Club Leon vs Deportivo Toluca FC Prediction & Picks - Liga MX

Mexico - Liga MX

Club Leon
10/4/25 21:00
Deportivo Toluca FC

Prediction:

 

Over 3.5

+120
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 by Carlos Zabala in Liga MX Picks

In a clear exaggeration meant to prove a point, some Mexican league enthusiasts on social media say that watching Toluca reminds them of Messi's Barcelona. This is clearly a compliment to how well the team coached by Antonio Mohamen plays, with chemistry between them, and with players in their prime who play with such conviction that Toluca has snatched the spotlight from América, as the "Red Devils" have gone from trophy to trophy.

In a season full of victories, following their championship at the Nemeiso Díaz Stadium against América, Toluca is in the midst of its best winning streak of the season. After the 0-1 loss in the capital against Cruz Azul, Toluca won the next six matches, incredibly scoring three or more goals in each game.

In Liga MX, on Matchday 11, Toluca defeated Mazatlán 3-1 with goals from Herrera, Bruno Méndez, and a penalty from Paulinho. Four days later, they were in Carson, back in the USA after playing four League Cup matches this year. They returned to play the "Campeones Cup" against the LA Galaxy, and in an almost routine performance, they won again, scoring three goals each from Castro, Romero, and Pereira.

Just three days after lifting the Campeones Cup trophy, Toluca returns to Mexico for their league match against León.

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Club Leon vs Deportivo Toluca FC Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1
Deportivo Toluca FC
Deportivo Toluca FC
25 11 8 1 2 17
11
Club Leon
Club Leon
12 11 3 3 5 -8

Club Leon and Deportivo Toluca FC Latest Matches

Club Leon
Club Leon Latest matches
D W D L D L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Sep 26, 2025 - Liga MX

FC Juarez
2 :  0
Club Leon

Sep 23, 2025 - Liga MX

Club Leon
2 :  2
Mazatlan FC

Sep 19, 2025 - Liga MX

Tijuana
5 :  0
Club Leon

Sep 13, 2025 - Liga MX

Tigres UANL
0 :  0
Club Leon

Aug 30, 2025 - Liga MX

Club Leon
3 :  0
Queretaro

Aug 23, 2025 - Liga MX

Club Leon
1 :  1
CF Pachuca
L W L D W D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Sep 23, 2025 - Liga MX

Club Leon
2 :  2
Mazatlan FC

Aug 30, 2025 - Liga MX

Club Leon
3 :  0
Queretaro

Aug 23, 2025 - Liga MX

Club Leon
1 :  1
CF Pachuca

Aug 11, 2025 - Liga MX

Club Leon
1 :  3
Monterrey

Jul 19, 2025 - Liga MX

Club Leon
1 :  0
Chivas

Jul 13, 2025 - Liga MX

Club Leon
0 :  1
Atletico San Luis
L L W D L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
0% BTTS
0.17 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

Sep 26, 2025 - Liga MX

FC Juarez
2 :  0
Club Leon

Sep 19, 2025 - Liga MX

Tijuana
5 :  0
Club Leon

Sep 13, 2025 - Liga MX

Tigres UANL
0 :  0
Club Leon

Aug 15, 2025 - Liga MX

Club Necaxa
0 :  1
Club Leon

Aug 5, 2025 - Leagues Cup

Columbus Crew
1 :  0
Club Leon

Aug 1, 2025 - Leagues Cup

New York City
2 :  0
Club Leon
Deportivo Toluca FC
Deportivo Toluca FC Latest matches
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.67 Total goals
83% BTTS
3.5 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

Oct 1, 2025 - Campeones Cup

Los Angeles Galaxy
2 :  3
Deportivo Toluca FC

Sep 27, 2025 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
3 :  1
Mazatlan FC

Sep 24, 2025 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
6 :  2
Monterrey

Sep 20, 2025 - Liga MX

Chivas
0 :  3
Deportivo Toluca FC

Sep 13, 2025 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
3 :  1
Puebla

Aug 29, 2025 - Liga MX

Atletico San Luis
1 :  3
Deportivo Toluca FC
W D D W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Sep 27, 2025 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
3 :  1
Mazatlan FC

Sep 24, 2025 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
6 :  2
Monterrey

Sep 13, 2025 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
3 :  1
Puebla

Aug 20, 2025 - Leagues Cup

Deportivo Toluca FC
0 :  0
Orlando City SC

Aug 16, 2025 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
1 :  1
Pumas UNAM

