Lorenzo Musetti vs Tomas Machac Prediction & Picks - ATP Australian Open
ATP - ATP Australian Open
New customers only | Commercial content | 21+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Lou Aguila | in ATP Australian Open Picks
Lorenzo Musetti of Italy will battle Tomas Machac of the Czech Republic for a place in the fourth round of the 2026 Australian Open on Friday.
Recommended Pick: Over 39.5 Games
Potential Payout: $220 for every $120 Bet.
Musetti advanced to the round of 32 after emerging as the winner of the Lorenzo Derby in the second round. Musetti carved out a 6-3, 6-3, 6-4 win over Lorenzo Sonego to stay in the hunt for his first Grand Slam title. Previously considered a clay-court expert, Musetti has demonstrated in this tournament that he’s more than a one-dimensional player as he systematically tore Sonego apart with blistering winners and high-level tactics.
Meanwhile, Machac has once again flourished in the land down under. A year after reaching the round of 32 at the 2025 AO, Machac reached the third round again, earning yet another chance to secure a career-best fourth-round stint in this major event. To get to this stage, Machac had to dispatch a couple of former top-10 players in Grigor Dimitrov 6-4, 6-4, 6-3 and Stefanos Tsitsipas 6-4, 3-6, 7-6, 7-6. Machac is converting 53.8 percent of his break-points and saving 78.6 percent of break-points at the 2026 Australian Open.
Limited Offer. Currently at Caesars Sportsbook
Lorenzo Musetti vs Tomas Machac Form
Lorenzo Musetti and Tomas Machac Latest Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Jan 21, 2026 - ATP Australian Open
Jan 11, 2026 - Hong Kong Open
Jan 10, 2026 - Hong Kong Open
Jan 9, 2026 - Hong Kong Open
Jan 7, 2026 - Hong Kong Open
Nov 13, 2025 - ATP Finals
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
Jan 22, 2026 - ATP Australian Open
Jan 20, 2026 - ATP Australian Open
Jan 16, 2026 - Adelaide International
Jan 15, 2026 - Adelaide International
Jan 14, 2026 - Adelaide International
Jan 13, 2026 - Adelaide International
Lorenzo Musetti against Tomas Machac : Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
100 %
Feb 7, 2024 - ATP Marseille
Lorenzo Musetti - Tomas Machac Key Points
- Tomas Machac is averaging 13.5 aces per match at the 2026 Australian Open.
- Tomas Machac is saving 78.6 percent of break-points.
- Lorenzo Musetti is 5-2 in 7 matches in 2026.
- Lorenzo Musetti is 1-0 vs. Tomas Machac.
Limited Offer. Currently at Caesars Sportsbook
Our Lorenzo Musetti vs Tomas Machac Prediction
Fearless Forecast: Lorenzo Musetti escapes Tomas Machac 6-4, 4-6, 6-7, 7-6, 7-5.
Reason: This match has the potential to go to the limit since both competitors are evenly matched stylistically and skills-wise. Machac dominated Musetti 6-3, 6-4 in their first and only meeting at the 2024 Marseille Open.
The Czech has been the better hard-court player of the two, at least on paper, but Musetti has also made big strides on the hard-court in the past two years, and this evolution as a multi-dimensional player has helped Musetti become a top-5 player in the world.
Picking the winner of this match is brutally difficult, yet I really believe tennis fans are about to witness one of the best matches in this tournament. Brace up for a five-set banger between Musetti and Machac.
Our betting prediction for Lorenzo Musetti vs. Tomas Machac: Over 39.5 Games
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
