Lille vs Marseille Prediction & Picks - Ligue 1

France - Ligue 1

Lille
12/5/25 15:00
Marseille

Prediction:

 

Lille and Draw & Over 1.5 Goals

-128
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 by Tyler Doty in Ligue 1 Picks

This is undoubtedly the most eagerly awaited match of the 15th day of Ligue 1. This Friday, Lille will take on Olympique de Marseille at the Stade Pierre-Mauroy. These are two teams that have their sights set on nothing less than qualifying for the next edition of the Champions League. Before the start of this new matchday, Lille is in 4th place in the standings. The Dogues have been brimming with confidence recently, having won their last two league games. Very solid at home, Bruno Génésio's team does not expect to take its foot off the gas for this clash.

It will not be an easy task. Marseille is on the Ligue 1 podium, in third place. Last weekend, the club had a great opportunity to take the lead in the French championship after PSG's defeat at AS Monaco (1-0). However, Roberto De Zerbi's men missed the boat, being held to a draw by Toulouse FC in the dying moments at the Stade Vélodrome (2-2). The Marseille team has certainly taken a big blow before traveling to the home ground of one of its direct rivals.

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Lille vs Marseille Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
3
Marseille
Marseille
29 14 9 2 3 21
4
Lille
Lille
26 14 8 2 4 11

Lille and Marseille Latest Matches

Lille
Lille Latest matches
W L L W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Nov 30, 2025 - Ligue 1

Le Havre
0 :  1
Lille

Nov 27, 2025 - Europa League

Lille
4 :  0
GNK Dinamo Zagreb

Nov 23, 2025 - Ligue 1

Lille
4 :  2
Paris FC

Nov 9, 2025 - Ligue 1

Strasbourg
2 :  0
Lille

Nov 6, 2025 - Europa League

Red Star Belgrade
1 :  0
Lille

Nov 2, 2025 - Ligue 1

Lille
1 :  0
Angers
D L W W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
3.17 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Nov 27, 2025 - Europa League

Lille
4 :  0
GNK Dinamo Zagreb

Nov 23, 2025 - Ligue 1

Lille
4 :  2
Paris FC

Nov 2, 2025 - Ligue 1

Lille
1 :  0
Angers

Oct 26, 2025 - Ligue 1

Lille
6 :  1
Metz

Oct 23, 2025 - Europa League

Lille
3 :  4
PAOK Thessaloniki

Oct 5, 2025 - Ligue 1

Lille
1 :  1
PSG
W W L L L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.5 Total goals
0% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
0% Over 2.5
100% Under 2.5

Nov 30, 2025 - Ligue 1

Le Havre
0 :  1
Lille

Nov 9, 2025 - Ligue 1

Strasbourg
2 :  0
Lille

Nov 6, 2025 - Europa League

Red Star Belgrade
1 :  0
Lille

Oct 29, 2025 - Ligue 1

Nice
2 :  0
Lille

Oct 19, 2025 - Ligue 1

Nantes
0 :  2
Lille

Oct 2, 2025 - Europa League

Roma
0 :  1
Lille
Marseille
Marseille Latest matches
W L W W W D
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Nov 29, 2025 - Ligue 1

Marseille
2 :  2
Toulouse

Nov 25, 2025 - Champions League

Marseille
2 :  1
Newcastle

Nov 21, 2025 - Ligue 1

Nice
1 :  5
Marseille

Nov 8, 2025 - Ligue 1

Marseille
3 :  0
Brest

Nov 5, 2025 - Champions League

Marseille
0 :  1
Atalanta

Nov 1, 2025 - Ligue 1

Auxerre
0 :  1
Marseille
W D L W W D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Nov 29, 2025 - Ligue 1

Marseille
2 :  2
Toulouse

Nov 25, 2025 - Champions League

Marseille
2 :  1
Newcastle

Nov 8, 2025 - Ligue 1

Marseille
3 :  0
Brest

Nov 5, 2025 - Champions League

Marseille
0 :  1
Atalanta

Oct 29, 2025 - Ligue 1

Marseille
2 :  2
Angers

Oct 18, 2025 - Ligue 1

Marseille
6 :  2
Le Havre
W W L L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Nov 21, 2025 - Ligue 1

