Lecce vs Atalanta Prediction & Picks - Serie A
Italy - Serie A
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by Mikaella McIntosh | in Serie A Picks
There’s some rare mid-day football to dive into this Easter Monday, particularly in Italy, where Lecce take on Atalanta in hopes of keeping their top-tier football dreams alight for next season.
Looking at his very impressive stats, I can’t help but be drawn to Atalanta’s top goalscorer, Nikola Krstovic, as he returns to his old stomping ground. Despite the team ranking, the Montenegro international thrived offensively here last season, allowing him to get noticed by a bigger club, and he’s taken the step up in his stride.
Albeit luckily, La Dea returned to winning ways last time out following a rather frustrating set of games, mostly facing teams ranked within the top half of the table. They eventually found the win against relegation-zone Verona, and will hope for a more convincing performance against a very similar team.
Knowing that just three points stands between themselves and the safe section of the table, we should see Lecce putting in a solid effort in their next home game. However, they’ve been conceding lots recently in games facing big teams, for example two goals from Napoli and three from Como, so this game could be too big an ask.
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Lecce vs Atalanta Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
7
|
59 | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | +15 |
|
17
|
38 | 38 | 10 | 8 | 20 | -22 |
Lecce and Atalanta Latest Matches
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Mar 22, 2026 - Serie A
Mar 14, 2026 - Serie A
Mar 8, 2026 - Serie A
Feb 28, 2026 - Serie A
Feb 21, 2026 - Serie A
Feb 16, 2026 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Mar 8, 2026 - Serie A
Feb 21, 2026 - Serie A
Feb 8, 2026 - Serie A
Jan 24, 2026 - Serie A
Jan 11, 2026 - Serie A
Jan 6, 2026 - Serie A
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Mar 22, 2026 - Serie A
Mar 14, 2026 - Serie A
Feb 28, 2026 - Serie A
Feb 16, 2026 - Serie A
Feb 1, 2026 - Serie A
Jan 18, 2026 - Serie A
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Mar 22, 2026 - Serie A
Mar 18, 2026 - Champions League
Mar 14, 2026 - Serie A
Mar 10, 2026 - Champions League
Mar 7, 2026 - Serie A
Mar 4, 2026 - Coppa Italia
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Mar 22, 2026 - Serie A
Mar 10, 2026 - Champions League
Mar 7, 2026 - Serie A
Feb 25, 2026 - Champions League
Feb 22, 2026 - Serie A
Feb 9, 2026 - Serie A
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Mar 18, 2026 - Champions League
Mar 14, 2026 - Serie A
Mar 4, 2026 - Coppa Italia
Mar 1, 2026 - Serie A
Feb 17, 2026 - Champions League
Feb 14, 2026 - Serie A
Lecce against Atalanta : Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
17 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
Sep 14, 2025 - Serie A
Apr 27, 2025 - Serie A
Aug 19, 2024 - Serie A
May 18, 2024 - Serie A
Dec 30, 2023 - Serie A
Feb 19, 2023 - Serie A
Lecce against Atalanta Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Substitutes
J. Samooja
C. Fruchtl
DefenderM. Ignacio
G. Jean
MidfielderA. Sala
K. N’Dri
O. Gandelman
O. Gorter
F. Marchwinski
T. Helgason
L. Coulibaly
N. Stulic
P. Pardel
M. Sportiello
DefenderO. Kossounou
A. Escriche
R. Bellanova
H. Ahanor
M. Bakker
MidfielderL. Samardzic
Y. Musah
M. Pasalic
K. Sulemana
G. Raspadori
Missing players
R. Sottil
M. Berisha
F. Camarda
I. Hien
Most goals and assists
Lecce
Atalanta
L. Banda
(5 Goals)
G. Scamacca
(10 Goals)
, 
N. Krstovic
(10 Goals)
A. Gallo
(4 Assists)
,
L. Banda
(4 Assists)
N. Krstovic
(5 Assists)
, 
N. Zalewski
(5 Assists)
, 
C. De Ketelaere
(5 Assists)
Lecce - Atalanta Key Points
- Nikola Krstovic produced an xG of 0.49 in his last appearance for Atalanta.
- Four of Krstovic’s last six Serie A goals have been away from home.
- Krstovic is Serie A’s best player when it comes to shots and shots on target per game.
- Kstrovic is Serie A’s fourth best player in terms of goals per 90 minutes.
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Our Lecce vs Atalanta Prediction
In general, the visitors have been unrelenting in their offensive play against the lowest teams in the league, scoring in all six to date. Krstovic can account for three of these goals, as well as enjoying himself in front of goal by shooting lots in these games.
The striker is dubbed Serie A’s fourth best player in terms of goals per 90 (0.58), as well as in prime position for both the number of shots made per game (5.35) and shots on target per game (1.81) in the whole division. Unsurprisingly, he’s made multiple shots in all of his last five appearances for Atalanta, and scored in their most recent away league meeting.
As mentioned above, the stats really speak for themselves, and another goal against his old club, who he produced an xG of 1.29 against in the reverse fixture, is looking like a smart bet.
Our Lecce vs Atalanta Pick: Nikola Krstovic to Score.
Lecce vs Atalanta - Other Interesting Picks
Nikola Krstovic 2+ Shots on Target
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