Lucrezia Stefanini vs Tatjana María Prediction & Picks - WTA 125K Newport, USA Women Singles
WTA 125K - WTA 125K Newport, USA Women Singles
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by Lou Aguila | in Tennis Picks
Tatjana Maria, 10-4 on grass in 2026, is looking like a sharp play to win in straight sets against Lucrezia Stefanini, whom she defeated in two previous hard-court matches.
Current Form:
The grass-court grind continues for Tatjana Maria, who captured her 10th win on grass this year after trouncing Katherine Sebov 6-3, 6-3. Maria, runner-up at Eastbourne International this year, proved too good at the WTA 125 level, punching her ticket to the quarterfinals without dropping a set.
Facing Maria is Lucrezia Stefanini, who has won her last seven matches. After losing to Katarzyna Kawa in three sets in the second round of the 2026 Wimbledon Open qualifying stages, Stefanini would go on to rack up five wins to claim the ITF W100 Cary in North Carolina. She added wins over Carol Zhao of Canada 6-3, 6-1 and Ann Rogers 6-2, 6-1, in Newport.
The Matchup: Maria is 2-1 vs. Stefanini in their head-to-head series. She also defeated the Italian in straight sets, 6-2, 6-2 in their last meeting at the 2025 Puerto Vallarta.
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Lucrezia Stefanini vs Tatjana María Form
Lucrezia Stefanini and Tatjana María Latest Matches
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Jun 24, 2026 - WTA Wimbledon Championships
Jun 23, 2026 - WTA Wimbledon Championships
May 20, 2026 - WTA French Open
May 19, 2026 - WTA French Open
May 6, 2026 - WTA Rome
Apr 20, 2026 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Jul 1, 2026 - WTA Wimbledon Championships
Jun 29, 2026 - WTA Wimbledon Championships
Jun 27, 2026 - WTA Eastbourne International
Jun 25, 2026 - WTA Eastbourne International
Jun 24, 2026 - WTA Eastbourne International
Jun 23, 2026 - WTA Eastbourne International
Lucrezia Stefanini - Tatjana María Key Points
- Tatjana Maria is 92-45 on grass.
- Tatjana Maria is 2-1 in quarterfinal matches in 2026.
- Lucrezia Stefanini is 19-15 on grass.
- Lucrezia Stefanini is 31-39 in quarterfinal matches
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Our Lucrezia Stefanini vs Tatjana María Prediction
The Difference Maker: Maria is just too good on grass, especially at this level. Carrying a 10-4 record on grass, Maria entered Newport as the No.2 seed and the favourite to win the whole thing because of her pedigree on grass.
As for Stefanini, she might be on a 7-match winning streak but she has struggled to play Maria on quicker courts. Her lone win over the German came on the red dirt at an ITF tournament in France seven years ago.
What to Expect: Maria unpacks the whole package of her slice-and-dice arsenal to overwhelm Stefanini, winning in straight sets 6-3, 6-2.
Our betting prediction for Tatjana Maria vs. Lucrezia Stefanini: Tatjana Maria 2-0 Sets
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
