Lorenzo Musetti vs Lorenzo Sonego Prediction & Picks - ATP Australian Open
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by Bradley Gibbs | in ATP Australian Open Picks
Once again, we have the battle of the Lorenzos. Lorenzo Musetti and Lorenzo Sonego, in an all Italian affair, will meet at the Australian Open on Thursday, during the early hours for those watching in the US. Not for the first time in recent months, the two Italians will clash. When they last faced off, it was Sonego who come out on top, with the lower-ranked player winning in three sets at the Paris Masters back in late 2025. Having won two of his previous three matches against Musetti, can he triumph again?
Well, listen, Musetti is the higher-ranked player and he's the clear and obvious favorite in the early betting, though is he fancied a little too much? Maybe. After all, he doesn't have the strongest record against his compatriot, who is no stranger to causing an upset, while it was Sonego who created the better impression during the first round, winning in straight sets.
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Lorenzo Musetti vs Lorenzo Sonego Form
Lorenzo Musetti and Lorenzo Sonego Latest Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Jan 11, 2026 - Hong Kong Open
Jan 10, 2026 - Hong Kong Open
Jan 9, 2026 - Hong Kong Open
Jan 7, 2026 - Hong Kong Open
Nov 13, 2025 - ATP Finals
Nov 11, 2025 - ATP Finals
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Jan 19, 2026 - ATP Australian Open
Jan 8, 2026 - Hong Kong Open
Jan 6, 2026 - Hong Kong Open
Nov 7, 2025 - Moselle Open
Nov 6, 2025 - Moselle Open
Nov 4, 2025 - Moselle Open
Lorenzo Musetti against Lorenzo Sonego : Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
Oct 29, 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters
Oct 22, 2024 - ATP Vienna
Lorenzo Musetti - Lorenzo Sonego Key Points
- This will be the first time that the two Italians have faced off at a Grand Slam.
- Lorenzo Sonego has won two of his previous three matches against Lorenzo Musetti.
- When the pair met on a hard court back in late 2025, Lorenzo Sonego won.
- Lorenzo Sonego arrives here having won his first-round match in straight sets.
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Our Lorenzo Musetti vs Lorenzo Sonego Prediction
Am I saying the Lorenzo Sonego will win this match? Absolutely not. What I am saying is that he deserves more respect and thus goes down as a value bet. It really is that simple. Sure, Musetti is the world number five and when he's on it, he's tricky to face. However, he dropped a set against a lower-ranked player before that lower-ranked player retired during the first round, and he wasn't looking at his best.
In contrast, Sonego won with serious authority, beating a decent player in straight sets. Such form tells me that he can really make life tough for Musetti here, and if the world number five isn't at his best, then this could easily go the way of the man who is currently ranked as the world number 40.
Our Lorenzo Musetti vs Lorenzo Sonego Pick: Lorenzo Sonego to Win.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.