Jaime Faria vs Denis Shapovalov Prediction & Picks - ATP French Open
ATP - ATP French Open
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by Bradley Gibbs | in ATP French Open Picks
One of Tuesday's first-round matches at Roland Garros puts together Jaime Faria, currently ranked at 115, and Denis Shapovalov, who is the current world number 39. A quick look at those rankings and you'd think that Shapovalov would be the big favorite. As it turns out, thanks to some better recent form, Faria is down as the early favorite ahead of this match, though that may just be an overreaction to recent form, which isn't everything.
It looks like the early market is focusing too heavily on the recent form of Shapovalov and not enough on the fact that the Canadian knows all about getting through the first round at Roland Garros. This is a tournament where thhe bigger players typically thrive early on, and on that basis, the world number 39 looks a little generously priced. At early odds of +125, he goes down as a value bet to make the second round.
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Jaime Faria vs Denis Shapovalov Form
Jaime Faria and Denis Shapovalov Latest Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
May 21, 2026 - ATP French Open
May 20, 2026 - ATP French Open
May 19, 2026 - ATP French Open
May 5, 2026 - ATP Italian Open
May 4, 2026 - ATP Italian Open
Apr 22, 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
May 7, 2026 - ATP Italian Open
Apr 25, 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 17, 2026 - ATP Munich Open
Apr 16, 2026 - ATP Munich Open
Apr 14, 2026 - ATP Munich Open
Apr 6, 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
Jaime Faria - Denis Shapovalov Key Points
- In 2025, Denis Shapovalov made light work of reaching the second round at Roland Garros.
- In 2025, 2024 and 2023, Denis Shapovalov went beyond the first round at Roland Garros.
- Denis Shapovalov has been beyond the first round of the French Open in five out of seven attempts.
- Jaime Faria has never gone beyond the first-round stage at the French Open.
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Our Jaime Faria vs Denis Shapovalov Prediction
Yes, Jaime Faria has played well at Roland Garros so far, coming through not one, not two, but three qualifying matches, and that experience should hold him in good stead here. However, even if Denis Shapovalov is not quite at his best, the Portuguese competitor is going to need to raise his game considerably. Is he capable of finding the required level against a proven performer who typically goes beyond the first round of the French Open with ease? Whether he is or not, the early market seems to be overestimating his chances, leaving the Canadian available at lenient odds.
Our Jaime Faria vs Denis Shapovalov Pick: Denis Shapovalov to Win.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
