Manchester City vs Arsenal Prediction & Picks - Premier League
England - Premier League
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by Mikaella McIntosh | in Premier League Picks
Manchester City have a fantastic opportunity to close the gap on Arsenal in this huge Premier League clash, hosting their title rivals this Sunday at the Etihad. A win here for the Citizens will stand them just three points behind first place. Even at the available odds, Man City to net more than once is a very appealing bet ahead of this meeting.
First things first, The Gunners played on Wednesday evening, four days prior to this crucial game, whilst City can appreciate a whole week’s rest and preparation. They know that this is a must win to stop the current leaders from gaining an even bigger lead. Last weekend, the hosts comprehensively beat Chelsea, away from home.
What’s more, Man City and Arsenal actually met only a month ago in the cup, at Wembley Stadium, whereby The Citizens comfortably won by two goals to zero. Plus the last time they welcomed Arsenal to Manchester, they put away two goals. In all of their last six matches against EPL opponents, City have scored more than one goal in each.
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Manchester City vs Arsenal Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
85 | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | +44 |
|
2
|
78 | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | +42 |
Manchester City and Arsenal Latest Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Apr 12, 2026 - Premier League
Apr 4, 2026 - FA Cup
Mar 22, 2026 - Carabao Cup
Mar 17, 2026 - Champions League
Mar 14, 2026 - Premier League
Mar 11, 2026 - Champions League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Apr 4, 2026 - FA Cup
Mar 17, 2026 - Champions League
Mar 4, 2026 - Premier League
Feb 21, 2026 - Premier League
Feb 14, 2026 - FA Cup
Feb 11, 2026 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Apr 12, 2026 - Premier League
Mar 22, 2026 - Carabao Cup
Mar 14, 2026 - Premier League
Mar 11, 2026 - Champions League
Mar 7, 2026 - FA Cup
Feb 28, 2026 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Apr 15, 2026 - Champions League
Apr 11, 2026 - Premier League
Apr 7, 2026 - Champions League
Apr 4, 2026 - FA Cup
Mar 22, 2026 - Carabao Cup
Mar 17, 2026 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Apr 15, 2026 - Champions League
Apr 11, 2026 - Premier League
Mar 22, 2026 - Carabao Cup
Mar 17, 2026 - Champions League
Mar 14, 2026 - Premier League
Mar 1, 2026 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Apr 7, 2026 - Champions League
Apr 4, 2026 - FA Cup
Mar 11, 2026 - Champions League
Mar 7, 2026 - FA Cup
Mar 4, 2026 - Premier League
Feb 22, 2026 - Premier League
Manchester City against Arsenal : Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
50 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
Mar 22, 2026 - Carabao Cup
Sep 21, 2025 - Premier League
Feb 2, 2025 - Premier League
Sep 22, 2024 - Premier League
Mar 31, 2024 - Premier League
Oct 8, 2023 - Premier League
Manchester City - Arsenal: Form Analysis
When it comes to playing at the Etihad, The Citizens’ home form is almost spotless. In all competitions this season, out of a possible 25, Man City have only failed to win six; only one out of 15 EPL home matches has seen defeat for City. When hosting the top six, they’ve not yet lost, winning two and tying one, whilst all of their last three matches have been against EPL giants, in league and cup games, coming out on top in every one.
Away from home in the biggest Premier League games, The Gunners haven’t been too effective.
Arsenal have hit a very surprising dip in the road, their worst form of the season so far, finding a win only once in of their five most recent games (all competitions). Away from home in the biggest Premier League games, The Gunners haven’t been too effective, losing two and drawing two out of five. They also concede more chances than they create in games like this.
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Manchester City against Arsenal Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
J. Trafford
DefenderR. Ait-Nouri
J. Stones
N. Ake
P. Foden
T. Reijnders
N. Gonzalez
Savinho
O. Marmoush
K. Arrizabalaga
DefenderB. White
C. Norgaard
M. Lewis-Skelly
M. Dowman
ForwardG. Martinelli
V. Gyokeres
G. Jesus
L. Trossard
Missing players
R. Dias
J. Gvardiol
J. Timber
R. Calafiori
MidfielderM. Merino
ForwardB. Saka
Manchester City & Arsenal Squad Analysis
The hosts aren’t missing many key players. Ruben Dias remains out for, and the only other potential absentee is Nico O’Reilly, who will be gutted to miss this since he’s in excellent form, with four goals and assists in his last four matches. There’s no doubt about leading men Haaland and Semenyo starting up top, which really will be difficult to combat.
Bukayo Saka is questionable following his short spell on the sidelines, and if he misses out, it will be a huge blow for the Gunners.
In terms of the away side, there’s no change in Merino’s injury status, whilst Odegaard’s return remains uncertain. Bukayo Saka is questionable following his short spell on the sidelines, and if he misses out, it will be a huge blow for the Gunners. Fellow forward Madueke isn’t 100% certain either. Luckily, Eberechi Eze should be ready for action, and dangerous striker Gyokeres will need to be sharp for the visitors.
Most goals and assists
Manchester City
Arsenal
E. Haaland
(27 Goals)
V. Gyokeres
(14 Goals)
R. Cherki
(12 Assists)
L. Trossard
(6 Assists)
,
M. Odegaard
(6 Assists)
Manchester City - Arsenal Key Points
- City scored twice past Arsenal when they met last month.
- Man City have scored multiple goals in all of their last three matches.
- Man City have scored multiple goals in 12 out of 15 home EPL matches this season.
- Arsenal have conceded multiple goals in three out of their last five (all competitions).
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Our Manchester City vs Arsenal Prediction
Guardiola’s men have only failed to net in one home Premier League game this season, which was their first home game of the season. Since then, they have scored multiple goals in 12 out of 14 EPL games on home soil. In all competitions, the hosts have scored multiple goals in 20 out of 25.
Man City have scored multiple goals in two out of three most relevant home games and are very solid up top. We cannot ignore the fact that City put away two in this very fixture, at a neutral ground, and the fact that they haven’t had a tough UCL fixture in the week, unlike Arsenal.
Our Man City vs Arsenal Pick: Man City to Score Over 1.5 Goals.
Manchester City vs Arsenal - Other Interesting Picks
Manchester City to Win
Manchester City are the much better side offensively, especially on home soil this season, which is a huge contrast to Arsenal in recent matches, with the visitors being unsuccessful in scoring more than one goal in their last five matches.
The Gunners lost in the cup against a Championship side, whilst Man City claimed the win when the two met in March. Looking at all the factors, it’s hard to see City missing out on the win in this game.
Manchester City vs Arsenal match : Frequently asked questions
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