Leeds vs Liverpool Prediction & Picks - Premier League

England - Premier League

Leeds
12/6/25 12:30
Liverpool

Prediction:

 

Draw

+310
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 by Simon Day in Premier League Picks

Leeds will be looking to follow up their fantastic midweek victory over Chelsea when they host champions Liverpool at Elland Road on Saturday evening. 

After four consecutive losses, the pressure was mounting on Leeds boss Daniel Farke, but his side produced a season's best display on Wednesday to comfortably defeat the World Club Cup champions 3-1. Dominic Calvert-Lewin, Jaka Bijol and Ao Tanaka were the goalscoring heroes, but in truth, it was a complete team effort from Leeds. If they can produce similar displays going forward, they will swiftly move away from any relegation danger. 

In contrast, Liverpool were once again well below their best during their midweek draw with Sunderland. Florian Wirtz's deflected effort was enough to secure them a point, but it was yet another worrying display from the champions and their chances of retaining the title already look to be over. 

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Leeds vs Liverpool Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
8
Liverpool
Liverpool
22 14 7 1 6 0
17
Leeds
Leeds
14 14 4 2 8 -10

Leeds and Liverpool Latest Matches

Leeds
Leeds Latest matches
W L L L L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

Dec 3, 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
3 :  1
Chelsea

Nov 29, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
3 :  2
Leeds

Nov 23, 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
1 :  2
Aston Villa

Nov 9, 2025 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
3 :  1
Leeds

Nov 1, 2025 - Premier League

Brighton
3 :  0
Leeds

Oct 24, 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
2 :  1
West Ham
D D L W L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Dec 3, 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
3 :  1
Chelsea

Nov 23, 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
1 :  2
Aston Villa

Oct 24, 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
2 :  1
West Ham

Oct 4, 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
1 :  2
Tottenham

Sep 27, 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
2 :  2
Bournemouth

Aug 30, 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
0 :  0
Newcastle
L W L L L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Nov 29, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
3 :  2
Leeds

Nov 9, 2025 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
3 :  1
Leeds

Nov 1, 2025 - Premier League

Brighton
3 :  0
Leeds

Oct 18, 2025 - Premier League

Burnley
2 :  0
Leeds

Sep 20, 2025 - Premier League

Wolves
1 :  3
Leeds

Sep 13, 2025 - Premier League

Fulham
1 :  0
Leeds
Liverpool
Liverpool Latest matches
W L L L W D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Dec 3, 2025 - Premier League

Liverpool
1 :  1
Sunderland

Nov 30, 2025 - Premier League

West Ham
0 :  2
Liverpool

Nov 26, 2025 - Champions League

Liverpool
1 :  4
PSV Eindhoven

Nov 22, 2025 - Premier League

Liverpool
0 :  3
Nottingham Forest

Nov 9, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
3 :  0
Liverpool

Nov 4, 2025 - Champions League

Liverpool
1 :  0
Real Madrid
L W W L L D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Dec 3, 2025 - Premier League

Liverpool
1 :  1
Sunderland

Nov 26, 2025 - Champions League

Liverpool
1 :  4
PSV Eindhoven

Nov 22, 2025 - Premier League

Liverpool
0 :  3
Nottingham Forest

Nov 4, 2025 - Champions League

Liverpool
1 :  0
Real Madrid

Nov 1, 2025 - Premier League

Liverpool
2 :  0
Aston Villa

Oct 29, 2025 - Carabao Cup

Liverpool
0 :  3
Crystal Palace
L L W L L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Nov 30, 2025 - Premier League

West Ham
0 :  2
Liverpool

Nov 9, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
3 :  0
Liverpool

Oct 25, 2025 - Premier League

Brentford
3 :  2
Liverpool

Oct 22, 2025 - Champions League

Eintracht Frankfurt
1 :  5
Liverpool

Oct 4, 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
2 :  1
Liverpool

Sep 30, 2025 - Champions League

Galatasaray
1 :  0
Liverpool

Leeds against Liverpool : Head to Head (H2H)

Leeds

17 %

Draw

17 %

Liverpool

67 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

4.67
Total goals
67%
BTTS
1.17
Goals scored (Team 1)
3.5
Goals scored (Team 2)
83%
Over 2.5
17%
Under 2.5

Apr 17, 2023 - Premier League

Leeds
1 :  6
Liverpool

Oct 29, 2022 - Premier League

Liverpool
1 :  2
Leeds

Feb 23, 2022 - Premier League

Liverpool
6 :  0
Leeds

Sep 12, 2021 - Premier League

Leeds
0 :  3
Liverpool

Apr 19, 2021 - Premier League

Leeds
1 :  1
Liverpool

Sep 12, 2020 - Premier League

Liverpool
4 :  3
Leeds

Liverpool v Leeds last Lineups

Leeds

Formation : 3 - 5 - 2

1
L. Perri
15
J. Bijol
6
J. Rodon
5
P. Struijk
2
J. Bogle
22
A. Tanaka
4
E. Ampadu
18
A. Stach
3
G. Gudmundsson
9
D. Calvert-Lewin
14
L. Nmecha
9
A. Isak
18
C. Gakpo
7
F. Wirtz
8
D. Szoboszlai
10
A. Mac Allister
38
R. Gravenberch
26
A. Robertson
4
V. Van Dijk
5
I. Konate
2
J. Gomez
1
Alisson

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Liverpool

Missing players

Leeds
Leeds
Defender

S. Bornauw

J. Justin

Midfielder

A. Stach

S. Longstaff

Liverpool
Liverpool
Defender

S. Bajcetic

G. Leoni

J. Frimpong

C. Bradley

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Leeds
CD Huachipato Liverpool
Top Goalscorer
Germany L. Nmecha (4 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
France H. Ekitike (5 Goals) Netherlands C. Gakpo (5 Goals) Egypt M. Salah (5 Goals)
Best assists
England S. Longstaff (2 Assists)
England J. Bogle (2 Assists)
Germany A. Stach (2 Assists)
Best assists
Netherlands C. Gakpo (5 Assists)

Leeds and Liverpool Stats in Premier League

Leeds
Leeds
Liverpool
Liverpool
29%
Victories
50%
14%
Draw
7%
57%
Defeats
43%
3
Total goals per match
3
1.14
Goals scored per match
1.5
1.86
Goals conceded per match
1.5
71%
Over 2.5
64%
29%
Under 2.5
36%
57%
BTTS
57%
14%
No goals conceded
29%

Leeds - Liverpool Key Points

  1. Leeds have won just 1 of their last 5 matches
  2. Liverpool have won just 1 of their last 5 games
  3. Leeds have gone 11 games without a clean sheet
  4. Liverpool have not lost to Leeds since 2001
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Our Leeds vs Liverpool Prediction

Leeds looked like a transformed team during the victory over Chelsea. Following up that display won't be easy, but given Liverpool's awful recent form, we think the home side have every chance of claiming at least a point. 

Liverpool have looked disjointed all season, so whilst their team is full of world class players, we are finding them very hard to back at the moment. 

There is some value in backing Leeds to win at 4.10, but we think the smart option is to take the draw at the same price.

Our prediction for Leeds United vs Liverpool is: Draw.

Prediction:

 

Draw

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$150 offered for betting!

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Leeds vs Liverpool Picks