Jiri Lehecka vs Lorenzo Musetti Prediction & Picks - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

ATP - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

ATP 12 Czech Republic
Jiri Lehecka
4/28/26 06:50
ATP 16 Italy
Lorenzo Musetti

Prediction:

 

Jiri Lehecka +2.5 Game Handicap

-125
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 by Bradley Gibbs | in ATP Mutua Madrid Open Picks

In Madrid on Tuesday, there's an all-top-15 affair between Jiri Lehecka and Lorenzo Musetti. On paper, this is no easy match to call, though looking at the early lines, it could be worth siding with the Czech player to avoid losing by any more than a two-game margin, which is exactly what he did the when the pair met on clay during the 2025 season. 

Both players arrive in form, and both players are capable of going deep at an event of this nature, as they have done before, with Lehecka reaching the Madrid Open semis in 2024, before Musetti reached the semis in 2025. The early market suggests that the Italian is a much more likely winner than Lehecka, which on all available evidence doesn't look quite right. While he's not quite getting the respect he deserves, the world number 14, who has never lost to Musetti in straight sets, winning two of the previous three renewals of this match, is worth betting on to do well. 

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Jiri Lehecka vs Lorenzo Musetti Form

Jiri Lehecka and Lorenzo Musetti Latest Matches

Jiri Lehecka Latest matches
L W W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Apr 26, 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Jiri Lehecka
2 :  0
Alex Michelsen

Apr 24, 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Jiri Lehecka
2 :  1
Alejandro Tabilo

Apr 9, 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Jiri Lehecka
0 :  2
Alexander Bublik

Apr 8, 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Jiri Lehecka
2 :  1
Alejandro Tabilo

Apr 6, 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Jiri Lehecka
2 :  1
Emilio Nava

Mar 29, 2026 - ATP Miami

Jiri Lehecka
0 :  2
Jannik Sinner
Lorenzo Musetti Latest matches
L W W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Apr 26, 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Tallon Griekspoor
0 :  2
Lorenzo Musetti

Apr 24, 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Hubert Hurkacz
0 :  2
Lorenzo Musetti

Apr 17, 2026 - ATP Barcelona

Arthur Fils
2 :  0
Lorenzo Musetti

Apr 16, 2026 - ATP Barcelona

Corentin Moutet
0 :  2
Lorenzo Musetti

Apr 14, 2026 - ATP Barcelona

Martin Landaluce
0 :  2
Lorenzo Musetti

Apr 8, 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Lorenzo Musetti
0 :  2
Valentin Vacherot

Jiri Lehecka against Lorenzo Musetti : Head to Head (H2H)

Jiri Lehecka

67 %

Lorenzo Musetti

33 %

Apr 9, 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Jiri Lehecka
1 :  2
Lorenzo Musetti

Mar 25, 2023 - ATP Miami

Jiri Lehecka
2 :  0
Lorenzo Musetti

Feb 11, 2022 - ATP Rotterdam

Lorenzo Musetti
1 :  2
Jiri Lehecka

Jiri Lehecka - Lorenzo Musetti Key Points

  1. Jiri Lehecka has never lost to Lorenzo Musetti in straight sets.
  2. Jiri Lehecka has won two of his previous three matches against Lorenzo Musetti.
  3. When the pair last met on clay, Jiri Lehecka only lost by a two-game margin.
  4. Jiri Lehecka has previously reached the semi-finals of the event in Madrid.
Up to $200 to bet on Jiri Lehecka - Lorenzo Musetti! 

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Our Jiri Lehecka vs Lorenzo Musetti Prediction

This is certainly an intriguing match, one that could easily go either way, so much so that there's no result that would be shocking. However, based on slightly generous early odds, it is definitely worth betting that the Czech player, at the very least, avoids a defeat by more than two games. Lehecka has a promising record against Musetti, while he's been playing well this week, perhaps better than the early market is currently suggesting.

When the pair previously met on clay, there was very little in it, so expect a close match, one that neither player is likely to lose by a wide margin. 

Our Jiri Lehecka vs Lorenzo Musetti Pick: Jiri Lehecka +2.5 Game Handicap.

Prediction:

 

Jiri Lehecka +2.5 Game Handicap

-125
$200 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Jiri Lehecka vs Lorenzo Musetti Picks