Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev Prediction & Picks - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
ATP - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
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by Lou Aguila | in ATP Mutua Madrid Open Picks
Holding a 4-2 record against top-5 players, Jakub Mensik is in a prime position to pull off a stunning win over Alexander Zverev in the fourth round of the 2026 Madrid Open.
Jakub Mensik bagged his first career win over Karen Khachanov, topping the Russian in straight sets 6-4, 7-6. After dealing with an infectious right foot that caused him to miss the Monte Carlo Masters, Mensik finds himself one win away from barging into her second clay-court Masters quarterfinals. Caesars Sportsbook also views the Czech as a formidable foe, listing him at +175 moneyline for his next match against the world’s No.3.
After a nervy opening match against Mariano Navone 6-1, 3-6, 6-1, Alexander Zverev regained his potent form against Terrence Atmane, dispatching the Frenchman 6-3, 7-6. 8-2 on clay this year, Zverev is eyeing his first title in 2026 after coming up short in several big tournaments during the first quarter of the season. Caesars has Zverev as the favorite at -240 moneyline and -130 to cover -2.5 games in his first meeting with the dangerous Mensik.
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Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev Form
Jakub Mensik and Alexander Zverev Latest Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Apr 27, 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 25, 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
Mar 23, 2026 - ATP Miami
Mar 21, 2026 - ATP Miami
Mar 8, 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
Mar 6, 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Apr 27, 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 25, 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 18, 2026 - ATP Munich Open
Apr 17, 2026 - ATP Munich Open
Apr 16, 2026 - ATP Munich Open
Apr 14, 2026 - ATP Munich Open
Jakub Mensik - Alexander Zverev Key Points
- Jakub Mensik hasn’t dropped a service game and faced only two breakpoints at the 2026 Madrid Open.
- Alexander Zverev has saved 1 of 3 breakpoints at the 2026 Madrid Open.
- Jakub Mensik is 4-2 against top-5 players
- Alexander Zverev is 2-5 against top-20 players in 2026.
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Our Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev Prediction
Playing inspired tennis in Madrid, Jakub Mensik appears to be the pick of the match at +175 moneyline. It’s a high-risk, high-reward pick because Zverev is anything but a pushover. However, Mensik played an insane level of tennis in the past two matches, suffocating his opponent with his efficient serve-plus-one game. This young Czech is fearless too against top-tier competition with four career wins against the top-5 on the ATP Tour, including a stunning win over Jannik Sinner 7-5, 2-6, 6-3 in Doha early this year. Again, Zverev will not let Mensik win this match easily. The world’s No.3 will test his mettle throughout the match, only to find out that Mensik is the real deal.
Our betting prediction for Jakub Mensik vs. Alexander Zverev: Jakub Mensik will win
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