Jelena Ostapenko vs Elise Mertens Prediction & Picks - WTA China Open
WTA - WTA China Open
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by Lou Aguila | in Tennis Picks
Priced at +144 on the moneyline at DraftKings, Jelena Ostapenko guns for an upset win over an out-of-form Elise Mertens in the third round of the 2026 US Open.
Current Form:
Jelena Ostapenko reached the third round of the 2026 China Open after edging Paula Badosa 7-6, 7-6. Ostapenko, who opened her Asian swing with a second-round finish at the 2026 Seoul Open, is 3-2 in her last 5 matches.
Elise Mertens edged Katie Volynets 6-0, 4-6, 7-5 to reach the round of 32 in Beijing. Ranked No.19 in the world, Mertens aims for a deeper run in this tournament after she got booted out in the quarterfinals of the WTA 500 Singapore Open a week ago.
The Matchup: Ostapenko and Mertens will meet for the first time in 7 years. Their first and only match on the WTA Tour took place at the 2019 Luxembourg Open, where Ostapenko earned a 4-6, 6-2, 6-2 win.
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Jelena Ostapenko vs Elise Mertens Form
Jelena Ostapenko and Elise Mertens Latest Matches
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Oct 3, 2026 - WTA China Open
Sep 24, 2026 - WTA Korea Open
Sep 22, 2026 - WTA Korea Open
Sep 1, 2026 - WTA US Open
Aug 15, 2026 - WTA Cincinnati Open
Jul 3, 2026 - WTA Wimbledon Championships
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Oct 2, 2026 - WTA China Open
Sep 25, 2026 - WTA Singapore
Sep 5, 2026 - WTA US Open
Sep 3, 2026 - WTA US Open
Sep 1, 2026 - WTA US Open
Aug 29, 2026 - WTA Monterrey Open
Jelena Ostapenko - Elise Mertens Key Points
- Jelena Ostapenko reached the second round of the 2026 Seoul Open.
- Jelena Ostapenko is 3-2 in her last 5 matches.
- Elise Mertens is 18-10 on hard courts in 2026.
- Elise Mertens is 2-2 in her last 4 matches
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Our Jelena Ostapenko vs Elise Mertens Prediction
Key Stats: Ostapenko is 3-3 in third-round matches and 2-4 vs. top-20 players in 2026.
What to Expect: Ostapenko takes advantage of a misfiring Mertens to reach the round of 16 in Beijing. In a match that could go either way, Ostapenko at +144 is worth a gamble since Mertens isn’t playing near her usual competitive form right now.
The Belgian should have dispatched Volynets quickly, but she instead needed three full sets to squeak out a win. On the other hand, Ostapenko showed mental strength in both sets to nip Badosa.
Fearless Forecast: Jelena Ostapenko wins 6-4, 7-6
Our betting prediction for Jelena Ostapenko vs. Elise Mertens: Jelena Ostapenko wins
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
