16, 2025 - Carabao Cup

Cardiff
1 :  3
Chelsea

Dec 9, 2025 - Champions League

Atalanta
2 :  1
Chelsea

Dec 6, 2025 - Premier League

Bournemouth
0 :  0
Chelsea

Dec 3, 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
3 :  1
Chelsea

Nov 22, 2025 - Premier League

Burnley
0 :  2
Chelsea

Manchester City against Chelsea : Head to Head (H2H)

Manchester City

67 %

Draw

33 %

Chelsea

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.83
Total goals
67%
BTTS
2.5
Goals scored (Team 1)
1.33
Goals scored (Team 2)
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

Jan 25, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
3 :  1
Chelsea

Aug 18, 2024 - Premier League

Chelsea
0 :  2
Manchester City

Aug 3, 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Chelsea
2 :  4
Manchester City

Apr 20, 2024 - FA Cup

Manchester City
1 :  0
Chelsea

Feb 17, 2024 - Premier League

Manchester City
1 :  1
Chelsea

Nov 12, 2023 - Premier League

Chelsea
4 :  4
Manchester City

Manchester City - Chelsea: Form Analysis

From a recent form point of view, there can be no complaining from the hosts, who’ve been getting back to their best in recent weeks. Sure, they tied with Sunderland in the week, but they kept a clean sheet and were hugely dominant in that game. Given that Guardiola’s men had won eight games on the bounce prior to that game against the Black Cats, they can be forgiven for misfiring a little. 

Given that Guardiola’s men had won eight games on the bounce prior to that game against the Black Cats, they can be forgiven for misfiring a little. 

For the visitors, it’s a case of no win in three, one of which they’ve lost. After recovering from two goals down to tie with Newcastle prior to Christmas, the Blues lost at home to Aston Villa, despite leading deep into the second half, before tying 2-2 against Bournemouth. Such efforts don’t exactly point towards them beating the Citizens, let’s be honest. 

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Manchester City against Chelsea Lineups: Starting 11

Manchester City

Formation : 4 - 3 - 2 - 1

25
G. Donnarumma
27
M. Nunes
3
R. Dias
24
J. Gvardiol
33
N. O'Reilly
20
B. Silva
16
Rodri
4
T. Reijnders
10
R. Cherki
47
P. Foden
9
E. Haaland
20
Joao Pedro
7
P. Neto
10
C. Palmer
41
Estevao
8
E. Fernandez
24
R. James
27
M. Gusto
5
B. Badiashile
23
T. Chalobah
34
J. Acheampong
12
F. Jorgensen

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Chelsea

Missing players

Manchester City
Manchester City
Defender

J. Stones

R. Ait-Nouri

Midfielder

M. Kovacic

O. Bobb

Savinho

N. Gonzalez

Forward

O. Marmoush

Chelsea
Chelsea
Defender

L. Colwill

M. Cucurella

W. Fofana

Midfielder

D. Essugo

R. Lavia

Manchester City & Chelsea Squad Analysis

The hosts will be without a few players on Sunday. Mateo Kovacic continues to be a long-term absentee, while Omar Marmoush and Rayan Ait Nouri continue to be away at the African Cup of Nations. Oscar Bobb is out with a hamstring injury. Nico O’Reilly is doubtful, while the same can be said for Savinho. 

Nico O’Reilly is doubtful, while the same can be said for Savinho. 

The Blues will not only be without a permanent manager, but they’ll also be without Moises Caicedo, who is suspended. Levi Colwill and Romeo Lavia are also sidelined at present. There’s also a doubt over the fitness of Marc Cucurella.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Manchester City
CD Huachipato Chelsea
Top Goalscorer
Norway E. Haaland (25 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Brazil Joao Pedro (7 Goals) Argentina E. Fernandez (7 Goals)
Best assists
France R. Cherki (8 Assists)
Best assists
England R. James (12 Assists)

Manchester City - Chelsea Key Points

  1. In his most recent away game, Pedro Neto registered a shot on target.
  2. Pedro Neto has taken multiple shots in five of his last six EPL games.
  3. Pedro Neto has also registered a shot on target in each of his last six away games in the EPL.
  4. Only two Chelsea players have taken more shots than Pedro Neto in the EPL this season.
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Our Manchester City vs Chelsea Prediction

This isn't going to be easy for the Blues, but we can't say that the visitors aren't a threat on the break, so it's not exactly difficult to see someone like Pedro Neto causing a few problems for the hosts. The Portuguese winger loves to play on the break, while he's started to develop a serious habit of firing off shots. 

Neto registered a shot on target when Chelsea last played on the road, while he's now tested the opposition keeper (or scored) in six of his last ten league games. On the road, he's particularly deadly in this sense, shooting on target at least once in each of his last six away games in the league, making odds of +110 look far too generous. 

Our Man City vs Chelsea Pick: Pedro Neto 1+ Shots on Target. 

Prediction:

 

Pedro Neto 1+ Shots on Target

+110
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Manchester City vs Chelsea - Other Interesting Picks

Rayan Cherki 1+ Assist

Odds +250
As an additional play, consider betting on Man City's Rayan Cherki to register an assist. The Frenchman is now starting to show just how creative he is, registering four assists in his last five EPL appearances. Overall in the league this term, Cherki averages an eye-catching 0.86 assists per 90 minutes, as well as a very healthy 0.63 expected assisted goals (per 90).
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Manchester City vs Chelsea match : Frequently asked questions

Man City vs Chelsea will take place at Etihad Stadium.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Manchester City vs Chelsea Picks