Joao Fonseca vs Raphael Collignon Prediction & Picks - ATP Indian Wells
ATP - ATP Indian Wells
Prediction:
Raphael Collignon will win + Under 2.5 Sets (2-Leg SGP Parlay)
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by Lou Aguila | in ATP Indian Wells Picks
Joao Fonseca is in for another rough night as he takes Raphael Collignon, who hasn’t dropped a set over his last seven matches.
Hot Pick: Raphael Collignon will win + Under 2.5 Sets (2-Leg SGP Parlay)
Payout: Bet $300 to win $1,020 (+240 on DraftKings)
Current Form:
Joao Fonseca enters the Indian Wells Open looking to rediscover the form that made him one of the hottest stars on the ATP Tour last year. At 1-4, Fonseca is off to a disappointing start, bowing in the first round of the Australian and Argentinian Open and the second round of the Brazilian Open. Fonseca blames his chronic back condition for the dip in his performance this season.
Trying to spoil Fonseca’s party at Indian Wells is the red-hot Raphael Collignon, who has won his last seven matches. After sweeping a pair of Bulgarian foes at the 2026 Davis Cup qualifiers, Collignon strung up five consecutive wins without dropping a set to win an indoor Challenger Tournament in Pau, France. Collignon is 9-3 on the season, posting 60.5% breakpoint saved percentage and winning 78.2 percent of his first serves.
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Joao Fonseca vs Raphael Collignon Form
Joao Fonseca and Raphael Collignon Latest Matches
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Feb 19, 2026 - ATP Rio Open
Feb 17, 2026 - ATP Rio Open
Feb 11, 2026 - ATP Buenos Aires
Jan 19, 2026 - ATP Australian Open
Oct 29, 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters
Oct 28, 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Feb 8, 2026 - Davis Cup
Feb 7, 2026 - Davis Cup
Jan 10, 2026 - Adelaide International
Jan 9, 2026 - Brisbane International
Jan 8, 2026 - Brisbane International
Jan 5, 2026 - Brisbane International
Joao Fonseca - Raphael Collignon Key Points
- Joao Fonseca is 1-4 on the 2026 ATP season.
- Joao Fonseca has converted only 6 of 24 breakpoint chances in 2026.
- Raphael Collignon is 9-3 on the 2026 ATP season.
- Raphael Collignon is coming off an ATP challenger title at Pau, France
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Our Joao Fonseca vs Raphael Collignon Prediction
Fearless Forecast: Raphael Collignon extends Joao Fonseca’s misery with a 7-6, 6-4 win
Fonseca’s -136 moneyline odds on DraftKings mean the bookmaker hasn’t given up yet on the Brazilian wunderkind. But with Collignon riding a huge wave of momentum into Indian Wells, it might not be a wise decision to go all in on Fonseca right now.
Key Stats: Fonseca is 1-4 on the season, Collignon is 9-3 and has won his last five matches on the tour and seven straight if the Davis Cup wins are included.
What to Expect: Fonseca is still a terrific talent with a high ceiling, but he’s clearly not in the right shape at the moment. Meanwhile, the hard-hitting Collignon is coming in with a full head of steam, looking to stage a deep run in Tennis Paradise after his conquest in Pau. Fonseca will still give a gallant effort in this duel, but his struggles to convert breakpoint chances this season will haunt him in this match.
Our betting prediction for Joao Fonseca vs. Raphael Collignon: Raphael Collignon Win + Under 2.5 Sets
Prediction:
Raphael Collignon will win + Under 2.5 Sets (2-Leg SGP Parlay)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
