James Duckworth vs Rafael Jodar Prediction & Picks - ATP French Open
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by Lou Aguila | in ATP French Open Picks
Rafael Jodar’s quest to keep the French Open title in Spain started on a high note after posting a scintillating straight-set victory over Aleksandar Kovacevic 6-1, 6-0, 6-4 in the first round.
Sporting a 16-3 record on clay this year, Jodar marches into the second round again as a heavy favorite against the 82nd-ranked James Duckworth. Caesars Sportsbooks posts Jodar at -3500 moneyline while giving the teenager an -8.5-game handicap in only his fourth Grand Slam match.
Duckworth moved on to the second round after claiming a 6-3, 4-1 ret. win over Gabriel Diallo. Duckworth has compiled an 11-4 record on clay this year, though most of these wins came from qualifiers and challenger tournaments.
Caesars Sportsbook prices Duckworth at +1000 moneyline and +100 to cover +8.5 games. The sportsbook also doesn’t expect the match to go the distance after pegging the over/under at 28.5 games.
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James Duckworth vs Rafael Jodar Form
James Duckworth and Rafael Jodar Latest Matches
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
May 19, 2026 - ATP Geneva Open
May 17, 2026 - ATP Geneva Open
May 16, 2026 - ATP Geneva Open
Mar 19, 2026 - ATP Miami
Mar 4, 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
Feb 24, 2026 - ATP Acapulco Open
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
May 25, 2026 - ATP French Open
May 13, 2026 - ATP Italian Open
May 12, 2026 - ATP Italian Open
May 10, 2026 - ATP Italian Open
May 8, 2026 - ATP Italian Open
Apr 29, 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
James Duckworth - Rafael Jodar Key Points
- Rafael Jodar owns a 16-3 record on clay in 2026.
- Rafael Jodar is 16-9 vs. top-100 players.
- James Duckworth is 1-3 vs. top-50 players.
- James Duckworth is 11-4 on clay in 2026
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Our James Duckworth vs Rafael Jodar Prediction
Go for Rafael Jodar to cover -8.5 games (-140). Jodar is overpowering most of his opponents during this clay-court swing with an elite-level serve-plus-one game and shot-making. In 14 clay-court matches this year, Jodar has won 70.6% of his first serves while saving 68.5% of the breakpoints. He has also converted 56 of 123 breakpoint chances for a solid 45%conversion rate.
Duckworth boasts an 80% breakpoint saved percentage and a 76% first serve won percentage. But again, the Aussie achieved these numbers while playing in low-tier competitions without facing a top-level player during the clay-court swing.
Jodar is playing at such a high level right now that some tennis pundits are picking him as a dark-horse contender to win the French Open. It’s still too early to tell if this newest Spanish sensation can really deal immense damage in this tournament. One thing is certain: he will be too much for James Duckworth.
Our betting prediction for Rafael Jodar vs. James Duckworth: Rafael Jodar -8.5 games
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
