Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublev Prediction & Picks - ATP French Open
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by Lou Aguila | in ATP French Open Picks
Jakub Mensik booked his spot in the round of 16 of the 2026 French Open after upsetting Alex De Minaur 0-6, 6-2, 6-3, 6-3. Mensik, who also reached the fourth round of the 2026 Australian Open, enhanced his 2026 clay-court record to 6-3.
Andrey Rublev swept Nuno Borges 7-5, 7-6, 7-6 to make his return to the fourth round of the French Open after suffering back-to-back third-round exits in the last two years. Rublev, a two-time quarterfinalist of this tournament, is 11-4 on clay this year.
Quick Matchup Analysis: Mensik has beaten Rublev in their first two meetings, but this will be the first time he will be playing the Russian on clay, where the Russian boasts a 64 percent win rate.
Caesars Sportsbook is anticipating a hotly contested battle on Sunday by setting the spread at 1.5 games and the over/under at 38.5 games. The sportsbook prices Rublev at -135 and Jakub Mensik +105, but it’s not that easy picking a winner in this 50-50 ballgame.
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Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublev Form
Jakub Mensik and Andrey Rublev Latest Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
May 29, 2026 - ATP French Open
May 27, 2026 - ATP French Open
May 24, 2026 - ATP French Open
May 20, 2026 - ATP Hamburg Open
May 18, 2026 - ATP Hamburg Open
May 9, 2026 - ATP Italian Open
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
May 29, 2026 - ATP French Open
May 27, 2026 - ATP French Open
May 25, 2026 - ATP French Open
May 14, 2026 - ATP Italian Open
May 12, 2026 - ATP Italian Open
May 11, 2026 - ATP Italian Open
Jakub Mensik against Andrey Rublev : Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
Oct 5, 2024 - ATP Shanghai Masters
Feb 22, 2024 - ATP Qatar Open
Jakub Mensik - Andrey Rublev Key Points
- Andrey Rublev is winning 68.2 percent of his first serves at the 2026 Roland Garros
- Andrey Rublev is 3-1 in tiebreakers at the 2026 Roland Garros.
- Jakub Mensik is winning 76.2 percent of his first serves at the 2026 Roland Garros
- Jakub Mensik has saved 19 of 31 breakpoints at the 2026 Roland Garros
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Our Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublev Prediction
Jakub Mensik has the youth on his side, but Rublev wields the experience in this type of match.
Mensik has weaponized his serves efficiently, winning 76.2 percent of his first balls while saving 42 percent of breakpoints.
Rublev might not be dominating with his serves like he usually does, but he’s making it up by coming through with the big points in a swing-swing situation.
Mensik looks like a solid moneyline pick on paper. However, Rublev can easily flip the script if he catches fire.
Given the unpredictability of this matchup, backing the Over 38.5 games makes a lot of sense, as this latest showdown between Mensik and Rublev has all the makings of a five-set thriller.
Our betting prediction for Jakub Mensik vs. Andrey Rublev: Over 38.5 Games
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
