Madison Keys vs Qinwen Zheng Prediction & Picks - WTA US Open

WTA - WTA US Open

WTA 24 USA
Madison Keys
9/5/26 11:00
WTA 121 China
Qinwen Zheng

Prediction:

 

Zheng Qinwen +2.5 games

-130
$200 offered for betting!

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 by Lou Aguila | in Tennis Picks

Zheng Qinwen’s five straight victories at this year’s US Open have made her a serious threat to Madison Keys, who is coming off a grueling match.

Zheng is reasonably priced at -130 to cover +2.5 games in the spread market at DraftKings.

Current Form:

Madison Keys escaped with a 5-7, 6-4, 7-6 win over Anna Bondar after being down a set and saving five match points against the Hungarian. Keys, the 2025 Australian Open champion, is 5-2 in tiebreaks in hard-court matches in 2026.

Zheng Qinwen displayed pre-injury form in her first two wins at the US Open. The Chinese qualifier and former top-10 player outlasted teenage wunderkind Kristina Liutova 4-6, 6-3, 6-1 and Yulia Putintseva 6-4, 2-6, 6-1 to stay in the hunt in this Grand Slam.

The Matchup: Keys and Zheng are 1-1 in their head-to-head series, with the Chinese coming on top in their last encounter in Miami, 4-6, 6-2, 6-4.

Up to $200 to bet on Madison Keys - Qinwen Zheng! 

Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings

Madison Keys vs Qinwen Zheng Form

Madison Keys and Qinwen Zheng Latest Matches

Madison Keys Latest matches
W W W L W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Sep 3, 2026 - WTA US Open

Madison Keys
2 :  1
Anna Bondar

Sep 1, 2026 - WTA US Open

Madison Keys
2 :  0
Alina Korneeva

Aug 21, 2026 - WTA Cincinnati Open

Sara Bejlek
2 :  1
Madison Keys

Aug 19, 2026 - WTA Cincinnati Open

Madison Keys
2 :  0
Xiyu Wang

Aug 18, 2026 - WTA Cincinnati Open

Katerina Siniakova
0 :  2
Madison Keys

Aug 16, 2026 - WTA Cincinnati Open

Daria Snigur
1 :  2
Madison Keys
Qinwen Zheng Latest matches
L W W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Sep 3, 2026 - WTA US Open

Qinwen Zheng
2 :  1
Yulia Putintseva

Aug 31, 2026 - WTA US Open

Qinwen Zheng
2 :  1
Kristina Liutova

Aug 27, 2026 - WTA US Open

Qinwen Zheng
2 :  1
Elena Pridankina

Aug 26, 2026 - WTA US Open

Qinwen Zheng
2 :  0
Clara Burel

Aug 24, 2026 - WTA US Open

Qinwen Zheng
2 :  0
Xiaodi You

Aug 1, 2026 - WTA National Bank Open

Lanlana Tararudee
2 :  0
Qinwen Zheng

Madison Keys against Qinwen Zheng : Head to Head (H2H)

Madison Keys

50 %

Qinwen Zheng

50 %

Mar 22, 2026 - WTA Miami

Qinwen Zheng
2 :  1
Madison Keys

Aug 1, 2023 - WTA Washington Citi Open

Qinwen Zheng
0 :  2
Madison Keys
Madison Keys vs Qinwen Zheng Picks

Madison Keys - Qinwen Zheng Key Points

  1. Zheng Qinwen is 11-6 on hard courts in 2026.
  2. Zheng Qinwen has won her last five matches
  3. Madison Keys is 14-8 on hard courts in 2026.
  4. Madison Keys is 6-4 in third-round matches in 2026.
Up to $200 to bet on Madison Keys - Qinwen Zheng! 

Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings

Our Madison Keys vs Qinwen Zheng Prediction

Key Stats: Zheng broke Keys four times in her 4-6, 6-2, 6-4 win over the American at the Miami Open earlier this year.

What to Expect: After surviving a tricky match with Bondar, Keys finds herself in a similar situation with Zheng, who possesses the power in her shots and big-game experience to put her in uncomfortable spots.

With 93 percent of bets placed on Keys to win, the American seems to be a comfortable moneyline pick for this match. However, Zheng is also an intriguing option at -130 to cover +2.5 games, as the Chinese appears to have regained the form that makes her dangerous even for the higher-ranked players.

Fearless Forecast: Madison Keys wins 7-6, 4-6, 6-4

Our betting prediction for Madison Keys vs. Zheng Qinwen: Zheng Qinwen +2.5 games

Prediction:

 

Zheng Qinwen +2.5 games

-130
$200 offered for betting!

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.