Madison Keys vs Qinwen Zheng Prediction & Picks - WTA US Open
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by Lou Aguila | in Tennis Picks
Zheng Qinwen’s five straight victories at this year’s US Open have made her a serious threat to Madison Keys, who is coming off a grueling match.
Zheng is reasonably priced at -130 to cover +2.5 games in the spread market at DraftKings.
Current Form:
Madison Keys escaped with a 5-7, 6-4, 7-6 win over Anna Bondar after being down a set and saving five match points against the Hungarian. Keys, the 2025 Australian Open champion, is 5-2 in tiebreaks in hard-court matches in 2026.
Zheng Qinwen displayed pre-injury form in her first two wins at the US Open. The Chinese qualifier and former top-10 player outlasted teenage wunderkind Kristina Liutova 4-6, 6-3, 6-1 and Yulia Putintseva 6-4, 2-6, 6-1 to stay in the hunt in this Grand Slam.
The Matchup: Keys and Zheng are 1-1 in their head-to-head series, with the Chinese coming on top in their last encounter in Miami, 4-6, 6-2, 6-4.
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Madison Keys vs Qinwen Zheng Form
Madison Keys and Qinwen Zheng Latest Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Sep 3, 2026 - WTA US Open
Sep 1, 2026 - WTA US Open
Aug 21, 2026 - WTA Cincinnati Open
Aug 19, 2026 - WTA Cincinnati Open
Aug 18, 2026 - WTA Cincinnati Open
Aug 16, 2026 - WTA Cincinnati Open
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Sep 3, 2026 - WTA US Open
Aug 31, 2026 - WTA US Open
Aug 27, 2026 - WTA US Open
Aug 26, 2026 - WTA US Open
Aug 24, 2026 - WTA US Open
Aug 1, 2026 - WTA National Bank Open
Madison Keys against Qinwen Zheng : Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
Mar 22, 2026 - WTA Miami
Aug 1, 2023 - WTA Washington Citi Open
Madison Keys - Qinwen Zheng Key Points
- Zheng Qinwen is 11-6 on hard courts in 2026.
- Zheng Qinwen has won her last five matches
- Madison Keys is 14-8 on hard courts in 2026.
- Madison Keys is 6-4 in third-round matches in 2026.
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Our Madison Keys vs Qinwen Zheng Prediction
Key Stats: Zheng broke Keys four times in her 4-6, 6-2, 6-4 win over the American at the Miami Open earlier this year.
What to Expect: After surviving a tricky match with Bondar, Keys finds herself in a similar situation with Zheng, who possesses the power in her shots and big-game experience to put her in uncomfortable spots.
With 93 percent of bets placed on Keys to win, the American seems to be a comfortable moneyline pick for this match. However, Zheng is also an intriguing option at -130 to cover +2.5 games, as the Chinese appears to have regained the form that makes her dangerous even for the higher-ranked players.
Fearless Forecast: Madison Keys wins 7-6, 4-6, 6-4
Our betting prediction for Madison Keys vs. Zheng Qinwen: Zheng Qinwen +2.5 games
A Welcome Bonus for Madison Keys vs Qinwen Zheng!

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.