Jessica Pegula vs Madison Keys Prediction & Picks - WTA Australian Open

Prediction published on 1/25/26, 3:42 PM  by Lou Aguila | Modified on 1/26/26 at 6:20 AM in Tennis Picks

A classic All-American battle is about to take place on Sunday in Melbourne as defending champion Madison Keys looks to extend his reign when she battles Jessica Pegula in the fourth round of the 2026 Australian Open.

Recommended Pick: Madison Keys will win.

Potential Payout: $246 for every $100 Bet @ FanDuel.

Current Form:

After coming up short in Adelaide and Brisbane, Keys is displaying elite form again at the Australian Open after beating her first three opponents without dropping a set. Keys has dispatched Oleksandra Oliynykova 7-6, 6-1, Ashlyn Krueger 6-1, 7-5 and Karolina Pliskova 6-3, 6-3. In these three matches, Keys has converted 16 of 29 break-points and won 72 percent of her first balls.

Pegula also entered the fourth round scatheless after blazing through the first three rounds. The American swept Anastasia Zakharova 6-2, 6-1, McCartney Kessler 6-0, 6-2, and Oksana Selekhmeteva 6-3, 6-2. Pegula has converted 41 percent of her breakpoint chances and won 67 percent of her first balls.