Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Prediction & Picks - ATP US Open

ATP - ATP US Open

ATP 50
Karen Khachanov
9/7/26 11:00
ATP 15 USA
Learner Tien

Prediction:

 

Over 3.5 Sets

-189
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 by Bradley Gibbs | in ATP US Open Picks

The US Open is starting to heat up. We're into the second week of the tournament. Now is not the time for mistakes, so Learner Tien, who has already delivered a career-best effort as far as this slam is concerned, will want to sharpen up after battling through in five sets last time out. For Karen Khachanov, only three sets were needed during the previous round, though this is a tougher task, so don't expect the Russian to make such easy work of things on Monday.  

Early odds of -189 suggest that more than three sets is quite likely, but does such a price reflect the chances of a four or more sets accurately enough? Probably not, leaving a smidgen of value on the table for those looking to find that sort of thing. Both players arrive in decent form, so much so that it really is very difficult to envisage either going down without putting up a serious fight. 

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Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Form

Karen Khachanov and Learner Tien Latest Matches

Karen Khachanov Latest matches
L L L W W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Sep 5, 2026 - ATP US Open

Karen Khachanov
3 :  0
Benjamin Bonzi

Sep 3, 2026 - ATP US Open

Felix Auger Aliassime
1 :  3
Karen Khachanov

Aug 31, 2026 - ATP US Open

Roman Andres Burruchaga
0 :  3
Karen Khachanov

Aug 14, 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Aleksandar Kovacevic
2 :  1
Karen Khachanov

Aug 5, 2026 - ATP National Bank Open

Karen Khachanov
0 :  2
Terence Atmane

Jul 29, 2026 - ATP Los Cabos Open

Bernard Tomic
2 :  0
Karen Khachanov
Learner Tien Latest matches
L W L W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Sep 5, 2026 - ATP US Open

Jakub Mensik
2 :  3
Learner Tien

Sep 3, 2026 - ATP US Open

Gael Monfils
0 :  3
Learner Tien

Aug 31, 2026 - ATP US Open

Nuno Borges
0 :  3
Learner Tien

Aug 18, 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Learner Tien
1 :  2
Frances Tiafoe

Aug 16, 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Learner Tien
2 :  0
Sebastian Baez

Aug 12, 2026 - ATP National Bank Open

Learner Tien
0 :  2
Ben Shelton
Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Picks

Karen Khachanov - Learner Tien Key Points

  1. Karen Khachanov has only lost one of his last five hard-court matches in straight sets.
  2. Learner Tien has not lost any of his last five hard-court matches in straight sets.
  3. Karen Khachanov's only match against a top-20 player at the tournament so far involved more than three sets.
  4. During the previous round, Learner Tien was involved in a five-set match.
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Our Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Prediction

With both players entering this match in hot form, it's unlikely that we'll see a contest that is over quickly. Nothing about the recent performances of both at Flushing Meadows suggests that less than four sets will be played here, so much so that odds of -189 should definitely be taken. A more accurate price would be -250. After all, Karen Khachanov's only previous US Open match against a top-20 player contained more than three sets, while Learner Tien comes here off the back of a five-set thriller last time out, which bodes well. 

Our Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien Pick: Over 3.5 Sets.

Prediction:

 

Over 3.5 Sets

-189
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.