Jelena Ostapenko vs Jasmine Paolini Prediction & Picks - WTA Miami
WTA - WTA Miami
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by Lou Aguila | in Tennis Picks
Booked as a +119 underdog, Jelene Ostapenko will attempt to take advantage of a slumping Jasmine Paolini, who is 0-3 vs. the WTA top-50 players in 2026.
Current Form:
After surviving yet another three-set thriller with Taylor Townsend, Jasmine Paolini eyes a spot in the fourth round of the 2026 Miami Open as she faces Jelena Ostapenko in the round of 32 on Sunday.
8-6 on the 2026 WTA season, opened as a slight -140 favorite in this match despite her 0-3 record against the WTA top-50 this year. Ostapenko is booked at +115 following her straight-set win over Dayana Yastremska 6-4, 6-4 in the second round. The Latvian has been a usual customer for elite players, boasting a 26 career wins against the top-10 players.
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Jelena Ostapenko vs Jasmine Paolini Form
Jelena Ostapenko and Jasmine Paolini Latest Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Mar 20, 2026 - WTA Miami
Mar 9, 2026 - WTA Indian Wells
Mar 7, 2026 - WTA Indian Wells
Feb 16, 2026 - WTA Dubai Tennis Championships
Feb 13, 2026 - WTA Doha
Feb 12, 2026 - WTA Doha
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Mar 20, 2026 - WTA Miami
Mar 10, 2026 - WTA Indian Wells
Mar 8, 2026 - WTA Indian Wells
Mar 6, 2026 - WTA Indian Wells
Feb 28, 2026 - WTA Guadalajara
Feb 27, 2026 - WTA Guadalajara
Jelena Ostapenko against Jasmine Paolini : Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
May 12, 2025 - WTA Rome
Feb 12, 2025 - WTA Doha
Aug 28, 2023 - WTA US Open
Jelena Ostapenko - Jasmine Paolini Key Points
- Jasmine Paolini is 2-2 vs. Jelena Ostapenko
- Jasmine Paolini is 0-3 vs. the WTA top-50 players in 2026.
- Jelena Ostapenko is 2-0 vs. Jasmine Paolini in outdoor hard-court.
- Jelena Ostapenko has 26 career wins over top-10 opponents.
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Our Jelena Ostapenko vs Jasmine Paolini Prediction
This is a flip coin. Neither player has a clear advantage here, as their 2-2 head-to-head record suggests. Paolini ranks higher at No.10, but she has been erratic this season. Meanwhile, the 24th-ranked Ostapenko has gone 2-3 in her last five matches, though she reached the semifinals of the 2026 Qatar Open a month ago. Out of their four head-to-head matches, they only played a three-setter once, and it happened at the 2023 US Open.
I am taking my chance on Ostapenko to win this match. I can’t trust Paolini right now, given her poor record against the top-50 players. Moreover, Paolini is only winning 60 percent of her first serves, which is something an aggressive returner like Ostapenko could take advantage of.
Our betting prediction for Jasmine Paolini vs. Jelena Ostapenko: Jelena Ostapenko will win.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
