Luca Van Assche vs Pablo Carreño-Busta Prediction & Picks - ATP Estoril Open
ATP - ATP Estoril Open
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by Bradley Gibbs | in Tennis Picks
In Estoril, Portugal, on Thursday, it's France vs Spain, as Luca Van Assche takes on Pablo Carreño-Busta. These two players will clash for the second time as pros having faced off in Olbia, Italy late last year, when Luca Van Assche ground out the win in three sets. On that occasion, both players fought hard, ensuring that three sets were played, and we could see something similar here.
There isn't much to suggest that either player is about to win this match easily, so we really should not be shocked if the pair share a three-setter here. After all, we're talking about two closely matched players according to the rankings, two players who've both struggled to win in straight sets recently. They also shared three sets when they last met, making odds of +160 look quite generous indeed.
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Luca Van Assche vs Pablo Carreño-Busta Form
Luca Van Assche and Pablo Carreño-Busta Latest Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Jul 20, 2026 - ATP Estoril Open
Jul 15, 2026 - ATP Umag Open
Jul 13, 2026 - ATP Umag Open
May 28, 2026 - ATP French Open
May 25, 2026 - ATP French Open
May 16, 2026 - ATP Hamburg Open
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Jul 21, 2026 - ATP Estoril Open
Jul 15, 2026 - ATP Umag Open
Jul 14, 2026 - ATP Umag Open
Jul 1, 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
May 31, 2026 - ATP French Open
May 29, 2026 - ATP French Open
Luca Van Assche - Pablo Carreño-Busta Key Points
- When the pair last met, back in late 2025, they shared three sets.
- During the previous round in Estoril, Luca Van Assche was involved in a three-set match.
- Each of Luca Van Assche's last four clay-court matches has contained more than two sets.
- Pablo Carreño-Busta has lost none of his last ten clay-court matches in straight sets.
- Luca Van Assche has also lost none of his last ten clay-court matches in straight sets.
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Our Luca Van Assche vs Pablo Carreño-Busta Prediction
As we can see from the numbers above, neither player has made a habit of losing clay-court matches in straight sets recently, while straight-set wins have also been few and far between for both, especially Luca Van Assche, who has played three sets in all but one of his last nine matches on a clay surface. Such a stat suggests that there's a stronger chance of three sets being played here than the early odds suggest.
When they faced off late last year, they shared three sets, and on all available evidence, 'Over 2.5 Sets' simply rates as a better bet than the current odds would have us believe. Take the value that +160 offers.
Our Luca Van Assche vs Pablo Carreno-Busta Pick: Over 2.5 Sets.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