Nice
1 :  5
Marseille

Nov 1, 2025 - Ligue 1

Auxerre
0 :  1
Marseille

Oct 25, 2025 - Ligue 1

Lens
2 :  1
Marseille

Oct 22, 2025 - Champions League

Sporting Lisbon
2 :  1
Marseille

Oct 4, 2025 - Ligue 1

Metz
0 :  3
Marseille

Sep 26, 2025 - Ligue 1

Strasbourg
1 :  2
Marseille

Lille against Marseille : Head to Head (H2H)

Lille

33 %

Draw

67 %

Marseille

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.17
Total goals
83%
BTTS
1.33
Goals scored (Team 1)
0.83
Goals scored (Team 2)
33%
Over 2.5
67%
Under 2.5

May 4, 2025 - Ligue 1

Lille
1 :  1
Marseille

Jan 14, 2025 - French Cup

Marseille
1 :  1
Lille

Dec 14, 2024 - Ligue 1

Marseille
1 :  1
Lille

Apr 5, 2024 - Ligue 1

Lille
3 :  1
Marseille

Nov 4, 2023 - Ligue 1

Marseille
0 :  0
Lille

May 20, 2023 - Ligue 1

Lille
2 :  1
Marseille

Marseille v Lille last Lineups

Lille

Formation : 4 - 1 - 2 - 3

1
B. Ozer
12
T. Meunier
3
N. Ngoy
23
A. Mandi
15
R. Perraud
32
A. Bouaddi
21
B. Andre
17
N. Mukau
27
F. Correia
9
O. Giroud
11
O. Sahraoui
97
P. Aubameyang
14
I. Paixao
8
A. Gomes
10
M. Greenwood
23
P. Hojbjerg
26
B. Nadir
33
Emerson
21
N. Aguerd
28
B. Pavard
22
T. Weah
1
G. Rulli

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Marseille

Missing players

Lille
Lille
Goalkeeper

M. Caillard

Defender

O. Toure

C. Verdonk

Alexsandro

Midfielder

A. Bouaddi

Marseille
Marseille
Defender

F. Medina

Midfielder

H. Traore

Forward

A. Gouiri

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Lille
CD Huachipato Marseille
Top Goalscorer
Morocco H. Igamane (9 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
England M. Greenwood (11 Goals)
Best assists
Portugal F. Correia (5 Assists)
Best assists
Gabon P. Aubameyang (8 Assists)

Lille and Marseille Stats in Ligue 1

Lille
Lille
Marseille
Marseille
57%
Victories
64%
14%
Draw
14%
29%
Defeats
21%
3.21
Total goals per match
3.5
2
Goals scored per match
2.5
1.21
Goals conceded per match
1
43%
Over 2.5
71%
57%
Under 2.5
29%
43%
BTTS
50%
29%
No goals conceded
36%

Lille - Marseille Key Points

  1. Lille has won their last two Ligue 1 matches.
  2. Over 1.5 goals were scored in Lille's last 4 matches.
  3. Lille has not lost in its last six matches against Marseille in all competitions.
  4. Marseille is coming off a draw against Toulouse FC at the Stade Vélodrome (2-2).
  5. Over 1.5 goals were scored in Marseille's last 4 matches.
Up to $500+ to bet on Lille - Marseille! 

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Our Lille vs Marseille Prediction

Last weekend, Lille secured a valuable victory away to Le Havre AC, despite playing with ten men for much of the second half (0-1). This win should give them a confidence boost ahead of their Ligue 1 clash with Marseille. For their part, Marseille are still reeling from a disappointing draw at the Stade Vélodrome against Toulouse FC (2-2). Although this fixture promises to be a high-scoring affair, the Marseille club will find it difficult to return to winning ways away from home against a very solid side in front of their fans.

Our prediction for Lille vs Marseille: Lille and Draw & over 1.5 goals.

Prediction:

 

Lille and Draw & Over 1.5 Goals

-128
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Lille vs Marseille Picks