Lazio vs AC Milan Prediction & Picks - Serie A

Italy - Serie A

Lazio
3/15/26 15:45
AC Milan

Prediction:

 

Under 2.5 goals.

-145
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 by Stephen Abiola | in Serie A Picks

Lazio versus AC Milan is a Sunday evening clash in the Italian Serie A at Estadio Olimpico. Lazio will look to make it two straight wins in their league assignments after defeating Sassuolo 2-1 on Monday. They were impressive throughout the match, taking an early lead in the second minute before Adam Marusic scored the winner in the 92nd minute. This win pushed them to tenth place with 37 points. Another win could see them leapfrog Sassuolo and Bologna to eighth place.

AC Milan, on the other hand, have had a stellar campaign as they try to win their first league title since the 2020/21 season. They’ll be buzzing with confidence this weekend after defeating their bitter rivals, Inter Milan, 1-0, thanks to a 35th-minute goal from Pervis Estupinan. This win leaves them second in the standings with 60 points, 7 points behind Inter. Milan is still in the title hunt with 10 games to go.

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Lazio vs AC Milan Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
5 AC Milan
70 38 20 10 8 +18
9 Lazio
54 38 14 12 12 +1

Lazio and AC Milan Latest Matches

Lazio
Lazio Latest matches
D L D L D W
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Mar 9, 2026 - Serie A

Lazio
2 :  1
Sassuolo

Mar 4, 2026 - Coppa Italia

Lazio
2 :  2
Atalanta

Mar 1, 2026 - Serie A

Torino FC
2 :  0
Lazio

Feb 21, 2026 - Serie A

Cagliari
0 :  0
Lazio

Feb 14, 2026 - Serie A

Lazio
0 :  2
Atalanta

Feb 11, 2026 - Coppa Italia

Bologna
1 :  1
Lazio
D L W L D W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Mar 9, 2026 - Serie A

Lazio
2 :  1
Sassuolo

Mar 4, 2026 - Coppa Italia

Lazio
2 :  2
Atalanta

Feb 14, 2026 - Serie A

Lazio
0 :  2
Atalanta

Jan 30, 2026 - Serie A

Lazio
3 :  2
Genoa

Jan 19, 2026 - Serie A

Lazio
0 :  3
Como 1907

Jan 7, 2026 - Serie A

Lazio
2 :  2
Fiorentina
W D D D D L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

Mar 1, 2026 - Serie A

Torino FC
2 :  0
Lazio

Feb 21, 2026 - Serie A

Cagliari
0 :  0
Lazio

Feb 11, 2026 - Coppa Italia

Bologna
1 :  1
Lazio

Feb 8, 2026 - Serie A

Juventus
2 :  2
Lazio

Jan 24, 2026 - Serie A

Lecce
0 :  0
Lazio

Jan 11, 2026 - Serie A

Hellas Verona
0 :  1
Lazio
AC Milan
AC Milan Latest matches
W W D L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Mar 8, 2026 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  0
Inter Milan

Mar 1, 2026 - Serie A

Cremonese
0 :  2
AC Milan

Feb 22, 2026 - Serie A

AC Milan
0 :  1
Parma

Feb 18, 2026 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  1
Como 1907

Feb 13, 2026 - Serie A

Pisa SC
1 :  2
AC Milan

Feb 3, 2026 - Serie A

Bologna
0 :  3
AC Milan
W D W D L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

Mar 8, 2026 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  0
Inter Milan

Feb 22, 2026 - Serie A

AC Milan
0 :  1
Parma

Feb 18, 2026 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  1
Como 1907

Jan 18, 2026 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  0
Lecce

Jan 8, 2026 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  1
Genoa

Dec 28, 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
3 :  0
Hellas Verona
D W D W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
2 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Mar 1, 2026 - Serie A

Cremonese
0 :  2
AC Milan

Feb 13, 2026 - Serie A

Pisa SC
1 :  2
AC Milan

Feb 3, 2026 - Serie A

Bologna
0 :  3
AC Milan

Jan 25, 2026 - Serie A

Roma
1 :  1
AC Milan

Jan 15, 2026 - Serie A

Como 1907
1 :  3
AC Milan

Jan 11, 2026 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  1
AC Milan

Lazio against AC Milan : Head to Head (H2H)

