Madison Keys vs Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah Prediction & Picks - Paris, France, Qualifying
WTA 125K - Paris, France, Qualifying
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by Lou Aguila | in Tennis Picks
Madison Keys rolls into the second round of the 2026 Trophee Clarins as a massive favorite at -1,920 against French rising star Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah.
The former Grand Slam champion breezed through to a straight-set win over Fiona Ferro 6-4, 6-2 in a match that lasted for one hour and 15 minutes.
Ranked No.19 in the world, Keys opted to participate at this WTA 125 event in hope of building her confidence on clay ahead of the 2026 French Open. She is 5-2 on clay this year and coming off a second-round exit at the hands of Nikola Bartunkova 3-6, 6-1. 4-6 in Rome.
Rajaonah claimed her first win on the tour this year after hacking out 3-6, 7-6, 6-2 win over Teodora Kostović. Rajaonah opened her 2026 WTA season with an 0-8 record before finally securing the breakthrough win in Paris.
Draftkings lists Rajaonah at +800 moneyline and +270 on a +1.5-set handicap. The Frenchwoman is 0-4 against top-100 players on the WTA Tour in 2026.
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Madison Keys vs Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah Form
Madison Keys and Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah Latest Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
May 10, 2026 - WTA Rome
May 8, 2026 - WTA Rome
Apr 4, 2026 - WTA Charleston Open
Apr 3, 2026 - WTA Charleston Open
Apr 2, 2026 - WTA Charleston Open
Apr 1, 2026 - WTA Charleston Open
0/6 (0%)
6/6 (100%)
Apr 14, 2026 - WTA Rouen
Mar 31, 2026 - WTA Bogota
Feb 3, 2026 - Transylvania Open
Jan 18, 2026 - WTA Australian Open
Jan 10, 2026 - Hobart International
Oct 27, 2025 - WTA Jiangxi Open
Madison Keys - Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah Key Points
- Tiantsoa Rakotomanga Rajaonah is 0-4 vs. top-100 players
- Tiantsoa Rakotamanga Rajaonah owns a 63 percent win rate on clay.
- Madison Keys is 5-2 on clay in 2026.
- Madison Keys is 4-0 against players outside the top-100.
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Our Madison Keys vs Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah Prediction
Madison Keys will prove too good against Tiantsoa Rakotamanga Rajaonah at this level.
A former Grand Slam winner, Keys wasn’t supposed to participate in this WTA 125 event, but an unexpected early exit in Rome made the Trophee Clarins a practical spot to continue her French Open buildup. Her straightforward win over Fiona Fiero underscored the disparity between her level and that of most players competing in this tournament.
On the other hand, Rajoanah barged into the winner’s column for the first time this year after gutting out a win over Teodora Kotsovic. The win should bolster her confidence moving forward, though an expected heavy loss from Keys will once again test her resolve to keep going despite a challenging season.
Since there isn’t much to profit from Keys in the moneyline and set market, betting Under 8.5 games (-125) in the first set looks a sound pick as everybody expect the American to assert her dominance right from the get-go.
Our betting prediction for Madison Keys vs. Tiantsoa Rakotomanga Rajaonah: Under 8.5 Games in First Set
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
