Jenson Brooksby vs Alexei Popyrin Prediction & Picks - ATP Indian Wells
ATP - ATP Indian Wells
New customers only | Commercial content | 21+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Lou Aguila | in ATP Indian Wells Picks
Alexei Popyrin is listed as an enticing +124 underdog ahead of his match against Jenson Brooksby in the first round of the 2026 Indian Wells Open.
Current Form:
After four consecutive losses, Jenson Brooksby had a breakthrough at the 2026 Acapulco Open, where he registered two strong wins over Zizou Bergs 6-3, 6-4 and Karen Khachanov 7-6, 6-4 to reach the quarterfinals of the ATP 500 event. Brooksby eventually succumbed to Daniil Medvedev 6-2, 6-1, but the two wins should bolster his confidence for the next tournaments.
Popyrin earned his first two wins in the season in the first round of both the Qatar and Dubai Open. The Aussie is 2-9 on the season, winning 76 percent of his first serve, but has only scored on 11 out of 30 breakpoint chances. Popyrin is also 0-4 in tiebreakers, which has cost him a few matches.
Limited Offer. Currently at FanDuel
Jenson Brooksby vs Alexei Popyrin Form
Jenson Brooksby and Alexei Popyrin Latest Matches
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Feb 26, 2026 - ATP Dubai Open
Feb 25, 2026 - ATP Dubai Open
Feb 24, 2026 - ATP Dubai Open
Feb 17, 2026 - ATP Qatar Open
Feb 11, 2026 - Dallas Open
Jan 18, 2026 - ATP Australian Open
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Feb 25, 2026 - ATP Dubai Open
Feb 24, 2026 - ATP Dubai Open
Feb 18, 2026 - ATP Qatar Open
Feb 16, 2026 - ATP Qatar Open
Feb 11, 2026 - ATP Rotterdam
Jan 19, 2026 - ATP Australian Open
Jenson Brooksby - Alexei Popyrin Key Points
- Alexei Popyrin is 2-9 on the 2026 ATP season.
- Alexei Popyrin is 1-6 vs. the ATP top-100 players in 2026.
- Jenson Brooksby is 2-5 vs. the ATP top-100 players in 2026.
- Jenson Brooksby owns a 62.8 percent record on hard court.
Limited Offer. Currently at FanDuel
Our Jenson Brooksby vs Alexei Popyrin Prediction
Fearless Forecast: Alexei Popyrin survives Jenson Brooksby 3-6. 7-5, 7-6
Brooksby opened at -151 moneyline against Popyrin, who is 1-6 against the ATP top-100 players this year.
Key Stats: Popyrin has 145 career wins on hard court and 99 wins against the ATP top-100. He might be having an ugly start, but the Aussie knows how to play and win a match at this level. Brooksby owns a 53 percent win rate vs the top-100 players, but he doesn’t have enough edge over Popyrin since he’s also 2-5 against the top-100 players this year.
What to Expect: In a match that could go either way, the player with a more decent breakpoint conversion rate gets the advantage in this match. In this case, Popyrin, boasting a 36.7 BP conversion rate this year, might convert a breakpoint or two, which would be huge in a tight contest. Sure, Popyrin is 0-4 in tiebreakers, but he’s too good a player not to find a way to thrive in these situations. Brooksby also doesn't have a solid record in tiebreakers at 1-1
Our betting prediction for Alexei Popyrin vs. Jenson Brooksby: Alexei Popyrin will win.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