Lazio

33 %

Draw

17 %

AC Milan

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2
Total goals
33.33%
BTTS
0.83
Goals scored
1.17
Goals conceded
33.33%
Over 2.5
66.67%
Under 2.5

Dec 4, 2025 - Coppa Italia

Lazio
1 :  0
AC Milan

Nov 29, 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  0
Lazio

Mar 2, 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  2
Lazio

Aug 31, 2024 - Serie A

Lazio
2 :  2
AC Milan

Mar 1, 2024 - Serie A

Lazio
0 :  1
AC Milan

Sep 30, 2023 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  0
Lazio

Lazio against AC Milan Lineups: Starting 11

Lazio

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

40
E. Motta
77
A. Marusic
34
M. Gila
25
O. Provstgaard
17
N. Tavares
7
F. Dele-Bashiru
4
Patric
24
K. Taylor
18
G. Isaksen
27
D. Maldini
10
M. Zaccagni
10
R. Leao
11
C. Pulisic
2
P. Estupinan
30
A. Jashari
14
L. Modric
19
Y. Fofana
56
A. Saelemaekers
31
S. Pavlovic
5
K. De Winter
23
F. Tomori
16
M. Maignan

Formation : 3 - 5 - 2

AC Milan

Substitutes

Lazio
Lazio
Goalkeeper

G. Giacomone

A. Furlanetto

Defender

L. Pellegrini

E. Hysaj

Midfielder

R. Belahyane

K. Taylor 90'

A. Przyborek

M. Lazzari

Forward

B. Dia

D. Maldini 67'

M. Cancellieri

M. Zaccagni 83'

P. Ratkov

T. Noslin

Pedro

G. Isaksen 67'

AC Milan
AC Milan
Goalkeeper

M. Pittarella

P. Terracciano

Defender

D. Bartesaghi

P. Estupinan 58'

D. Odogu

Z. Athekame

F. Tomori 57'

Midfielder

S. Ricci

A. Saelemaekers 84'

Forward

C. Nkunku

Y. Fofana 66'

N. Fullkrug

R. Leao 67'

Missing players

Lazio
Lazio
Goalkeeper

I. Provedel

Defender

S. Gigot

Midfielder

T. Basic

AC Milan
AC Milan
Defender

M. Gabbia

Midfielder

A. Rabiot

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Lazio
CD Huachipato AC Milan
Top Goalscorer
Denmark G. Isaksen (5 Goals) , 
Spain Pedro (5 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Portugal R. Leao (9 Goals)
Best assists
Argentina T. Castellanos (3 Assists) , 
Croatia T. Basic (3 Assists)
Best assists
France A. Rabiot (4 Assists) , 
USA C. Pulisic (4 Assists) , 
Italy S. Ricci (4 Assists)

Lazio - AC Milan Key Points

  1. AC Milan lost just once in their last 13 matches.
  2. AC Milan won four of their last five away matches.
  3. The total goals went under 2.5 in the last four AC Milan matches.
  4. The total goals went under 2.5 in three of Lazio’s last four league games.
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Our Lazio vs AC Milan Prediction

AC Milan is the betting favorite this weekend as they try to pile pressure on Inter Milan at the top of the table. Their attackers have been exceptional this season, creating 60 big chances, which is only second to Inter Milan’s 87. Lazio, on the other hand, has created just 31 big chances, one of the fewest in the league this season. It’s worth mentioning that both teams are defensively sound, so don’t expect a big scoreline. AC Milan has conceded the fewest goals in the league (20), while Lazio has given up only 28. However, AC Milan’s attacking quality, led by Rafael Leao and Christian Pulisic, should see them get the win this weekend. We see a 1-0 or 2-0 win for the visitors.

Our prediction for Lazio vs AC Milan: Under 2.5 goals.

Prediction:

 

Under 2.5 goals.

-145
$200 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Lazio vs AC Milan Picks