Aug 5, 2025 - Leagues Cup

Deportivo Toluca FC
2 :  1
New York City
W W L W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Oct 1, 2025 - Campeones Cup

Los Angeles Galaxy
2 :  3
Deportivo Toluca FC

Sep 20, 2025 - Liga MX

Chivas
0 :  3
Deportivo Toluca FC

Aug 29, 2025 - Liga MX

Atletico San Luis
1 :  3
Deportivo Toluca FC

Aug 23, 2025 - Liga MX

CF Cruz Azul
1 :  0
Deportivo Toluca FC

Aug 11, 2025 - Liga MX

FC Juarez
0 :  2
Deportivo Toluca FC

Jul 20, 2025 - Trofeo de Campeon de Campeones

CF America
1 :  3
Deportivo Toluca FC

Club Leon against Deportivo Toluca FC : Head to Head (H2H)

Club Leon

17 %

Draw

50 %

Deportivo Toluca FC

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.83
Total goals
50%
BTTS
1.17
Goals scored (Team 1)
1.67
Goals scored (Team 2)
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

Feb 8, 2025 - Liga MX

Club Leon
3 :  3
Deportivo Toluca FC

Nov 2, 2024 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
2 :  2
Club Leon

Feb 3, 2024 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
4 :  1
Club Leon

Oct 21, 2023 - Liga MX

Club Leon
1 :  0
Deportivo Toluca FC

Jan 29, 2023 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
0 :  0
Club Leon

Jul 26, 2022 - Liga MX

Club Leon
0 :  1
Deportivo Toluca FC

Deportivo Toluca FC v Club Leon last Lineups

Club Leon

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

23
O. Garcia
31
S. Santos
21
S. Barreiro
2
V. Gauthier
26
S. Reyes
4
N. Fonseca
20
R. Echeverria
7
I. Moreno
10
J. Rodriguez
11
I. Diaz
19
E. Rodriguez
26
Paulinho
9
A. Vega
8
N. Castro
10
R. Angulo
14
M. Ruiz
5
F. Romero
20
J. Gallardo
4
B. Mendez
6
F. Pereira
2
D. Zaragoza
22
L. Garcia

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Deportivo Toluca FC

Missing players

Club Leon
Club Leon
Defender

S. Barreiro

Midfielder

D. Arcila

Deportivo Toluca FC
Deportivo Toluca FC
Midfielder

H. Herrera

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Club Leon
CD Huachipato Deportivo Toluca FC
Top Goalscorer
Venezuela J. Cadiz (7 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Portugal Paulinho (22 Goals)
Best assists
Colombia J. Rodriguez (6 Assists)
Best assists
Mexico A. Vega (16 Assists)

Club Leon and Deportivo Toluca FC Stats in Liga MX

Club Leon
Club Leon
Deportivo Toluca FC
Deportivo Toluca FC
27%
Victories
73%
27%
Draw
9%
45%
Defeats
18%
2.55
Total goals per match
4.09
0.91
Goals scored per match
2.82
1.64
Goals conceded per match
1.27
45%
Over 2.5
73%
55%
Under 2.5
27%
36%
BTTS
73%
36%
No goals conceded
18%

Club Leon - Deportivo Toluca FC Key Points

  1. Toluca had 18 shots in the win against the LA Galaxy
  2. Toluca had 11 corner kicks and only conceded one in the win against the LA Galaxy
  3. Toluca and León drew 3-3 the last time they met at Estadio León
  4. Paulinho, second-highest scorer in Liga MX with 7 goals this season
Up to $200 to bet on Club Leon - Deportivo Toluca FC! 

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Our Club Leon vs Deportivo Toluca FC Prediction

At this point, it seems almost counterintuitive to bet against Toluca's good form, even amid their recent schedule of matches and travel. Toluca scored an impressive 31 goals in 11 matches this season, many of them outside the penalty area.

León, meanwhile, is coming off a loss to Juárez at the Estadio Benito Juárez, but when León played Mazatlán the previous matchday, they scored twice in a 2-2 draw. Legendary midfielder James Rodríguez scored a penalty and an exquisite assist. The last three Toluca-León matches have seen over 3.5 goals scored.

Our prediction for León vs Toluca is: Over 3.5 goals.

Prediction:

 

Over 3.5

+120
$200 offered for betting!

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Club Leon vs Deportivo Toluca FC Picks
Up to $200 to bet on Club Leon - Deportivo Toluca FC! 

Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings